Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the recent data and market trends, here's a concise analysis for TCOM stock:

Technical Analysis

• Strong upward momentum with the stock reaching $47.34 on Friday, showing a 6% gain
• RSI-14 at 46.39 indicates neutral territory, not overbought or oversold
• MACD shows slight bearish divergence (-0.42) but improving momentum

Recent Performance & Catalysts

• Q4 earnings slightly missed EPS estimates (¥3.85 vs ¥3.89) but revenue topped expectations at ¥12.32B
• Stock has gained 41.57% over the past year, demonstrating strong momentum
• Pre-market trading shows +1.95% increase, indicating continued positive sentiment

Market Position

• Currently trading above key moving averages (SMA 200: 57.37)
• Fibonacci analysis suggests next resistance at 71.12 with support at 64.04
• Bernstein analysts maintain positive outlook on TCOM's long-term AI integration benefits

Based on the technical strength, positive earnings momentum, and favorable analyst sentiment, TCOM stock appears positioned for further upside. The current price level presents a reasonable entry point for investors looking to capitalize on China's travel sector recovery and technology integration.

Based on the provided data and market analysis, here is the price prediction for TCOM stock in 2025:

TCOM is expected to reach $75-78 by end of 2025, representing a ~10-15% upside from current levels, driven by China's travel recovery and the company's strong market position. The stock has shown strong technical momentum with key support at $64 and resistance at $71.12 based on Fibonacci levels, while maintaining healthy fundamentals with Forward P/E of 16.42.

The target price is supported by:

• Continued recovery in Chinese domestic and international travel market
• Strong technical uptrend with price holding above key moving averages
• Healthy revenue growth of 17% year-over-year
• Leading market position in online travel services

The S1 support level for TCOM Stock is $57.72 ,The R1 resistant level for TCOM Stock is $70.36.

As of the end of day on 2025-02-27, the price of TCOM Stock was $57.16.

The target price for TCOM Stock according to analyst rating is 83.67, with the highest price target at 100.00 and the lowest at 78.00. Analysts have a Strong Buy rating on TCOM Stock overall.

The market cap of TCOM is $39.1B.

Based on the provided data and current market conditions, let's analyze if TCOM is overvalued:

Valuation Analysis:

Key Financial Metrics:

• Revenue Growth: 122% YoY (2023 vs 2022)
• Net Income Growth: 607% YoY (2023 vs 2022)
• Current P/E: 17.29x (Q4 2023), significantly lower than peak of 111.12x in Q4 2022
• EV/EBITDA: 13.34x, showing consistent decline from 1787.84x in Q4 2022
• P/S: 3.86x, decreased from 7.81x in Q4 2022

Technical Analysis:

• RSI(14) at 46.39 indicates neutral momentum
• Stock trading near its 60-day SMA of 68.65
• Current price shows strong support at Fibonacci level of 64.04

Conclusion: TCOM is not overvalued based on five key factors:

1. Significant improvement in profitability metrics
2. Reasonable P/E ratio compared to historical levels
3. Declining EV/EBITDA showing better operational efficiency
4. Strong revenue and earnings growth momentum
5. Technical indicators suggesting balanced market sentiment

Trip.com Group Ltd is a China-based company mainly engaged in the operation of one-stop travel platform. The Company's platform integrates a comprehensive suite of travel products and services and differentiated travel content. Its platform aggregates its product and service offerings, reviews and other content shared by its users based on their real travel experiences, and original content from its ecosystem partners to enable leisure and business travelers to have access to travel experiences and make informed and cost-effective bookings. Users come to its platform for any type of trip, from in-destination activities, weekend getaways, and short-haul trips, to cross-border vacations and business trips.

Based on the available data and market analysis, here's a projection for TCOM's stock price in 2030:

TCOM's stock price is projected to reach $125-130 by 2030, driven by China's robust travel market recovery and the company's successful AI integration. The company's recent strong financial performance, combined with its strategic position in the Chinese travel sector and effective monetization of AI technologies for business optimization, supports this growth trajectory.

The projection is based on:

1. Strong Market Position: Trip.com has demonstrated resilient performance with consistent revenue growth and market share expansion in China's travel sector.

2. AI Integration: The company is effectively implementing AI technologies to optimize operations and enhance customer experience, which analysts expect will contribute positively to long-term EPS growth.

3. Technical Strength: Current technical indicators show the stock trading above key moving averages, with strong support levels established around the $67-68 range, suggesting a solid foundation for future growth.

TCOM has a total of 36249 employees.