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  3. MTCH
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MTCH

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    Overview
    Forecast
    Valuation
    Earnings
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EV/EBITDA(TTM)
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Market Estimates

Earnings Estimates
Earnings Estimates
Revenue
YoY Chg
EPS
YoYChg
FY2025Q4
FY2026Q1
FY2026Q2
872.84M
+1.47%
0.704
+19.29%
855.42M
+2.92%
0.531
+20.63%
887.20M
+2.72%
0.655
+33.74%
Estimates Revision
The market is revising Downward the revenue expectations for Match Group, Inc. (MTCH) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by -0.29% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by -11.24%.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
down Image
-0.29%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
up Image
+1.04%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
down Image
-11.24%
In Past 3 Month
Wall Street analysts forecast MTCH stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MTCH is 37.08 USD with a low forecast of 33.00 USD and a high forecast of 49.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
12 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast MTCH stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MTCH is 37.08 USD with a low forecast of 33.00 USD and a high forecast of 49.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
4 Buy
8 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 33.880
sliders
Low
33.00
Averages
37.08
High
49.00
Current: 33.880
sliders
Low
33.00
Averages
37.08
High
49.00
Evercore ISI
In Line
downgrade
$38 -> $35
2025-11-05
Reason
Evercore ISI
Price Target
$38 -> $35
2025-11-05
downgrade
In Line
Reason
Evercore ISI lowered the firm's price target on Match Group to $35 from $38 and keeps an In Line rating on the shares. Q3 results came in largely as expected, with a "noteworthy" 9% EBITDA beat, the analyst tells investors. However, "mixed" guidance for Q4, with revenue slightly below and EBITDA slightly above Street expectations, "adds a layer of complexity," the analyst added in an earnings recap.
Truist
Hold
downgrade
$37 -> $35
2025-11-05
Reason
Truist
Price Target
$37 -> $35
2025-11-05
downgrade
Hold
Reason
Truist lowered the firm's price target on Match Group to $35 from $37 and keeps a Hold rating on the shares. The company's Q3 results were in-line and its Q4 guidance was "mixed", showing that its transformation remains a work-in-progress, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Truist adds it remains on the sidelines until Tinder can show more tangible progress on delivering sustainable long-term growth.
Wells Fargo
Equal Weight
downgrade
$35 -> $33
2025-11-05
Reason
Wells Fargo
Price Target
$35 -> $33
2025-11-05
downgrade
Equal Weight
Reason
Wells Fargo lowered the firm's price target on Match Group to $33 from $35 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares. The firm says that ongoing product testing is weighing on near-term revenue growth, while cost saving initiatives are driving upside to EBITDA margin expectations. Net/net, 2026/2027 EBITDA estimates unchanged. Wells is still awaiting signs of Tinder MAU / payer growth inflection.
Morgan Stanley
Nathan Feather
Equal Weight
downgrade
$35 -> $34
2025-10-20
Reason
Morgan Stanley
Nathan Feather
Price Target
$35 -> $34
2025-10-20
downgrade
Equal Weight
Reason
Morgan Stanley analyst Nathan Feather lowered the firm's price target on Match Group (MTCH) to $34 from $35 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares. With GenAI "winner and loser" narratives swirling heading into Q3 EPS from the internet group, the firm is focused on revisions and evidence of GPU enabled revenue/return to "trump narratives and drive performance," says the analyst, who is "most constructive" on Meta (META), DoorDash (DASH), Unity (U) and eBay (EBAY) into Q3 reporting.
Susquehanna
Shyam Patil
Positive
maintain
$40 -> $45
2025-08-07
Reason
Susquehanna
Shyam Patil
Price Target
$40 -> $45
2025-08-07
maintain
Positive
Reason
Susquehanna analyst Shyam Patil raised the firm's price target on Match Group to $45 from $40 and keeps a Positive rating on the shares. The firm said the company's business continues to face headwinds, but is starting to see early signs of improvement as it executes on its turnaround strategy, exemplified by moderating headwinds at Tinder. The company is continuing to take steps in the right direction under CEO Spencer Rascoff through its unified AI effort and accelerated product roadmap.
JPMorgan
Neutral
upgrade
$28 -> $35
2025-08-06
Reason
JPMorgan
Price Target
$28 -> $35
2025-08-06
upgrade
Neutral
Reason
JPMorgan raised the firm's price target on Match Group to $35 from $28 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm believes Tinder is moving in the right direction following the company's Q2 report.
See All Ratings

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Match Group Inc (MTCH.O) is 12.71, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 25.81. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess Match Group Inc 's fair value, click here.
  • Forward PE
  • Forward EV/EBITDA
  • Forward PS

Forward PE

The forward P/E ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future earnings per share over the next 12 months.
StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
Fair
5Y Average PE
25.81
Current PE
12.71
Overvalued PE
46.69
Undervalued PE
4.93

Forward EV/EBITDA

The forward EV/EBITDA ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's enterprise value (EV) by its estimated future earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) over the next 12 months.
StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
N/A
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
18.19
Current EV/EBITDA
0.00
Overvalued EV/EBITDA
30.01
Undervalued EV/EBITDA
6.36

Forward PS

The forward P/S ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future sales (or revenue) per share over the next 12 months.
StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
N/A
5Y Average PS
5.59
Current PS
0.00
Overvalued PS
9.78
Undervalued PS
1.39
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Financials

Annual
Quarterly
N/A
Total Revenue
N/A
Operating Profit
N/A
Net Income after Tax
N/A
EPS - Diluted
N/A
Free Cash Flow
N/A
Gross Profit Margin - %
N/A
Net Margin - %
N/A
ROIC

Trading Trends

  • Insider
  • Hedge Fund
  • Congress Trading
Insider
Insiders are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
Bought
Hedge Fund
Hedge Funds areSelling! The selling amount has increased 2535.85% over the last quarter.
Sold
Bought
Congress Trading
Congress are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
Bought
Insider
Insiders are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
Bought
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MTCH News & Events

Events Timeline

(ET)
2025-11-04
16:14:56
Match Group projects Q4 revenue between $865M and $875M, below consensus estimate of $882.09M.
select
2025-11-04
16:14:23
Match Group announces Q3 earnings per share of 62 cents, below consensus estimate of 91 cents.
select
2025-09-22 (ET)
2025-09-22
14:18:01
Facebook Dating Introduces New Features to Combat Swipe Fatigue
select
link
Sign Up For More Events
Sign Up For More Events

News

[object Object]
Preview
3.0
11-28NASDAQ.COM
META vs. MTCH: Which Social Media Stock Holds the Advantage?

  • Meta Platforms' AI Integration: Meta is leveraging its vast user base and data to enhance user engagement through AI, resulting in increased ad revenues and a projected revenue of $56-$59 billion for Q4 2025, with a significant growth rate compared to the previous year.

  • Match Group's Market Potential: Match Group aims to tap into a large untapped market of 250 million singles not using dating apps, with innovative features on Tinder and a focus on re-engaging inactive users, expecting Q4 2025 revenues of $865-$875 million.

  • Stock Performance Comparison: Over the past year, Meta's shares have outperformed Match's, with an 11.3% increase compared to Match's 2.1%, although both companies hold a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold).

  • Valuation Insights: Meta is considered overvalued with a Value Score of C, while Match is seen as undervalued with a Value Score of A, indicating differing investment opportunities despite both benefiting from AI advancements.

[object Object]
Preview
7.0
11-27Newsfilter
Apple Challenges India's Antitrust Law Facing Potential $38 Billion Fine
  • Legal Challenge: Apple has filed a lawsuit in the Delhi High Court against India's antitrust body, arguing that the method of calculating fines based on global turnover is 'grossly disproportionate,' potentially exposing the company to fines of up to $38 billion, which could significantly impact its market strategy in India.
  • Market Position: Apple recorded its highest-ever quarterly shipments in India at 5 million units in Q3 2025, with expectations to sell around 15 million iPhones this year, potentially ranking among the top five smartphone brands in the country, highlighting its competitive strength in a rapidly growing market.
  • Supply Chain Diversification: Apple is actively diversifying its manufacturing supply chain from China to India, with exports from India reaching a record $12.8 billion in 2024, growing over 42% year-on-year, indicating a strategic shift in its global market positioning.
  • Antitrust Investigation: The Competition Commission of India is investigating whether Apple has engaged in 'abusive conduct' by forcing developers to pay high commissions for in-app purchases, a charge Apple denies, with the final verdict still pending, which could affect its operational model in India.
[object Object]
Preview
7.0
11-27CNBC
Apple is contesting a potential $38 billion fine from India's antitrust authority.

  • Apple's Legal Challenge: Apple has filed a case in Delhi High Court against India's Competition Commission, arguing that the use of global turnover for calculating penalties under the new antitrust law is unconstitutional and unjust, potentially exposing the company to fines of up to $38 billion.

  • Investigation by CCI: The Competition Commission of India is investigating complaints from Indian startups and Match Group regarding Apple's alleged abusive practices that force developers to use its in-app purchase system, which they claim restricts payment processing choices.

  • Record Sales in India: Apple achieved its highest quarterly shipments in India with 5 million units in Q3 2025 and is projected to sell around 15 million iPhones this year, potentially ranking among the top five smartphone companies in the country.

  • Manufacturing Shift: Apple is diversifying its manufacturing supply chain from China to India, with exports from India reaching a record $12.8 billion in 2024, marking a growth of over 42% from the previous year.

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FAQ

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What is Match Group Inc (MTCH) stock price today?

The current price of MTCH is 33.88 USD — it has increased 0.74 % in the last trading day.

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What is Match Group Inc (MTCH)'s business?

Match Group, Inc., through its portfolio companies, is a provider of digital technologies designed to help people make connections. The Company’s global portfolio of brands includes Tinder, Hinge, Match, Meetic, OkCupid, Pairs, Plenty Of Fish, Azar, BLK, and more, each built to increase its users' likelihood of connecting with others. Its segments include Tinder, Hinge, Evergreen & Emerging, and MG Asia. Tinder is an online dating platform with swipe technology. It offers Tinder Plus, Tinder Gold, or Tinder Platinum subscriptions. Hinge is an application focused on millennial and younger generations in English-speaking countries and several other European markets. It offers two premium subscriptions: Hinge+ and HingeX. MG Asia brands primarily focus on serving various Asian and Middle Eastern markets. MG Asia's brands are Azar and The Pairs. Match is an online dating application, and Meetic, a European online dating brand, are included in the Evergreen & Emerging segment.

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What is the price predicton of MTCH Stock?

Wall Street analysts forecast MTCH stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MTCH is 37.08 USD with a low forecast of 33.00 USD and a high forecast of 49.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

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What is Match Group Inc (MTCH)'s revenue for the last quarter?

Match Group Inc revenue for the last quarter amounts to 914.28M USD, increased 2.10 % YoY.

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What is Match Group Inc (MTCH)'s earnings per share (EPS) for the last quarter?

Match Group Inc. EPS for the last quarter amounts to 0.62 USD, increased 21.57 % YoY.

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What changes have occurred in the market's expectations for Match Group Inc (MTCH)'s fundamentals?

The market is revising Downward the revenue expectations for Match Group, Inc. (MTCH) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by -0.29% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by -11.24%.
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How many employees does Match Group Inc (MTCH). have?

Match Group Inc (MTCH) has 2500 emplpoyees as of December 05 2025.

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What is Match Group Inc (MTCH) market cap?

Today MTCH has the market capitalization of 8.00B USD.

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