YPF Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how YPF performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, YPF sees a -4.86% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +9.41% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.32%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
YPF Key Earning Data
2024/Q4
Year Over Year
Quarter Over Quarter
Total Revenue
5.38B
13.70%
8.45%
Gross Margin
30.15%
99.67%
2.27%
Operating Margin
14.42%
3894.74%
18.78%
Net Margin
27.86%
737.53%
159.16%
EPS
3.78
800.00%
186.36%
No Data Available
YPF Earnings Analysis
YPF Sociedad Anonima Corporation (YPF.N) Earnings Conference Call
Positive
EBITDA Growth Amid Challenges: We achieved a strong level of EBITDA, 13% up sequentially and even higher 47% up in interannually, despite recent rain contract and extreme weather conditions in Patagonia during July that affected our conventional production.
Revenue Increase Driven by Sales: Revenues reached $5.3 billion, 7% up sequentially, mainly driven by higher seasonal sales of gas, as well as growing oil exports to Chile and better fuel prices.
Adjusted EBITDA Increase: Adjusted EBITDA totaled almost $1.4 billion, 13% up sequentially, primarily due to the higher seasonal sales of gas, coupled with higher shale hydrocarbon production and better fuel prices.
Hydrocarbon Production Increase: Total hydrocarbon production averaged 559,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day rising 4% sequentially and 8% interannually, driven by solid performance in our shale operations, which is our core business and focus since last December.
Shale Oil Production Increase: We produced 36% more shale oil than Q3 last year, now representing almost half of our total production.
Negative
EBITDA Growth Challenges: Despite achieving a strong level of EBITDA growth of 47% year-over-year, the company faced significant challenges due to recent rain contract issues and extreme weather conditions affecting production in Patagonia.
Revenue Increase Challenges: Revenues reached $5.3 billion, reflecting only a 7% sequential increase, which was partially offset by lower conventional production due to operational challenges in Patagonia.
Adjusted EBITDA Analysis: The adjusted EBITDA totaled almost $1.4 billion, primarily driven by higher seasonal gas sales, but was offset by increased costs related to extreme weather conditions and inflation.
Negative Free Cash Flow: The company reported a negative free cash flow of $173 million, primarily due to higher debt service payments and growing upstream activity costs.
Quarterly Capital Expenditure Increase: Total CapEx for the quarter was reported at $1.4 billion, which is a 13% increase sequentially, indicating rising costs and investment pressures.
YPF FAQs
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YPF Earning Call Sentiment
YPF Sociedad Anónima (YPF) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
1.0x
00:00
00:00
YPF.N
-3.46%Positive
The earnings call presents a mixed but overall positive outlook. Strong financial performance with record revenue and EBITDA growth, alongside optimistic guidance for production and cost reduction, suggests a favorable market reaction. The Q&A reveals positive sentiment towards LNG expansion and potential partnerships, despite some uncertainties. The lack of a shareholder return plan is a minor negative, but not enough to outweigh the positives. Given the market's potential for growth and strategic investments, a positive stock price movement between 2% to 8% is expected.
