Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the recent market data and analysis, here's a direct assessment of Tesla stock:

Technical Analysis Tesla's stock is showing bearish signals with RSI at 36.90 indicating oversold conditions but not yet at extreme levels. The stock is trading below its 5-day (352.54), 10-day (349.60), and 20-day (371.01) moving averages, suggesting strong downward momentum.

Recent Performance Tesla stock has declined significantly, with the latest close at $191.97, representing a substantial drop from recent highs. The stock is down 13% in 2025, with several concerning factors affecting its performance.

Key Challenges

• First-ever annual decline in vehicle deliveries in 2024
• Declining automotive revenue (-8% year-over-year)
• Margin pressure with gross margins falling to 17.9%
• Intensifying competition in the global EV market
• Pricing pressure affecting average selling prices

Positive Catalysts

• Potential launch of unsupervised FSD in California this year
• Plans for autonomous ride-sharing service in multiple cities by end of 2025
• New cheaper car model expected to start production this year

Recommendation Based on current technical indicators and fundamental challenges, SELL Tesla stock at current levels. The stock appears overvalued at 176.7x earnings, and multiple headwinds suggest further downside potential before finding strong support.

Based on the provided data and market analysis, here's a Tesla (TSLA) stock price prediction for 2025:

Tesla's stock is projected to reach $310-350 by the end of 2025, driven by three key factors: Trump administration's favorable autonomous vehicle policies, continued expansion in EV production targeting 20-30% growth, and potential breakthrough in Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology with Robotaxi service launch.

The bearish scenario ($310) reflects concerns about increasing competition from Chinese EV makers and potential margin pressure, while the bullish case ($350) is supported by Musk's advisory role in the Trump administration and potential deregulation benefits.

The S1 support level for TSLA Stock is $293.87 ,The R1 resistant level for TSLA Stock is $359.93.

As of the end of day on 2025-02-27, the price of TSLA Stock was $282.29.

The target price for TSLA Stock according to analyst rating is 351.38, with the highest price target at 550.00 and the lowest at 120.00. Analysts have a Hold rating on TSLA Stock overall.

The market cap of TSLA is $906.9B.

Based on the provided data and recent market developments, here's a comprehensive analysis of Tesla's valuation:

Current Market Position:

Valuation Analysis:

Key Overvaluation Indicators:

1. Excessive P/E Ratio: Tesla currently trades at a P/E ratio of 161x, which is significantly higher than:

   • Nasdaq 100 index average of 33.6x
   • Nvidia's P/E of 52.2x
   • Traditional auto industry average of ~10x

2. Declining Core Business:

• First-ever annual decline in EV deliveries in 2024
• Automotive revenue declined 8% year-over-year
• Significant sales drops in key markets:
  • Europe: Down 13% in 2024
  • Germany: Down 59%
  • France: Down 63%

3. Margin Pressure:

• Gross margin: 17.9% (down from previous years)
• Operating margin: 7.2%
• Increasing competition and price cuts affecting profitability

Risk Factors:

1. Political and Brand Risks:

• Musk's controversial political involvement
• Role in Trump administration affecting focus
• Potential loss of state EV incentives

2. Competitive Threats:

• Increasing competition in EV market
• Other manufacturers advancing in FSD technology
• Struggling to attract top AI talent

3. Market Challenges:

• Softening EV demand globally
• Infrastructure concerns
• Rising raw material costs

Future Outlook: While Tesla has potential growth drivers like the Cybercab and Optimus robot, these won't scale until after 2026. The company currently derives 78% of revenue from EV sales, making near-term growth challenging given current market conditions.

Conclusion: Based on the analysis, TSLA appears significantly overvalued at current levels. Even with a 50% price decline, the P/E ratio would still be above 80x, suggesting potential for further downside. The combination of declining core business metrics, increasing competition, and excessive valuation multiples indicates the stock is overvalued at current levels.

Tesla, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, sells and leases high-performance fully electric vehicles and energy generation and storage systems, and offer services related to its products. The Company's segments include automotive, and energy generation and storage. The automotive segment includes the design, development, manufacturing, sales and leasing of high-performance fully electric vehicles, and sales of automotive regulatory credits. This segment also includes sales of used vehicles, non-warranty after-sales vehicle services, body shop and parts, paid supercharging, vehicle insurance and retail merchandise. Its consumer vehicles include the Model 3, Y, S, X and Cybertruck. The energy generation and storage segment includes the design, manufacture, installation, sales and leasing of solar energy generation and energy storage products and related services and sales of solar energy systems incentives. Its lithium-ion battery energy storage products include Powerwall and Megapack.

Based on the available data and market analysis, here's a projection for Tesla's stock price in 2030:

Tesla's stock price is projected to reach approximately $850-900 by 2030, driven by three key factors:

1. Growth Trajectory and Market Position: Tesla's revenue has shown consistent growth from $31.5B (2020) to $96.7B (2023), demonstrating strong market penetration. The company's planned launch of new, cheaper EV models in 2025 and expansion into autonomous driving technology suggests continued market leadership.

2. Technology and Innovation: Tesla's commitment to Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology and robotaxi services, scheduled for testing in 2025, could create significant new revenue streams. However, historical challenges in meeting FSD promises suggest cautious optimism is warranted.

3. Market Competition and Margins: Increasing competition in the EV space and margin pressures (gross margin declined from 25.6% in 2022 to 18.25% in 2023) indicate a more challenging competitive landscape ahead.

The projection considers Tesla's current P/E ratio of 114x, which is likely to normalize as the company matures, and Elon Musk's vision of Tesla becoming "the most valuable company" globally. However, the growth rate is expected to moderate compared to historical performance, as indicated by recent quarterly results.

TSLA has a total of 140473 employees.