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YPF Should I Buy

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$
0.000
0.000(0.000%)
At close
0.000(0.000%)Aft-market
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OverviewStock Price PredictionTechnicalValuationFinancialsEarningsShould I BuyNews & Events
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Intellectia

Should You Buy YPF SA (YPF) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
40.590
1 Day change
-3.06%
52 Week Range
48.950
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/17
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YPF is not a strong buy at this moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy and $50,000-$100,000 to invest. The technical indicators show a bearish trend, and the pre-market price is down by 3.13%. While there are positive catalysts like the Halliburton contract and improved financial metrics YoY, the overall sentiment and trading signals do not suggest a compelling entry point right now.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is negatively expanding (-0.508), RSI is neutral at 37.584, and moving averages are converging, indicating no clear trend. The stock is trading near its support level (S1: 41.691) with a pre-market price of 40.56, which is below the key pivot level of 43.701. This suggests bearish momentum.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
4
Buy
9

Positive Catalysts

  • Halliburton's multibillion-dollar contract with YPF for unconventional completions services in the Vaca Muerta shale play, indicating potential growth in operations.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Pre-market price drop of 3.13%, bearish technical indicators, and a projected negative trend in the next week (-3.07%) and month (-10.21%).

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue dropped by -5.03% YoY, but net income improved significantly (+95.89% YoY), and EPS increased by 97.47% YoY. Gross margin also improved by 37.80% YoY to 28.58.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

HSBC raised the price target to $40 from $36 with a Hold rating, while JPMorgan raised the price target to $54 from $51 with an Overweight rating. Analysts see upside risks to oil prices but remain cautious overall.

Wall Street analysts forecast YPF stock price to fall
3 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast YPF stock price to fall
2 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 41.870
sliders
Low
39.4
Averages
41.13
High
44
Current: 41.870
sliders
Low
39.4
Averages
41.13
High
44
HSBC
Hold
maintain
$36 -> $40
AI Analysis
2026-03-12
Reason
HSBC
Price Target
$36 -> $40
AI Analysis
2026-03-12
maintain
Hold
Reason
HSBC raised the firm's price target on YPF to $40 from $36 and keeps a Hold rating on the shares. The firm sees upside risks to oil prices and increased estimates accordingly for the Latin America oil names.
JPMorgan
Rodolfo Angele
Overweight
maintain
$51 -> $54
2026-02-12
Reason
JPMorgan
Rodolfo Angele
Price Target
$51 -> $54
2026-02-12
maintain
Overweight
Reason
JPMorgan analyst Rodolfo Angele raised the firm's price target on YPF to $54 from $51 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares.
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