Based on the provided data and current market status (closed), let's analyze if TXT is overvalued:
Valuation Analysis:
TXT's current P/E ratio of 17.83 is below its recent quarterly average, suggesting relatively attractive valuation compared to its historical levels. The EV/EBITDA of 12.92 also indicates reasonable valuation compared to industry standards.
Technical Indicators:
The stock is showing bearish signals with RSI(14) at 35.57 indicating approaching oversold territory. The stock is trading below all major moving averages (5-day: $74.73, 20-day: $77.04, 200-day: $84.99), suggesting a downward trend.
Recent Analyst Actions:
Multiple analysts have recently adjusted their price targets. Notable changes include:
- B of A Securities downgraded to Hold with $85 target
- Morgan Stanley maintained Hold with $82 target
- Baird maintained Buy with $92 target
- Citigroup maintained Strong Buy with $111 target
Market Position:
The stock is currently trading at $73.93, significantly below the consensus analyst price targets, which range from $79 to $111. The recent labor issues at Wichita operations have impacted deliveries, but workers are returning, suggesting potential recovery in 2025.
Conclusion:
Based on current valuation metrics, technical indicators, and analyst consensus, TXT appears fairly valued to slightly undervalued at current levels. While near-term technical weakness exists, the fundamental outlook remains solid with expected recovery in 2025.