Should I Buy YPF? YPF 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy YPF SA (YPF) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

39.770

1 Day change

3.03%

52 Week Range

41.180

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/26

YPF is not a strong buy for a beginner, long-term investor at this moment. The technical indicators show some bullish momentum, but the company's financial performance is weak, with significant declines in revenue, net income, and EPS. Additionally, there are no recent positive catalysts or significant insider or hedge fund activity to support a strong buy recommendation. The options data suggests a bullish sentiment, but it is not enough to outweigh the negative financial performance and lack of strong growth prospects.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is positive and expanding, indicating bullish momentum. The RSI is neutral at 68.238, and moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200). The current price is near the R1 resistance level of 36.411, suggesting limited immediate upside potential. Key support is at 33.638.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The low put-call ratios indicate bullish sentiment in the options market, with calls significantly outweighing puts in both open interest and volume.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

Bullish technical indicators and options sentiment. Historical data suggests a 70% chance of a 5.47% increase in the next week and 27.75% in the next month.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Weak financial performance in Q3 2025, with revenue down 11.42% YoY, net income down 113.07% YoY, and EPS down 112.96% YoY. No recent news, insider activity, or hedge fund trends to support a strong buy.

Financial Performance

In Q3 2025, revenue dropped to $4.76 billion (-11.42% YoY), net income fell to -$193.69 million (-113.07% YoY), and EPS decreased to -$0.49 (-112.96% YoY). Gross margin also declined to 28.45% (-5.64% YoY).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No recent analyst ratings or price target changes available.

3 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast YPF stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for YPF is 41.13 USD with a low forecast of 39.4 USD and a high forecast of 44 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

2 Buy

1 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

Current: 38.600

Low

39.4

Averages

41.13

High

Current: 38.600

Low

39.4

Averages

41.13

High

JPMorgan

Rodolfo Angele

Overweight

downgrade

$47 -> $44

AI Analysis

2025-10-17

Reason

JPMorgan

Rodolfo Angele

Price Target

$47 -> $44

AI Analysis

2025-10-17

downgrade

Overweight

Reason

JPMorgan analyst Rodolfo Angele lowered the firm's price target on YPF to $44 from $47 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The analyst updated the company's model.

Citi

Neutral -> Buy

upgrade

$44 -> $48

2025-05-19

Reason

Citi

Price Target

$44 -> $48

2025-05-19

upgrade

Neutral -> Buy

Reason

Citi upgraded YPF to Buy from Neutral with a price target of $48, up from $44. The firm is more constructive on Argentina energy after the country reached a deal with the International Monetary Fund, even in an environment of lower oil prices. Citi cites lower country risk, a better downstream outlook and its new Vaca Muerta development models for the upgrade of YPG.

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YPF Should I Buy

YPF Should I Buy

Should You Buy YPF SA (YPF) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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