YPF

YPF SA

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Advanced Chart

35.770

-0.43(-1.188%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

Line

Candle

YTD

High

36.520

Open

36.100

VWAP

35.72

Vol

1.77M

Mkt Cap

14.07B

Low

35.265

Amount

63.17M

EV/EBITDA(TTM)

6.36

Total Shares

393.31M

28.95T

EV/OCF(TTM)

6.13

P/S(TTM)

0.99

YPF SA, also known as Yacimientos Petroliferos Fiscales, is an Argentina-based company in the energy sector operating a fully integrated oil and gas chain. The Company operates through the segments, including Exploration and Production, Downstream, and Corporate and Other. The Company's Exploration and Production segment includes exploration and production activities, natural gas and crude oil purchases, sales of natural gas, and to a lesser extent crude oil, to third parties and intersegment sales of crude oil, natural gas and its byproducts. The Company's Downstream segment is engaged in the refining, transport, purchase of crude oil and natural gas from third parties and intersegment sales, and marketing of crude oil, natural gas, refined products, petrochemicals, electric power generation and natural gas distribution. The Company's Corporate and Other segment carries out other activities.

Market Estimates

Earnings Estimates

Revenue

YoY Chg

EPS

YoYChg

FY2025Q4

FY2025Q3

FY2025Q2

4.89T

-3.22%

5.42T

+2.91%

5.08T

+9.93%

Estimates Revision

The market is revising Upward the revenue expectations for YPF Sociedad Anónima (YPF) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by 5.58% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by 18.17%.

Revenue Estimates for FY2025

Revise Upward

+5.58%

In Past 3 Month

EPS Estimates for FY2025

Revise Downward

-17.51%

In Past 3 Month

Stock Price

Go Up

+18.17%

In Past 3 Month

2 Analyst Rating

25.80% Upside

Wall Street analysts forecast YPF stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for YPF is 45.00 USD with a low forecast of 42.00 USD and a high forecast of 48.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

2 Buy

0 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

25.80% Upside

Current: 35.770

Low

42.00

Averages

45.00

High

48.00

25.80% Upside

Current: 35.770

Low

42.00

Averages

45.00

High

48.00

Citi

Neutral -> Buy

upgrade

$44 -> $48

2025-05-19

Reason

Citi

Price Target

$44 -> $48

2025-05-19

upgrade

Neutral -> Buy

Reason

Citi upgraded YPF to Buy from Neutral with a price target of $48, up from $44. The firm is more constructive on Argentina energy after the country reached a deal with the International Monetary Fund, even in an environment of lower oil prices. Citi cites lower country risk, a better downstream outlook and its new Vaca Muerta development models for the upgrade of YPG.

HSBC

Liyanna Yang

Sell

Hold

Upgrades

$21 → $33

2025-04-14

Reason

HSBC

Liyanna Yang

Price Target

$21 → $33

2025-04-14

Upgrades

Sell

Hold

Reason

HSBC upgraded YPF to Hold from Reduce with a price target of $33, up from $21. On Friday night, the Argentinean government and IMF confirmed a four-year Extended Fund Facility of $20B, including the lifting of almost all capital controls, elimination of export currency blend and flexibilization of currency access for imports, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm views this as a "big step towards economic normalization."

JP Morgan

Rodolfo Angele

Hold

Buy

Upgrades

$25 → $60

2025-01-10

Reason

JP Morgan

Rodolfo Angele

Price Target

$25 → $60

2025-01-10

Upgrades

Hold

Buy

Reason

JPMorgan analyst Rodolfo Angele upgraded YPF to Overweight from Neutral with a price target of $59.50, up from $25. JPMorgan is constructive on Argentina's oil and gas industry and, despite the rally, still sees upside potential in the region. Under the new government, significant changes like oil deregulation, fuel price alignment with international parity, and incentives have transformed the sector, the analyst tells investors in a research note. It does not think that it is too late to invest in the group. The upgrade of YPF reflects expectations of further growth, aligned with the more favorable scenario for the industry, contends JPMorgan.

B of A Securities

Frank McGann

Hold

Strong Buy

Upgrades

$31 → $55

2024-12-09

Reason

B of A Securities

Frank McGann

Price Target

$31 → $55

2024-12-09

Upgrades

Hold

Strong Buy

Reason

UBS

Tasso Vasconcellos

Strong Buy

Hold

Downgrades

$30 → $38

2024-12-04

Reason

UBS

Tasso Vasconcellos

Price Target

$30 → $38

2024-12-04

Downgrades

Strong Buy

Hold

Reason

UBS downgraded YPF to Neutral from Buy with a price target of $38, up from $30.

Citigroup

Andres Cardona

Strong Buy

Hold

Downgrades

$33 → $44

2024-11-27

Reason

Citigroup

Andres Cardona

Price Target

$33 → $44

2024-11-27

Downgrades

Strong Buy

Hold

Reason

Citi downgraded YPF to Neutral from Buy with a price target of $44, up from $33. In the more than a year since Javier Milei was elected as the President of Argentina, the rapid fiscal adjustment process has driven a markedly more positive investor sentiment towards Argentinean assets that contrasts with a challenging economic environment in its LatAm neighborhood, especially for the oil and gas players, the analyst says. While "quite constructive" on the Energy sector all year, the firm is "reluctant to chase the rally at this point," leading it to downgrade YPF.

See All Ratings

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for YPF SA (YPF.N) is 13.27, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 11.26. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess YPF SA 's fair value, click here.

Forward PE

The forward P/E ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future earnings per share over the next 12 months.

N/A

5Y Average PE

11.26

Current PE

13.27

Overvalued PE

48.02

Undervalued PE

-25.50

Forward EV/EBITDA

The forward EV/EBITDA ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's enterprise value (EV) by its estimated future earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) over the next 12 months.

Overvalued

5Y Average EV/EBITDA

2.75

Current EV/EBITDA

3.88

Overvalued EV/EBITDA

3.78

Undervalued EV/EBITDA

1.72

Forward PS

The forward P/S ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future sales (or revenue) per share over the next 12 months.

Overvalued

5Y Average PS

0.40

Current PS

0.80

Overvalued PS

0.66

Undervalued PS

0.15