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CF Earnings

CF Industries Holdings Inc
$
82.900
+0.27(0.327%)1D
  • Overview
  • Forecast
  • Valuation
  • Earnings

Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of CF Industries Holdings Inc(CF) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of CF Industries Holdings Inc earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
FY2025Q22025-08-06After Hours2.352.37+0.851.79B1.89B+5.45-7.80-7.79
FY2025Q12025-05-07After Hours1.471.85+25.851.54B1.66B+8.25+0.78+8.72
FY2024Q42025-02-19After Hours1.491.89+26.851.50B1.52B+1.55-4.24-7.19
FY2024Q32024-10-30After Hours1.051.55+47.621.29B1.37B+6.02+0.55+1.59
FY2024Q22024-08-07After Hours1.802.30+27.781.53B1.57B+2.66+8.50+9.89
FY2024Q12024-05-01-1.471.03-29.931.46B1.47B+0.82-1.27-5.04
FY2023Q42024-02-14-1.561.49-4.491.50B1.57B+4.45+1.39+1.63
FY2023Q32023-11-01-0.940.85-9.571.31B1.27B-2.92-0.65-1.63
FY2023Q22023-08-02-2.152.70+25.581.81B1.78B-2.16-0.78-2.49
-2023-05-01-2.632.85+8.37---+0.52-2.71

CF Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, CF Industries Holdings Inc reported performance for FY2025Q2, announced on 2025-08-06. The company achieved an EPS of 2.37, compared to analyst estimates of 2.35 by 0.85% . Revenue for the quarter reached 1.89B compared to expectations of 1.79B by 5.45% .
The stock price reacted with a -7.80% one-day change and a -7.79% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in CF Industries Holdings Inc growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

CF Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, CF Industries Holdings Inc(CF) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q3 project quarter revenue of 1.56B and an EPS of 2.11.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Upward by 2.07%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Upward by 4.57%. For the upcoming Q3 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Upward by 6.75% . These revisions correlate with a -5.51% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in CF Industries Holdings Inc long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between CF's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
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+2.07%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
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+4.57%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q3 2025
Revise Upward
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+6.75%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
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-5.51%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
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Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:6.58B
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EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:7.56
Stock Price82.90

CF Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

CF Industries Holdings Inc revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q2 (2025-08-06,After Hours):
EPS: 2.37 (Actual) vs.2.35 (Estimate) (0.85%)
Revenue: 1.89B (Actual) vs. 1.79B (Estimate) (5.45%)
Price Reaction: -7.80%(1-Day), -7.79%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-05-07,After Hours):
EPS: 1.85 (Actual) vs.1.47 (Estimate) (25.85%)
Revenue: 1.66B (Actual) vs. 1.54B (Estimate) (8.25%)
Price Reaction: 0.78%(1-Day), 8.72%(5-Day)
FY2024Q4 (2025-02-19,After Hours):
EPS: 1.89 (Actual) vs.1.49 (Estimate) (26.85%)
Revenue: 1.52B (Actual) vs. 1.50B (Estimate) (1.55%)
Price Reaction: -4.24%(1-Day), -7.19%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how CF performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, CF sees a +2.16% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -0.24% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.50%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in JUN/2025, the stock changed -7.80% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -7.79% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.

Transcript Summary

CF Industries Holdings Inc (CF) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-08-07
The earnings call summary and Q&A indicate strong financial performance and shareholder returns, with a $2 billion share repurchase program and high free cash flow. Operational excellence is shown by a 99% utilization rate in ammonia production. Although SG&A costs rose due to specific factors, overall cost control remains effective. The favorable industry outlook and strategic initiatives, such as the Blue Point joint venture and carbon capture project, further boost sentiment. Despite some uncertainties in management responses, the overall sentiment is positive, likely leading to a 2% to 8% stock price increase.
CF Industries Holdings Inc (CF) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-05-08
The earnings call summary indicates strong financial performance, with significant shareholder returns and a robust share repurchase program. Despite competitive pressures and supply chain challenges, the company's strategic focus on growth and positive market outlook for urea and UAN are promising. The Q&A section reveals management's confidence in mitigating risks and securing offtake agreements for blue ammonia, which further supports a positive sentiment. The overall financial health, coupled with optimistic guidance and strategic initiatives, suggests a likely positive stock price movement in the short term.
CF Industries Holdings Inc (CF) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-05-08
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance with a significant increase in net earnings and EPS, robust shareholder returns through repurchases and dividends, and positive market outlooks for nitrogen products. Despite risks like competitive pressures and regulatory issues, the company has agreements for blue ammonia sales and strategies to mitigate cost inflation. The Q&A reveals a positive sentiment from analysts, with management providing clarity on key projects and market conditions. The authorization of a new share repurchase program further supports a positive stock price reaction.
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-10-31
The earnings call summary shows strong financial performance with robust free cash flow and a significant share repurchase program, indicating positive shareholder returns. The Q&A session provides insights into the company's strategic focus on growth and market optimism, despite some concerns about logistics and external factors. The announcement of a potential Greenfield low-carbon ammonia plant and a positive outlook for nitrogen pricing further enhance the sentiment. Overall, the combination of strong financials, strategic growth initiatives, and market optimism suggests a positive stock price movement.
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-08-08
The earnings call summary indicates strong financial performance with increased EBITDA and net earnings, robust cash flow, and significant share repurchases. The Q&A section highlights optimism in low-carbon ammonia demand, positive market conditions, and strategic capital allocation. While there are some uncertainties in project timelines, the overall sentiment remains positive, especially with the focus on clean energy initiatives and shareholder returns. The combination of strong financial metrics and optimistic guidance supports a positive stock price movement prediction.

FAQ

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What were the key highlights of CF’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q2?

CF reported its FY2025Q2 earnings on 2025-08-06, showcasing a revenue of 1.89B against an estimate of 1.79B, resulting in a 5.45% surprise. The EPS was 2.37, surpassing the expected 2.35 by 0.85% . The stock experienced a -7.8% price change on the earnings day and a -7.79% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did CF’s stock price react after the FY2025Q2 earnings release?

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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for CF for 2025/Q3?

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How does CF’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

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What should investors expect from CF’s next earnings report?

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What is the sentiment in CF Industries Holdings Inc (CF) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary?