Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the latest data and market analysis, here's a comprehensive assessment of CF Industries' stock:

Technical Analysis

The stock is currently showing bearish signals:

• RSI-14 at 32.81 indicates oversold conditions
• MACD is negative at -2.65 with bearish divergence
• Stock trading below both 20-day SMA ($86.54) and 60-day SMA ($88.39)

Recent Price Action & Market Updates

• Current trading at $78.07 during regular market hours [Relevant Data]
• Pre-market showed +1.41% gain
• Regular market showing modest +0.22% gain
• Trading volume: 1.48M shares

Analyst Sentiment & Ratings Recent analyst actions show mixed opinions:

• BofA: Upgraded to Neutral (PT: $84)
• UBS: Hold rating (PT: $92)
• Oppenheimer: Buy rating (PT: $111)
• Wells Fargo: Buy rating (PT: $96)

Fibonacci Levels Key price targets:

• Resistance: R1 $86.28, R2 $88.53, R3 $92.18
• Support: S1 $78.98, S2 $76.73, S3 $73.08
• Pivot: $82.63

Business Fundamentals The company maintains strong financial metrics:

• Healthy current ratio: 3.69
• Strong ROE: 81.05%
• Solid net margin: 35.20%
• Total revenue: $11.19B
• Net income: $3.35B

Recommendation HOLD - While CF Industries shows strong fundamentals, the current technical indicators suggest caution. The stock is approaching support levels, but the bearish momentum and negative MACD indicate potential further downside. Consider:

• For buyers: Wait for confirmation of trend reversal above $82.63 pivot
• For sellers: Consider taking profits if holding positions from higher levels

Based on the available data and market analysis, here is the price prediction for CF Industries (CF) stock in 2025:

Technical Analysis

The technical indicators show CF is currently in a downtrend with bearish signals:

• RSI (14) at 32.81 indicates oversold conditions
• MACD is negative at -2.65 with bearish divergence
• Stock trading below all major moving averages (20-day, 60-day, 200-day)
• Current price ($78.07) is near the Fibonacci support level of $76.73

Fundamental Drivers

Key factors that will influence CF's 2025 price:

1. Earnings Schedule:

• Q4 2024 results: February 19, 2025
• Q1 2025 results: May 7, 2025
• Q2 2025 results: August 6, 2025
• Q3 2025 results: November 5, 2025

2. Market Environment:

• GDP growth projected at 2.1% in 2025
• Inflation expected to cool to 2.4%
• Two potential Fed rate cuts (June and September)

Price Target Scenarios

Based on technical and fundamental analysis:

Bearish Case ($70-75):

• Break below $76.73 Fibonacci support
• Continued fertilizer price weakness
• Higher than expected interest rates

Base Case ($80-85):

• Consolidation around current levels
• Stable fertilizer demand
• Two Fed rate cuts as expected

Bullish Case ($90-95):

• Break above $88.53 Fibonacci resistance
• Strong agricultural commodity prices
• Better than expected earnings

Most likely scenario: Base Case ($80-85) with 60% probability, as the stock appears oversold but faces near-term headwinds.

The S1 support level for CF Stock is $77.83 ,The R1 resistant level for CF Stock is $84.01.

As of the end of day on 2025-02-27, the price of CF Stock was $79.68.

The target price for CF Stock according to analyst rating is 95.27, with the highest price target at 115.00 and the lowest at 74.00. Analysts have a Hold rating on CF Stock overall.

The market cap of CF is $13.5B.

Based on the financial data and valuation metrics, CF Industries appears fairly valued at current levels. The company's P/E ratio has increased from 5.2x in 2022 to 10.1x in 2023, reflecting declining earnings in a challenging fertilizer price environment. Revenue declined significantly from $11.2B in 2022 to $6.6B in 2023, while net margins compressed from 35.2% to 27.7%. Technical indicators show the stock is currently oversold with RSI at 32.81 and trading below its 20-day moving average of $86.54, suggesting potential near-term support. According to analyst coverage, Oppenheimer maintains a Buy rating with $111 price target, indicating potential upside from current levels around $78.

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. is a manufacturer of hydrogen and nitrogen products. It owns and operates eight nitrogen manufacturing facilities in North America, including six nitrogen manufacturing facilities in the United States, and two in Canada. Its segments include Ammonia, Granular Urea, UAN, AN and Other. The Ammonia segment produces anhydrous ammonia (ammonia), which is the base product that it manufactures, containing 82% nitrogen and 18% hydrogen. The results of its Ammonia segment consist of sales of ammonia to external customers for its nitrogen content as a fertilizer, in emissions control and in other industrial applications. The Granular Urea segment produces granular urea, which contains 46% nitrogen. Granular urea is produced at its Donaldsonville, Port Neal, and Medicine Hat complexes. The UAN segment produces urea ammonium nitrate solution (UAN). The AN segment produces ammonium nitrate. Its Other segment includes diesel exhaust fluid, urea liquor, and nitric acid.

Based on the provided data and recent market activity, I'll analyze CF Industries' (CF) price prediction for 2030.

Technical Analysis

The stock is currently showing bearish signals with:

• RSI (14) at 32.81 indicating oversold conditions
• MACD trending negative at -2.65
• Price trading below both 60-day (88.39) and 200-day (81.84) moving averages

Fundamental Analysis & Growth Drivers

Key factors supporting long-term growth:

• Strong position in nitrogen fertilizer market
• Focus on clean energy transition and decarbonization
• Strategic manufacturing network across US, Canada and UK
• Robust dividend policy ($0.50 quarterly dividend confirmed for 2025)

Valuation Metrics Trend

Metric	2020	2021	2022	2023
P/E	26.28	16.69	5.20	10.10
EV/EBITDA	9.36	6.41	3.16	5.99
P/S	2.02	2.34	1.56	2.32

2030 Price Prediction

Based on:

• Current analyst sentiment showing mixed views with price targets ranging from $92-111
• Industry cyclicality and green energy transition
• Historical valuation metrics

Price target scenarios for 2030:

• Base case: $125 (10% CAGR from current levels)
• Bull case: $160 (15% CAGR, driven by successful clean energy transition)
• Bear case: $95 (5% CAGR, if facing increased competition/regulation)

Most likely scenario: Base case of $125, supported by the company's strong market position and strategic shift toward clean energy solutions.

CF has a total of 2700 employees.