Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the current market data and recent analyst ratings, KMB stock appears to be in a challenging position.

Technical Analysis The stock is currently trading at $128.41, showing a modest gain of 1.09% in the regular trading session. The RSI of 48.32 indicates neutral momentum, while the MACD at -1.45 suggests bearish sentiment in the near term.

Fundamental Analysis & Recent Events Recent analyst actions have been predominantly cautious:

• RBC Capital maintains Buy rating with $165 target (28.49% upside)
• Barclays lowered PT to $132 from $144 (Hold)
• JP Morgan cut PT to $124 from $140 (Sell)
• UBS reduced PT to $132 from $151 (Hold)
• Citigroup lowered PT to $118 from $125 (Strong Sell)

Key Concerns

1. Revenue decline: Latest quarterly revenue showed a 3.51% decrease
2. Margin pressure: While margins have expanded historically, analysts expect challenges ahead due to competitive pressures
3. Upcoming earnings: KMB is scheduled to report earnings on January 28, 2025, with analysts showing some bearishness regarding estimates

Positive Factors

1. Defensive nature: KMB's consumer staples business model provides stability
2. Dividend yield: Currently offers an attractive yield around 3.76%
3. Market position: Strong brand portfolio including Huggies, Kleenex, and Kotex

Conclusion SELL recommendation at current levels. The combination of revenue decline, analyst downgrades, and technical weakness suggests better entry points may emerge in the future. The upcoming earnings report could create additional volatility.

Based on the provided data and context, here is my analysis for KMB's stock price prediction in 2025:

Technical Analysis

The stock is currently trading at $128.41 with a relatively weak technical position, as indicated by:

• RSI at 48.32 showing neutral momentum but slightly bearish bias
• Trading near its 20-day moving average of $128.15, suggesting sideways consolidation
• Fibonacci resistance levels at $128.13 (R1) and $129.21 (R2)

Fundamental Drivers

• Recent earnings showed revenue decline but improved profit margins year-over-year
• Corporate insider sentiment is negative with increased selling activity compared to earlier periods
• RBC Capital maintains a Buy rating with $165 price target, while Barclays has a Hold rating
• The company faces margin pressures but has shown ability to expand profitability through cost controls

Price Target Scenarios

Based on the technical and fundamental factors, here are the price scenarios for KMB in 2025:

Bullish Case ($165): Driven by successful margin expansion and meeting RBC Capital's target. Probability: 25% Base Case ($135): Modest growth supported by stable consumer staples demand. Probability: 50% Bearish Case ($120): Continued revenue pressure and margin compression. Probability: 25%

The most likely scenario points to KMB reaching $135 by end of 2025, representing about 5% upside from current levels. This is supported by:

1. The company's defensive consumer staples position
2. Track record of margin management
3. Current technical consolidation pattern suggesting accumulation

The S1 support level for KMB Stock is $124.63 ,The R1 resistant level for KMB Stock is $128.13.

As of the end of day on 2025-01-24, the price of KMB Stock was $128.04.

The target price for KMB Stock according to analyst rating is 149.09, with the highest price target at 165.00 and the lowest at 130.00. Analysts have a Hold rating on KMB Stock overall.

The market cap of KMB is $42.8B.

Valuation Analysis:

Based on the latest data, KMB appears to be overvalued for several key reasons:

1. The PE ratio has been declining but remains elevated at 18.45x in Q3 2024, significantly higher than historical averages.

2. EV/EBITDA at 11.89x indicates the company is trading at a premium compared to its historical valuation levels.

3. Price-to-Sales ratio has increased to 2.39x, suggesting investors are paying more for each dollar of revenue.

4. The company's Price-to-Book ratio at 36.93x is exceptionally high, indicating significant overvaluation from a book value perspective.

5. The declining dividend yield trend (from 3.68% to 3.40%) while maintaining high valuation multiples suggests investors may be overpaying for the defensive characteristics of the stock.

Kimberly-Clark Corporation is principally engaged in the manufacturing and marketing of a range of products made from natural or synthetic fibers and materials using advanced technologies in fibers, nonwovens and absorbency. The Company has three segments. Personal Care segment offer solutions and products, such as disposable diapers, training and youth pants, swimpants, baby wipes, feminine and incontinence care products, reusable underwear and other related products. Products in this segment are sold under the Huggies, Pull-Ups, Little Swimmers, GoodNites, DryNites, Sweety, Kotex and other brand names. Consumer Tissue segment offers facial and bathroom tissue, paper towels, napkins and related products, and are sold under the Kleenex, Scott, Cottonelle, Andrex, Viva, Scottex and other brand names. K-C Professional segment offers wipers, tissue, towels, personal protective equipment, soaps and sanitizers under the Kleenex, Scott, WypAll, Kimtech and KleenGuard brand name.

Based on the available data and analysis, here is the price prediction for KMB stock by 2030:

KMB stock is projected to reach $175-185 by 2030, representing a 36-44% increase from current levels around $128. The growth will likely be driven by the company's ongoing margin expansion initiatives and strategic focus on premium products, though tempered by moderate revenue growth expectations.

The company's strong market position in essential consumer products and consistent dividend growth provide stability, but challenges from private label competition and input cost pressures may limit dramatic upside.

Recent analyst ratings show a mixed outlook with price targets ranging from $130-165, suggesting near-term caution but long-term value potential as the company executes its transformation plans.

KMB has a total of 41000 employees.