GFL Earnings

GFL reported its earnings on 2026-02-11, showcasing a revenue of 1.21B against an estimate of 1.19B, resulting in a 1.66% surprise. The EPS was 0.26, surpassing the expected 0.14 by 85.71%. The stock experienced a -6.17% price change on the earnings day and a -1.63% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.

Following GFL's earnings announcement on 2026-02-11, the stock price moved by -6.17% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a -1.63% change. Historically, GFL's stock price tends to shift by an average of 1.34% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and 0.54% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.

For 2026/Q1, analysts estimate GFL's annual revenue to reach 1.67B, while the EPS is projected at 0.09. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates unchanged by 0% and EPS estimates unchanged by 0% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company's performance.

The correlation between GFL's stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were unchanged by 0%, while EPS estimates moved unchanged by 0%. This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.

Based on historical trends, GFL's stock price typically moves by 1.34% in the 10 days before its earnings and 0.54% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2026/Q1 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 0.09 and revenue of 1.67B.

The earnings call reflects a positive outlook with increased revenue guidance, strong adjusted EBITDA, and a healthy M&A pipeline. Despite some negative volume expectations in Q4, the company anticipates benefiting from economic recovery and EPR contributions. Management's focus on value creation through M&A and buybacks, along with positive pricing strategies, supports a positive sentiment. The Q&A session highlighted strong asset quality and synergy capture, further bolstering investor confidence. The overall sentiment is positive, suggesting a likely stock price increase in the short term.