Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the provided data and recent market activity, here's a concise analysis of GPC stock:

Technical Analysis

• Current price: $122.275 (Regular market trading)
• Recent trend shows consolidation between $118-$124 range
• RSI at 54.44 indicates neutral momentum
• MACD shows slight bullish divergence with positive value of 1.23

Fundamental Strengths

• Dividend King status with 68 consecutive years of dividend increases
• Strong market position in automotive parts distribution
• Recent strategic acquisition of MPEC (largest NAPA independent store owner) strengthens U.S. presence

Current Challenges

• Q3 2024 results were below expectations:
  • Global Industrial sales declined 1.2%
  • Segment profit margins decreased
  • Company revised 2024 guidance downward

Valuation Metrics

Recommendation: HOLD

The stock appears fairly valued at current levels with mixed technical and fundamental signals. While GPC's dividend history and market position remain strong, recent operational challenges suggest caution. The stock is trading near support levels around $118, making current prices relatively stable for existing holders, but new buyers may want to wait for clearer positive catalysts or a pullback closer to strong support at $116.

Risk Factors:

• Continued weakness in European markets
• Industrial segment performance concerns
• Revised lower guidance for 2024

Based on the provided data and market context, here's the price prediction for GPC stock in 2025:

Technical Analysis

The stock is currently trading at $122.275 during regular market hours on February 24, 2025, showing a moderate upward trend with +0.53% gain. Key technical indicators suggest:

• RSI-14 at 54.44 indicates neutral momentum
• MACD (12,26,9) shows positive divergence with MACD at 1.23 and signal at 0.85
• Stock is trading above its 20-day SMA ($119.68) but below 200-day SMA ($130.91)

Price Target Analysis

Based on Fibonacci levels:

• Resistance levels: R1 at $125.53, R2 at $127.78, R3 at $131.42
• Support levels: S1 at $118.25, S2 at $116.00, S3 at $112.35
• Pivot point: $121.89

2025 Price Prediction

GPC stock is expected to reach $127-130 range by end of 2025, representing a ~5-7% upside from current levels. This projection is based on:

1. Technical momentum showing recovery from recent consolidation
2. Trading above key moving averages (20-day, 60-day)
3. Strong support at Fibonacci S1 level ($118.25)
4. Positive MACD crossover indicating potential upward momentum

The stock is likely to face resistance around $125-127 range before potentially breaking higher, contingent on broader market conditions and company execution.

The S1 support level for GPC Stock is $119.63 ,The R1 resistant level for GPC Stock is $125.8.

As of the end of day on 2025-03-03, the price of GPC Stock was $125.59.

The target price for GPC Stock according to analyst rating is 133.40, with the highest price target at 155.00 and the lowest at 120.00. Analysts have a Moderate Buy rating on GPC Stock overall.

The market cap of GPC is $17.3B.

Based on the provided data and recent market activity, I'll analyze whether GPC is currently overvalued.

Technical Analysis

Valuation Metrics

• P/E ratio has declined from 19.16x in Q1 2023 to 14.84x in Q4 2023, indicating improved valuation
• EV/EBITDA decreased from 13.19x to 10.60x over the same period
• Price-to-Sales ratio dropped from 1.05x to 0.85x
• Price-to-Book ratio decreased from 5.99x to 4.39x

Financial Performance

• Revenue grew 4.5% YoY in FY2023 to $23.09B
• Net income increased 11.3% YoY to $1.32B
• Gross margin improved from 33.46% to 34.39%
• Net margin expanded from 5.35% to 5.70%

Recent Developments

• The stock has seen insider buying activity, with a director purchasing shares at $113.65 in November 2024
• GPC maintains its status as a Dividend King with 68 consecutive years of dividend increases
• Current dividend yield of 3.3% is attractive compared to historical levels

Market Position

• Strong market presence through 6,000+ NAPA stores
• Industrial segment represents 38% of business, providing diversification
• Total addressable market of $350B suggests room for growth

Based on these factors, GPC does not appear overvalued at current levels. The company's:

1. Declining valuation multiples
2. Improving operational metrics
3. Strong dividend history
4. Recent insider buying
5. Solid market position

These factors suggest the stock is reasonably valued or potentially undervalued relative to its fundamentals and growth prospects.

Genuine Parts Company is a global service company specializing in the distribution of automotive and industrial replacement parts. The Company operates through two segments: Automotive Parts Group (Automotive) and Industrial Parts Group (Industrial). Automotive segment distributes replacement parts (other than body parts) for substantially all makes and models of automobiles, trucks, and other vehicles. Industrial segment distributes a wide variety of industrial bearings, mechanical and fluid power transmission equipment, including hydraulic and pneumatic products, material handling components and related parts and supplies. The Company distributes automotive parts, accessories and solutions in North America, Europe and Australasia. Its automotive businesses offer complete inventory, cataloging, marketing, training and other programs for the aftermarket in each of these regions. Its automotive network includes installers, fleet, government, and major accounts.

Based on the available data and market analysis, here is the price prediction for GPC stock by 2030:

Genuine Parts Company (GPC) stock is projected to reach $185-195 by 2030, representing a 51-60% increase from current levels. This forecast is supported by the company's strong business model in automotive and industrial parts distribution, with an estimated 7% long-term earnings growth rate. The company's expanding global presence and steady transition into industrial markets (currently 38% of business) provides additional growth catalysts.

The automotive aftermarket sector's continued strength, driven by aging vehicle fleets and increased maintenance demands, combined with GPC's dominant NAPA brand position across 6,000+ stores, supports this long-term bullish outlook.

GPC has a total of 60000 employees.