Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the provided data and current market conditions, here's a direct analysis of ON Semiconductor's stock:

Market Performance The stock is experiencing significant pressure today, down 7.20% to $47.56 during regular market trading. This decline follows disappointing Q4 2024 earnings results and weak guidance for Q1 2025.

Earnings and Guidance Concerns

• Q4 2024 EPS: $0.95 vs expected $0.97
• Q4 Revenue: $1.72B vs expected $1.76B
• Q1 2025 Guidance: EPS $0.45-$0.55 (well below $0.89 consensus)

Technical Analysis The stock shows bearish signals with:

• RSI at 33.48 indicating oversold conditions
• MACD at -2.86 suggesting strong downward momentum
• Trading below both 20-day SMA ($53.71)

Recent Analyst Actions Multiple analysts have recently lowered their price targets:

• Morgan Stanley: Reduced to $52 (Sell rating)
• UBS: Lowered to $65 (Hold)
• Susquehanna: Decreased to $70 (Buy)
• Truist Securities: Downgraded to Hold, cut target to $60

Sell Recommendation Given the combination of:

1. Weak Q4 results and significantly lower Q1 guidance
2. Deteriorating technical indicators
3. Multiple analyst downgrades
4. Continued weakness in automotive and industrial end markets

The stock appears likely to face further downside pressure in the near term. Current shareholders should consider selling or implementing protective strategies.

Based on the latest data and market analysis, here's the price prediction for ON Semiconductor (ON) in 2025:

The stock is expected to trade in the range of $45-65 by end of 2025, with a base case target of $52, due to three key factors. The semiconductor industry's cyclical downturn and weak demand in automotive and industrial sectors are pressuring margins, with Q4 2024 showing a 15% revenue decline to $1.72 billion. However, the company's strategic pivot towards electric vehicles and autonomous driving applications provides long-term growth potential.

Recent analyst actions reflect this mixed outlook, with Morgan Stanley maintaining an Underweight rating and $52 price target, while Goldman Sachs remains bullish with a $77 target despite near-term challenges. The company's P/E ratio of 12.72 suggests relatively attractive valuation compared to peers, though earnings are expected to decline 22.5% year-over-year.

The most likely scenario points to $52 by year-end 2025, supported by:

• Continued weakness in core markets through first half of 2025
• Gradual recovery in automotive and industrial demand by Q4 2025
• Strategic focus on high-growth EV and autonomous driving segments

The S1 support level for ON Stock is $47.87 ,The R1 resistant level for ON Stock is $54.01.

As of the end of day on 2025-02-11, the price of ON Stock was $48.05.

The target price for ON Stock according to analyst rating is 75.44, with the highest price target at 107.00 and the lowest at 52.00. Analysts have a Moderate Buy rating on ON Stock overall.

The market cap of ON is $20.4B.

Based on the provided data, I'll analyze whether ON Semiconductor is overvalued through multiple aspects:

Technical Analysis The stock has experienced significant selling pressure, dropping 7.22% today to $47.55. The stock has declined 37% over the past year, indicating a strong downward trend.

Valuation Metrics Current key valuation ratios for Q4 2024:

• P/E: 15.02x
• EV/EBITDA: 10.30x
• P/S: 4.00x
• P/B: 3.89x

These multiples have increased from previous quarters despite deteriorating fundamentals, suggesting potential overvaluation relative to historical levels.

Recent Performance ON reported disappointing Q4 2024 results with revenue declining 15% year-over-year to $1.72 billion, missing analyst estimates. The company provided weak Q1 2025 guidance with EPS of $0.45-$0.55, significantly below consensus of $0.89.

Analyst Sentiment Recent analyst actions have been predominantly negative, with multiple firms lowering price targets. Morgan Stanley maintains a Sell rating with concerns about weakening demand and inventory challenges.

Based on deteriorating fundamentals, weak guidance, elevated valuation multiples compared to historical levels, and negative analyst sentiment, ON Semiconductor appears overvalued at current prices.

ON Semiconductor Corporation, together with its wholly owned subsidiaries, operates under the onsemi brand. The Company provides intelligent power and intelligent sensing solutions with a primary focus towards automotive and industrial markets. It operates through three segments: Power Solutions Group (PSG), the Advanced Solutions Group (ASG) and the Intelligent Sensing Group (ISG). PSG offers a range of analog, discrete, module and integrated semiconductor products that perform multiple application functions, including power switching, power conversion, signal conditioning, circuit protection, signal amplification and voltage regulation functions. ASG designs and develops analog, mixed-signal, power management ICs and sensor interface devices for a range of end-users in the automotive, industrial, compute and mobile end-markets. SG designs and develops complementary metal oxide semiconductor (CMOS) image sensors, image signal processors, and single photon detectors.

Based on the provided data and context, here's a comprehensive analysis for ON Semiconductor's price prediction for 2030:

Current Market Position and Trends: ON Semiconductor's stock is currently trading at $47.51, showing significant weakness with a -7.30% decline in regular market trading. The company is facing immediate headwinds with Q4 2024 revenue declining 15% year-over-year to $1.72 billion, missing analyst estimates.

Long-term Growth Catalysts: The company is strategically positioned in high-growth markets including electric vehicles, autonomous vehicles, industrial automation, and renewable energy. These sectors are expected to see substantial growth through 2030, particularly in power semiconductors and automotive sensors where ON is a market leader.

Price Target 2030 Prediction: Based on the company's market position, industry trends, and current challenges, ON stock is projected to reach $95-105 by 2030. This projection is supported by three key factors:

1. ON Semiconductor's dominant position as the second-largest power chipmaker globally and largest supplier of image sensors to the automotive market

2. The expected compound growth in electric vehicle adoption and industrial automation sectors, which are core markets for ON's products

3. The company's strategic pivot towards emerging technologies and demonstrated ability to maintain strong profit margins despite market cycles

ON has a total of 30000 employees.