Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the recent data and analyst reports, here's a concise analysis of NFLX's current position:

Recent Performance Netflix's stock is currently trading at $977.59, showing a -0.74% decline in the regular market session. The stock has demonstrated impressive momentum after its Q4 2024 earnings report, reaching near the $1,000 mark.

Growth Catalysts

• Record subscriber growth of 18.9 million in Q4 2024, bringing total subscribers to 301.6 million
• Ad-supported tier success with 55% of new sign-ups choosing ad-based plans
• Operating margin expansion to 27% in 2024, expected to reach 29% in 2025
• Successful entry into live events including WWE and NFL games

Analyst Sentiment Recent analyst actions show strong bullish sentiment:

• Wolfe Research upgraded to Buy with $1,100 target (11.69% upside)
• Pivotal Research maintained Strong Buy with $1,250 target (31.03% upside)
• B of A Securities maintained Strong Buy with $1,175 target (23.17% upside)

Investment Recommendation While Netflix shows strong operational performance and growth potential, the current valuation at 39.6x forward P/E (46% premium to Nasdaq-100) suggests waiting for a pullback before initiating a position. The stock's technical indicators show it's approaching overbought territory.

Based on the provided data and recent market analysis, here's a comprehensive price prediction for Netflix (NFLX) in 2025:

Netflix stock is expected to reach $1,100 by end of 2025, driven by its record-breaking subscriber growth of 18.9 million in Q4 2024 and successful expansion into advertising and live events. The company's strong financial performance, including 16% revenue growth to $10.2 billion and doubled earnings per share, combined with its strategic moves into gaming and sports broadcasting, supports this bullish outlook. Management's guidance for 14-17% revenue growth and expanded operating margins to 29% in 2025 provides additional confidence in this price target.

The S1 support level for NFLX Stock is $835.18 ,The R1 resistant level for NFLX Stock is $969.25.

As of the end of day on 2025-01-24, the price of NFLX Stock was $974.84.

The target price for NFLX Stock according to analyst rating is 922.68, with the highest price target at 1,100 and the lowest at 715.00. Analysts have a Moderate Buy rating on NFLX Stock overall.

The market cap of NFLX is $417.9B.

Based on the comprehensive data analysis, NFLX appears to be overvalued for the following specific reasons:

Valuation Metrics

• Current forward P/E ratio of 39.6x is 46% higher than the tech-heavy Nasdaq-100 index
• Trading at a significant premium compared to historical valuation levels
• EV/EBITDA of 14.86x in Q4 2024 indicates rich valuation

Recent Price Movement

• Stock has surged to all-time highs around $977, showing signs of overextension
• Trading significantly above most analyst price targets
• Technical indicators suggest overbought conditions

Growth vs Valuation

• While Q4 2024 showed strong subscriber growth of 18.9M, reaching 301.6M total subscribers
• Current valuation appears to have priced in much of the future growth potential
• Operating margin of 27% in 2024 with 29% target for 2025 may not justify current premium multiples

Market Position Risk

• Increasing competition in streaming space
• Content costs continue to rise ($17B in 2024, $18B planned for 2025)
• Ad revenue growth, while promising, is still in early stages

The stock's current valuation suggests investors are paying a significant premium for Netflix's market leadership and growth prospects, making it difficult to justify further upside at these levels.

Netflix, Inc. is a provider of entertainment services. The Company acquires, licenses and produces content, including original programming. The Company provides paid memberships in approximately 190 countries offering television (TV) series, films and games across a wide variety of genres and languages. Its members can play, pause and resume watching as much as they want, anytime, anywhere, and can change their plans at any time. The Company offers members the ability to receive streaming content through a host of Internet-connected devices, including TVs, digital video players, TV set-top boxes and mobile devices. The Company also has agreements with various cable, satellite and telecommunications operators to make its service available through TV set-top boxes. The Company's paid plans range from the United States dollar equivalent of $1 to $28 per month, and pricing on its extra member sub accounts range from the United States dollar equivalent of $2 to $8 per month.

Based on the provided data and recent market analysis, here's a prediction for Netflix (NFLX) stock price in 2030:

Netflix stock is projected to reach $1,500-1,700 by 2030, driven by continued streaming dominance and successful expansion into gaming and live events. The company's recent record subscriber growth of 18.9 million in Q4 2024 and strong operating margins of 27% demonstrate robust fundamentals for long-term growth.

The key catalyst will be Netflix's ability to monetize its 300+ million global subscriber base through price increases and advertising revenue, which is expected to double again in 2025.

NFLX has a total of 13000 employees.