CF Valuation

CF Industries Holdings Inc

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84.190

-0.26(-0.308%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

CF Relative Valuation

CF's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, CF is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

CF Industries Holdings Inc (CF) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 10.30 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of 11.05. The fair price of CF Industries Holdings Inc (CF) is between 60.51 to 127.63 according to relative valuation methord.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

60.51-127.63

Current Price：84.19

Fair

10.30

Trailing

Forward

6.84

EV/EBITDA

CF Industries Holdings Inc. (CF) has a current EV/EBITDA of 6.84. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 6.61. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 3.09, Undervalued between 3.09 and 4.85, Fairly Valued between 8.37 and 4.85, Overvalued between 8.37 and 10.13, and Strongly Overvalued above 10.13. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 6.84 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

9.27

EV/EBIT

CF Industries Holdings Inc. (CF) has a current EV/EBIT of 9.27. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 9.06. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 1.15, Undervalued between 1.15 and 5.10, Fairly Valued between 13.01 and 5.10, Overvalued between 13.01 and 16.96, and Strongly Overvalued above 16.96. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 9.27 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

2.06

CF Industries Holdings Inc. (CF) has a current PS of 2.06. The 5-year average PS is 2.04. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 1.18, Undervalued between 1.18 and 1.61, Fairly Valued between 2.48 and 1.61, Overvalued between 2.48 and 2.91, and Strongly Overvalued above 2.91. The current Forward PS of 2.06 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

5.81

P/OCF

CF Industries Holdings Inc. (CF) has a current P/OCF of 5.81. The 5-year average P/OCF is 5.16. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 2.64, Undervalued between 2.64 and 3.90, Fairly Valued between 6.43 and 3.90, Overvalued between 6.43 and 7.69, and Strongly Overvalued above 7.69. The current Forward P/OCF of 5.81 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

9.72

P/FCF

CF Industries Holdings Inc. (CF) has a current P/FCF of 9.72. The 5-year average P/FCF is 6.91. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 2.13, Undervalued between 2.13 and 4.52, Fairly Valued between 9.30 and 4.52, Overvalued between 9.30 and 11.69, and Strongly Overvalued above 11.69. The current Forward P/FCF of 9.72 falls within the Overvalued range.

CF Industries Holdings Inc (CF) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 2.80. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 2.97 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -5.68% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 3.32, the current P/B ratio is about -15.61% higher. CF Industries Holdings Inc (CF) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 12.84%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 15.77%, the current FCF yield is approximately -18.57% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 14.48% , the current FCF yield is about -11.29% lower.

2.80

P/B

Median3y

2.97

Median5y

3.32

12.84

FCF Yield

Median3y

15.77

Median5y

14.48

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for CF's competitors is 1.00, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. CF Industries Holdings Inc Corp (CF) exhibits a P/S ratio of 2.06, which is 105.87% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 20.23%, this premium appears sustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

CF.N

CF Industries Holdings Inc

Scotts Miracle-Gro Co

Lithium Americas Corp

Loss

708.07M

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of CF increased by 2.86% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in Revenue Growth from 1.57B to 1.89B.

The secondary factor is the P/E Change, contributed 1.77%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of CF in the past 1 year is driven by Revenue Growth. Which is more sustainable.

20.23%

1.57B → 1.89B

Revenue Growth

-19.14%

32.19 → 26.03

Margin Expansion

1.77%

11.09 → 11.29

P/E Change

2.86%