YPF Should I Buy
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YPF SA is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. While there are positive developments in the LNG project and a bullish moving average trend, the company's poor financial performance, lack of significant trading signals, and neutral sentiment from hedge funds and insiders suggest a cautious approach. The stock may be worth monitoring for future opportunities.
The stock shows a bullish moving average trend (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200). However, the MACD histogram is negative (-0.151) and expanding downward, and the RSI is neutral at 40.011. The stock is trading below the pivot level of 38.489, with key support at 37.396 and resistance at 39.581.
YPF has signed a joint development agreement with Italy's Eni and Adnoc's XRG for the Argentina LNG project, which could enhance Argentina's role in the global LNG market. The project aims to produce 12 million tons per year of LNG, marking a significant milestone.
The company's financial performance in Q3 2025 showed significant declines, with revenue down 11.42% YoY, net income down 113.07% YoY, and EPS down 112.96% YoY. Gross margin also dropped by 5.64%. Additionally, there are no significant hedge fund or insider trading trends.
In Q3 2025, revenue dropped to $4.76 billion (-11.42% YoY), net income fell to -$193.69 million (-113.07% YoY), and EPS declined to -$0.49 (-112.96% YoY). Gross margin decreased to 28.45% (-5.64% YoY), indicating weak financial health.
JPMorgan analyst Rodolfo Angele recently raised the price target for YPF to $54 from $51 and maintained an Overweight rating, indicating optimism for the stock's future performance.
