YPF Should I Buy
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YPF does not present a strong buy opportunity at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. While there is some positive sentiment from analysts and a potential for long-term growth, the company's recent financial performance and technical indicators suggest caution. The investor may consider holding off on purchasing until clearer signals of recovery or growth are evident.
The MACD is below zero and negatively contracting, indicating a bearish momentum. RSI is neutral at 57.779, and moving averages are converging, showing no clear trend. The stock is trading near its pivot level of 36.177, with resistance at 38.251 and support at 34.102.
Analyst Rodolfo Angele from JPMorgan raised the price target to $54, maintaining an Overweight rating. The company projects strong EBITDA growth for 2026, with investments of $5.5 billion to $5.8 billion planned.
The company reported a Q4 net loss of $649 million, with a 4% revenue decline. Financials for 2025/Q3 showed significant YoY declines in revenue (-11.42%), net income (-113.07%), and EPS (-112.96%). Gross margin also dropped by 5.64%.
YPF's recent financial performance has been weak, with notable declines in revenue, net income, and EPS in 2025/Q3. However, the company reported a 53% increase in adjusted EBITDA for Q4 2025, indicating some operational improvements.
JPMorgan analyst Rodolfo Angele raised the price target to $54 from $51 and maintained an Overweight rating, reflecting positive sentiment from analysts.
