Based on the provided data, here's a concise analysis of KMB's valuation:
Valuation Analysis:
KMB's current P/E ratio of 23.34 and EV/EBITDA of 12.97 suggest moderate overvaluation compared to historical levels. The stock's P/S ratio of 2.01 and P/B ratio of 44.75 also indicate premium pricing relative to fundamentals.
Technical Indicators:
The stock is showing overbought signals with RSI at 71.83 and stochastic RSI at 100, while trading above both its 20-day (132.35) and 200-day (135.40) moving averages. The current price of $140.59 is testing the upper Bollinger Band at 142.78.
Financial Performance:
Net income declined from $1.93B in 2022 to $1.76B in 2023, while net margin decreased from 9.72% to 8.63%. Despite revenue growth of 1.27% YoY, profitability metrics show deterioration.
Market Sentiment:
Recent analyst coverage shows mixed sentiment, with price targets ranging from $130 to $165, averaging $147.57. The stock offers a 3.88% dividend yield, which is attractive but may not fully compensate for the current valuation premium.
Conclusion:
Yes, KMB appears overvalued at current levels due to declining profitability metrics, premium valuation multiples, and overbought technical indicators. The stock's defensive nature and dividend yield may justify some premium, but current prices exceed fundamental support.