GFL

GFL Environmental Inc

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50.570

+0.07(0.139%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

Line

Candle

YTD

High

50.630

Open

50.190

VWAP

50.32

Vol

259.13K

Mkt Cap

18.95B

Low

50.190

Amount

13.04M

EV/EBITDA(TTM)

16.99

Total Shares

376.47M

33.35B

EV/OCF(TTM)

24.35

P/S(TTM)

3.34

GFL Environmental Inc. is a Canada-based diversified environmental services company. The Company is engaged in offering solid waste management, liquid waste management, and soil remediation services, including collection, transportation, transfer, recycling and disposal services. Its facilities type consists of convenience sites, landfills, material recovery facilities, organic processing, soil remediation sites and transfer stations. It has operations across Canada and the United States. The Company offers its services to municipal, residential, and commercial and industrial customers.

Market Estimates

Earnings Estimates

Revenue

YoY Chg

EPS

YoYChg

FY2026Q1

FY2025Q4

FY2025Q3

1.67B

+6.91%

0.110

-222.42%

1.64B

-17.21%

0.203

-7.61%

1.69B

-16.09%

0.260

-21.31%

Estimates Revision

The market is revising Upward the revenue expectations for GFL Environmental Inc. (GFL) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by 0.02% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by 3.88%.

Revenue Estimates for FY2025

Revise Upward

+0.02%

In Past 3 Month

EPS Estimates for FY2025

Revise Downward

-3.76%

In Past 3 Month

Stock Price

Go Up

+3.88%

In Past 3 Month

11 Analyst Rating

15.13% Upside

Wall Street analysts forecast GFL stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GFL is 58.22 USD with a low forecast of 53.00 USD and a high forecast of 64.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

9 Buy

2 Hold

0 Sell

Strong Buy

15.13% Upside

Current: 50.570

Low

53.00

Averages

58.22

High

64.00

15.13% Upside

Current: 50.570

Low

53.00

Averages

58.22

High

64.00

Citi

Buy

maintain

$56 -> $58

2025-08-04

Reason

Citi

Price Target

$56 -> $58

2025-08-04

maintain

Buy

Reason

Citi raised the firm's price target on GFL Environmental to $58 from $56 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm is raising its FY25 EBITDA estimate 1% to reflect the 2Q beat and company raising FY25 guidance. GFL is running behind its M&A spending guidance based on its year-to-date pace, but the firm sees deals closing in the second half as additive to what it calls "an already strong setup" for 2026.

Scotiabank

Outperform

maintain

$56 -> $60

2025-08-01

Reason

Scotiabank

Price Target

$56 -> $60

2025-08-01

maintain

Outperform

Reason

Scotiabank raised the firm's price target on NFI Group to $60 from $56 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The firm remains encouraged by NFI Group's continued solid execution and efforts to narrow the gap it has with its peers on margin and free cash flow conversion, the analyst tells investors.

UBS

Buy

maintain

$59 -> $63

2025-08-01

Reason

UBS

Price Target

$59 -> $63

2025-08-01

maintain

Buy

Reason

UBS raised the firm's price target on NFI Group to $63 from $59 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares.

CIBC

Outperformer

maintain

$77 -> $75

2025-07-08

Reason

CIBC

Price Target

$77 -> $75

2025-07-08

maintain

Outperformer

Reason

CIBC lowered the firm's price target on GFL Environmental to C$75 from C$77 and keeps an Outperformer rating on the shares. The firm does expect any major guidance revisions from the waste sector or aviation and aerospace names under coverage, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Solid waste fundamentals remain strong, though commodity prices are tracking below expectations, which will be an incremental headwind, CIBC argues.

JPMorgan

Tami Zakaria

Overweight -> Neutral

downgrade

$51 -> $54

2025-05-23

Reason

JPMorgan

Tami Zakaria

Price Target

$51 -> $54

2025-05-23

downgrade

Overweight -> Neutral

Reason

JPMorgan analyst Tami Zakaria downgraded GFL Environmental to Neutral from Overweight with a price target of $54, up from $51, after assuming coverage of the waste services sector. GFL's risk/reward is balanced at these levels, given the shares reflects the company's improved cash conversion profile, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm expects GFL's EBITDA margin to trail peers in the medium term due to its lower landfill ownership. Longer term, GFL has ample capacity and white space to pursue low risk, highly accretive tuck-in solid waste acquisitions, adds JPMorgan.

Scotiabank

Konark Gupta

Buy

Maintains

$52 → $54

2025-04-08

Reason

Scotiabank

Konark Gupta

Price Target

$52 → $54

2025-04-08

Maintains

Buy

Reason

See All Ratings

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for GFL Environmental Inc (GFL.N) is 79.67, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 71.54. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess GFL Environmental Inc 's fair value, click here.

Forward PE

The forward P/E ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future earnings per share over the next 12 months.

N/A

5Y Average PE

71.54

Current PE

79.67

Overvalued PE

145.57

Undervalued PE

-2.49

Forward EV/EBITDA

The forward EV/EBITDA ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's enterprise value (EV) by its estimated future earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) over the next 12 months.

Overvalued

5Y Average EV/EBITDA

12.82

Current EV/EBITDA

15.76

Overvalued EV/EBITDA

14.66

Undervalued EV/EBITDA

10.99

Forward PS

The forward P/S ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future sales (or revenue) per share over the next 12 months.

Strongly Overvalued

5Y Average PS

2.36

Current PS

3.71

Overvalued PS

2.93

Undervalued PS

1.79

Financials

Annual

Quarterly

FY2025Q2

YoY :

+5.92%

1.68B

Total Revenue

FY2025Q2

YoY :

+65.87%

160.40M

Operating Profit

FY2025Q2

YoY :

-151.55%

274.20M

Net Income after Tax

FY2025Q2

YoY :

-152.67%

0.69

EPS - Diluted

FY2025Q2

YoY :

-80.63%

11.60M

Free Cash Flow

FY2025Q2

YoY :

+20.77%

22.21

Gross Profit Margin - %

FY2025Q2

YoY :

-148.68%

16.37

Net Margin - %

Trading Trends

Insider

Insiders are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.

Sold

0-3

Months

0.0

USD

3-6

Months

0.0

USD

6-9

Months

0.0

USD

0-12

Months

0.0

USD

Bought

0-3

0.0

USD

Months

3-6

0.0

USD

Months

6-9

0.0

USD

Months

0-12

0.0

USD

Months

Hedge Fund

Hedge Funds are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last quarter.

Sold

0-3

Months

0.0

Volume

3-6

Months

0.0

Volume

6-9

Months

606.7K

Volume

0-12

Months

0.0

Volume

Bought

0-3

0.0

Volume

Months

3-6

1.3M

Volume

Months

6-9

984.1K

Volume

Months

0-12

0.0

Volume

Months

Congress Trading

Congress are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.

Sold

0-3

Months

0.0

USD

3-6

Months

0.0

USD

6-9

Months

0.0

USD

0-12

Months

0.0

USD

Bought

0-3

0.0

USD

Months

3-6

0.0

USD

Months

6-9

0.0

USD

Months

0-12

0.0

USD

Months

Insider

Insiders are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.

Sold

0-3

Months

0.0

USD

3-6

Months

0.0

USD

6-9

Months

0.0

USD

0-12

Months

0.0

USD

Bought

0-3

0.0

USD

Months

3-6

0.0

USD

Months

6-9

0.0

USD

Months

0-12

0.0

USD

Months

GFL News & Events

Events Timeline

2025-08-07 (ET)

2025-08-07

09:06:31

GFL Environmental to recapitalize Green Infrastructure Partners for $4.25B

2025-08-04 (ET)

2025-08-04

15:36:28

GFL Environmental raises 2025 revenue view to C$6.55B-C$6.58B

2025-08-04

15:28:43

GFL Environmental reports Q2 EPS C$0.72 vs. (C$1.31) last year

News

8.5

08-07SeekingAlpha

GFL Environmental's Green Infrastructure Partners to be recapitalized in C$4.25B deal

8.5

08-07PRnewswire

GFL Environmental Inc. Announces Agreement to Recapitalize Green Infrastructure Partners at an Enterprise Value of $4.25 Billion with Investment from Energy Capital Partners

4.0

08-01Benzinga

Scotiabank Maintains Sector Outperform on GFL Environmental, Raises Price Target to $60