Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the recent price action and technical indicators, TLK stock shows a bullish momentum with the price breaking above its recent resistance level at $24.5. The stock has formed a strong upward trend since January 2024, with increasing volume supporting the move.

The RSI reading of 44.21 indicates neutral momentum, while the MACD shows a potential bullish crossover forming. The stock is currently trading above its 5-day moving average of $15.05, suggesting short-term strength.

Recent news indicates TLK offers an attractive dividend yield of 4.64% with a sustainable payout ratio of 53%. The company has increased its dividend 3 times in the last 5 years with an average annual increase of 7.97%, demonstrating commitment to shareholder returns.

Buy Signal Factors:

• Breaking above resistance level
• Increasing trading volume
• Attractive dividend yield
• Sustainable payout ratio
• Expected earnings growth of 5.52% this fiscal year

The stock appears to be a compelling buy at current levels with a Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy), supported by both technical momentum and fundamental strength.

Based on technical analysis and market data, TLK stock is projected to reach $17.18 by end of 2025, supported by its strong Fibonacci R3 resistance level and positive momentum indicators. The stock shows a bullish trend with key support at $15.23 (Fibonacci pivot) and multiple resistance levels suggesting upward potential. Current technical indicators including RSI and MACD patterns, combined with the stock's position relative to its moving averages (SMA), indicate a moderate upward trajectory for the remainder of 2025.

The S1 support level for TLK Stock is $14.51 ,The R1 resistant level for TLK Stock is $16.33.

As of the end of day on 2025-02-21, the price of TLK Stock was $15.96.

The market cap of TLK is $1.6T.

Based on the provided data and analysis, here's a direct assessment of TLK's valuation:

Valuation Analysis:

• Current P/E ratio of 16.91 is reasonable for the telecom sector
• EV/EBITDA of 5.04 indicates the company is undervalued compared to industry peers
• Price-to-Sales ratio of 2.38 suggests fair pricing relative to revenue generation
• Price-to-Book ratio of 2.85 shows moderate valuation of assets

Technical Indicators:

• RSI at 44.21 indicates neutral momentum, neither overbought nor oversold
• Trading below all major moving averages (5,10,20,60,200-day)
• Currently at $15.52, showing recent weakness with price below key technical levels

Financial Strength:

• Strong gross margin improvement from 47.9% to 73.91% year-over-year
• ROE increased significantly from 16.6% to 36.03%
• Net margin expanded from 18.82% to 21.49%
• Reduced debt-to-equity ratio from 42.16% to 30.77%

Based on these metrics, TLK is currently NOT overvalued. The stock appears to be fairly valued to slightly undervalued, supported by strong financial metrics, reasonable valuation multiples, and improving operational efficiency.

PT Telkom Indonesia (Persero) Tbk is an Indonesia-based telecommunication company. The Company is engaged in information and communication technology (ICT) services and telecommunications networks. The Company operates through four primary reportable segments, namely mobile, consumer, enterprise, and WIB. The Mobile segment provides mobile voice, SMS, value added services, and mobile broadband. The Consumer segment provides Indihome services and other telecommunication services to home customers. The Enterprise segment provides end-to-end solution to corporate and institutions. The WIB segment provides interconnection services, leased lines, satellite, small aperture terminal, broadband access, information technology services, data, and internet services to other licensed operator companies and institutions. Other segment provides digital content products, big data, business to business commerce, and financial services to individual and corporate customers.

Based on the provided data and analysis, here is the price prediction for TLK stock by 2030:

Price Target 2030: $28.40

Key Drivers:

• Growth Fundamentals

• Strong market position in Indonesia's telecom sector
• Steady revenue growth from mobile and fixed broadband services
• Expanding digital services and enterprise solutions

• Technical Analysis

• Current price at $15.52 shows consolidation phase
• RSI at 44.21 indicates neutral momentum
• Support levels at $14.48 and resistance at $15.97

Growth Trajectory:

• 2025-2026: Expected 8-10% annual growth
• 2027-2028: Projected 6-8% growth as market matures
• 2029-2030: Stabilized 5-6% growth rate

Key Catalysts:

• 5G network expansion across Indonesia
• Digital transformation initiatives
• Growing data consumption
• Enterprise segment expansion

Risk Factors:

• Regulatory changes
• Increased competition
• Currency fluctuations
• Technology disruption

The $28.40 target represents an 83% upside from current levels over 5 years, implying ~12.8% annual returns, driven by Indonesia's digital economy growth and TLK's market leadership position.

TLK has a total of 23064 employees.