YPF Valuation

YPF SA

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36.520

-0.5(-1.351%)1D

YPF Relative Valuation

YPF's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, YPF is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

YPF SA (YPF) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 54241.02 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of 8.93. The fair price of YPF SA (YPF) is between to according to relative valuation methord.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

Current Price：36.17

Fair

0.00

Trailing

Forward

4.28

EV/EBITDA

YPF SA. (YPF) has a current EV/EBITDA of 4.28. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 2.72. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.68, Undervalued between 0.68 and 1.70, Fairly Valued between 3.75 and 1.70, Overvalued between 3.75 and 4.77, and Strongly Overvalued above 4.77. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 4.28 falls within the Overvalued range.

8.83

EV/EBIT

YPF SA. (YPF) has a current EV/EBIT of 8.83. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 3.63. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -43.53, Undervalued between -43.53 and -19.95, Fairly Valued between 27.22 and -19.95, Overvalued between 27.22 and 50.80, and Strongly Overvalued above 50.80. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 8.83 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

54241.02

YPF SA. (YPF) has a current PS of 54241.02. The 5-year average PS is 216.12. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -6555.90, Undervalued between -6555.90 and -3169.89, Fairly Valued between 3602.12 and -3169.89, Overvalued between 3602.12 and 6988.13, and Strongly Overvalued above 6988.13. The current Forward PS of 54241.02 falls within the Strongly Overvalued range.

3.75

P/OCF

YPF SA. (YPF) has a current P/OCF of 3.75. The 5-year average P/OCF is 1.75. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -0.27, Undervalued between -0.27 and 0.74, Fairly Valued between 2.76 and 0.74, Overvalued between 2.76 and 3.77, and Strongly Overvalued above 3.77. The current Forward P/OCF of 3.75 falls within the Overvalued range.

-25.28

P/FCF

YPF SA. (YPF) has a current P/FCF of -25.28. The 5-year average P/FCF is -9.91. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -106.79, Undervalued between -106.79 and -58.35, Fairly Valued between 38.53 and -58.35, Overvalued between 38.53 and 86.97, and Strongly Overvalued above 86.97. The current Forward P/FCF of -25.28 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

YPF SA (YPF) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.52. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 0.88 , the current P/B ratio is approximately 72.42% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 0.62, the current P/B ratio is about 145.73% higher. YPF SA (YPF) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately -1.62%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 3.52%, the current FCF yield is approximately -146.17% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 20.11% , the current FCF yield is about -108.07% lower.

1.52

P/B

Median3y

0.88

Median5y

0.62

-1.62

FCF Yield

Median3y

3.52

Median5y

20.11

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for YPF's competitors is 9101.98, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. YPF SA Corp (YPF) exhibits a P/S ratio of 54241.02, which is 495.93% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of -4.91%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

Petroleo Brasileiro SA Petrobras

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of YPF decreased by 8.14% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in P/E Change from 10.26 to 18.88.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed -4.91%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of YPF in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.

-4.91%

4.96B → 4.72B

Revenue Growth

-87.16%

10.75 → 1.38

Margin Expansion

83.93%

10.26 → 18.88

P/E Change

-8.14%