GFL Valuation

GFL Environmental Inc

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43.870

0(0.000%)1D

GFL Relative Valuation

GFL's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, GFL is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

GFL Environmental Inc (GFL) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 70.40 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of 66.08. The fair price of GFL Environmental Inc (GFL) is between 10.03 to 72.48 according to relative valuation methord.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

10.03-72.48

Current Price：43.87

Fair

70.40

Trailing

Forward

14.39

EV/EBITDA

GFL Environmental Inc. (GFL) has a current EV/EBITDA of 14.39. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 13.07. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 9.64, Undervalued between 9.64 and 11.36, Fairly Valued between 14.78 and 11.36, Overvalued between 14.78 and 16.50, and Strongly Overvalued above 16.50. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 14.39 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

53.03

EV/EBIT

GFL Environmental Inc. (GFL) has a current EV/EBIT of 53.03. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 182.59. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -2182.78, Undervalued between -2182.78 and -1000.09, Fairly Valued between 1365.28 and -1000.09, Overvalued between 1365.28 and 2547.97, and Strongly Overvalued above 2547.97. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 53.03 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

61.86

GFL Environmental Inc. (GFL) has a current PS of 61.86. The 5-year average PS is 2.81. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -6.78, Undervalued between -6.78 and -1.98, Fairly Valued between 7.61 and -1.98, Overvalued between 7.61 and 12.41, and Strongly Overvalued above 12.41. The current Forward PS of 61.86 falls within the Strongly Overvalued range.

14.27

P/OCF

GFL Environmental Inc. (GFL) has a current P/OCF of 14.27. The 5-year average P/OCF is 11.96. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 7.01, Undervalued between 7.01 and 9.48, Fairly Valued between 14.44 and 9.48, Overvalued between 14.44 and 16.91, and Strongly Overvalued above 16.91. The current Forward P/OCF of 14.27 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

25.42

P/FCF

GFL Environmental Inc. (GFL) has a current P/FCF of 25.42. The 5-year average P/FCF is 22.56. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 13.47, Undervalued between 13.47 and 18.02, Fairly Valued between 27.10 and 18.02, Overvalued between 27.10 and 31.64, and Strongly Overvalued above 31.64. The current Forward P/FCF of 25.42 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

GFL Environmental Inc (GFL) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 2.93. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 2.79 , the current P/B ratio is approximately 5.11% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 2.62, the current P/B ratio is about 12.06% higher. GFL Environmental Inc (GFL) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 0.01%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 0.75%, the current FCF yield is approximately -98.89% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 1.06% , the current FCF yield is about -99.22% lower.

2.93

P/B

Median3y

2.79

Median5y

2.62

0.01

FCF Yield

Median3y

0.75

Median5y

1.06

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for GFL's competitors is 76.26, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. GFL Environmental Inc Corp (GFL) exhibits a P/S ratio of 61.86, which is -18.89% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of -15.91%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

GFL.N

GFL Environmental Inc

Casella Waste Systems Inc

Purecycle Technologies Inc

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of GFL decreased by 6.86% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in Margin Expansion from 5.49 to 6.38.

The secondary factor is the P/E Change, contributed -7.16%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of GFL in the past 1 year is driven by Margin Expansion. Which is more sustainable.

-15.91%

2.01B → 1.69B

Revenue Growth

16.21%

5.49 → 6.38

Margin Expansion

-7.16%

6.38K → 5.92K

P/E Change

-6.86%