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MTCH Earnings

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Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Match Group Inc(MTCH) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Match Group Inc earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
FY2025Q32025-11-04After Hours0.910.62-31.87912.43M914.28M+0.20+5.20+5.58
FY2025Q22025-08-05After Hours0.770.49-36.36854.11M863.74M+1.13+10.50+5.84
FY2025Q12025-05-08Pre-Market0.660.44-33.33827.36M831.18M+0.46-9.58-5.20
FY2024Q42025-02-04After Hours0.830.59-28.92857.62M860.18M+0.30-7.92-6.96
FY2024Q22024-07-30-0.480.48-856.55M864.07M+0.88+1.48+7.41
FY2024Q12024-05-07-0.400.44+10.00855.81M859.65M+0.45-2.26-3.97
FY2023Q42024-01-30-0.490.81+65.31861.29M866.23M+0.57-1.69-7.61
FY2023Q32023-10-31-0.530.57+7.55880.45M881.60M+0.13+1.65-16.42
FY2023Q22023-08-01-0.450.48+6.67811.47M829.55M+2.23-0.77-6.60
-2023-05-02-0.400.42+5.00----3.84-9.70
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MTCH Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Match Group Inc reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-11-04. The company achieved an EPS of 0.62, compared to analyst estimates of 0.91 by -31.87% . Revenue for the quarter reached 914.28M compared to expectations of 912.43M by 0.20% .
The stock price reacted with a 5.20% one-day change and a 5.58% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Match Group Inc growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

MTCH Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, Match Group Inc(MTCH) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 872.84M and an EPS of 0.70.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Downward by -0.29%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Upward by 1.04%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Downward by -1.06% . These revisions correlate with a -11.24% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Match Group Inc long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between MTCH's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
down Image
-0.29%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
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+1.04%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Downward
down Image
-1.06%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
down Image
-11.24%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:3.48B
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:2.23
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Stock Price33.88
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MTCH Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

Match Group Inc revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-11-04,After Hours):
EPS: 0.62 (Actual) vs.0.91 (Estimate) (-31.87%)
Revenue: 914.28M (Actual) vs. 912.43M (Estimate) (0.20%)
Price Reaction: 5.20%(1-Day), 5.58%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-08-05,After Hours):
EPS: 0.49 (Actual) vs.0.77 (Estimate) (-36.36%)
Revenue: 863.74M (Actual) vs. 854.11M (Estimate) (1.13%)
Price Reaction: 10.50%(1-Day), 5.84%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-05-08,Pre-Market):
EPS: 0.44 (Actual) vs.0.66 (Estimate) (-33.33%)
Revenue: 831.18M (Actual) vs. 827.36M (Estimate) (0.46%)
Price Reaction: -9.58%(1-Day), -5.20%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how MTCH performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, MTCH sees a +1.56% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -1.54% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -1.53%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed 5.20% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -0.19% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Transcript Summary

Match Group Inc (MTCH) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-11-04
The earnings call presents mixed signals: while there are positive developments in product innovation and international expansion, concerns about declining MAUs, a negative revenue headwind in Q4, and vague guidance on future profitability create uncertainties. The positive impact of cost-saving measures and strategic marketing efforts is offset by the lack of clear timelines for user growth recovery and profitability. Given these factors, the overall sentiment is neutral, as the potential upside from strategic initiatives is balanced by the current challenges and uncertainties.
Match Group Inc (MTCH) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-08-05
The earnings call summary reveals a strategic focus on product innovation, AI integration, and international expansion, which are positive indicators. Despite macroeconomic pressures on Tinder's revenue, the company is actively testing strategies to address these issues. Hinge's growth and new initiatives in Tinder are promising. The Q&A section highlights management's confidence in overcoming challenges and their commitment to enhancing user experience, supporting a positive sentiment. The strategic plan's workforce reduction for savings and unchanged revenue guidance further bolster a positive outlook, leading to a 2% to 8% stock price increase prediction.
Match Group Inc (MTCH) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-05-09
The earnings call shows mixed results: strong Hinge growth and cost reductions are positives, but declining revenues in other segments and unclear guidance on Tinder's future are concerns. The Q&A reveals management's strategic focus and cost-cutting efforts but highlights uncertainties in user engagement and industry challenges. The lack of clear guidance on Tinder's MAU decline and mandatory features adds to the uncertainty. Overall, the positive elements are balanced by negatives, leading to a neutral sentiment.
Match Group Inc (MTCH) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-05-08
The earnings call presents a mixed picture: while there is positive news in terms of commitment to shareholder returns and growth in Hinge revenue, there are concerns about declining revenue and user numbers, especially for Tinder. The Q&A reveals management's focus on cost efficiency and strategic reinvestment, but also highlights uncertainties around user trends and macroeconomic impacts. The lack of clear guidance on Tinder's MAU decline adds to the uncertainty. Overall, the sentiment is balanced between positive shareholder returns and negative user trends, leading to a neutral prediction.
Match Group Inc (MTCH) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-05-08
The earnings call reflects a mixed sentiment. While there are positive aspects such as a 3% revenue increase, Hinge's strong performance, and cost reductions, there are also concerns: declining Tinder metrics, unclear management responses, and the online dating industry's challenges. The Q&A section highlighted management's focus on efficiencies and growth but also revealed uncertainties, particularly around Tinder. Given these mixed signals, the sentiment is rated as neutral, anticipating a modest stock movement within -2% to 2%.
Match Group Inc (MTCH) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-02-06
The earnings call presents a mixed outlook: moderate revenue growth, solid AOI margins, and strong free cash flow generation are positives. However, flat revenue guidance, execution risks for 2025, and competitive pressures present concerns. The Q&A reveals some optimism about AI-driven initiatives and user trends, but management's vague responses on certain aspects add uncertainty. The lack of market cap information prevents precise impact assessment, but overall, the sentiment appears balanced, leading to a neutral prediction for stock price movement.
Match Group, Inc. (MTCH) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2024-11-07
The earnings call indicates mixed signals. While Hinge shows strong growth and positive user trends, Tinder's flat revenue guidance and weaker MAU trends are concerning. The company's commitment to shareholder returns and cost management is positive, but the lack of clear guidance on Tinder's future and the cautious approach to marketing spending suggest uncertainty. The Q&A highlights management's unclear responses on key issues, which may dampen investor confidence. Overall, the sentiment is neutral, reflecting balanced positive and negative factors.
Match Group, Inc. (MTCH) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-07-31
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance with 4% YoY revenue growth and 8% FX-neutral growth. Hinge's significant revenue increase and Tinder's stabilization are positive indicators. The commitment to return 75% of free cash flow via buybacks enhances shareholder value. Despite some challenges, such as a decline in payers and operating income, the overall sentiment remains positive due to effective monetization strategies, strong cash flow, and promising guidance. Additionally, the Q&A session highlighted strategic improvements and growth prospects, reinforcing a positive outlook.

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FAQ

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What were the key highlights of MTCH’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?

MTCH reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-11-04, showcasing a revenue of 914.28M against an estimate of 912.43M, resulting in a 0.2% surprise. The EPS was 0.62, surpassing the expected 0.91 by -31.87% . The stock experienced a 5.2% price change on the earnings day and a 5.58% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did MTCH’s stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?

Following MTCH’s FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-11-04, the stock price moved by 5.20% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a 5.58% change. Historically, MTCH’s stock price tends to shift by an average of +1.56% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and -1.54% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for MTCH for 2025/Q4?

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate MTCH’s annual revenue to reach 872.84M, while the EPS is projected at 0.70. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Downward by -0.29% and EPS estimates Revise Downward by -1.06% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
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How does MTCH’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between MTCH’s stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Downward by -0.29%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Downward by -1.06% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
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What should investors expect from MTCH’s next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, MTCH’s stock price typically moves by +1.56% in the 10 days before its earnings and -1.54% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 0.70 and revenue of 872.84M.
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What is the sentiment in Match Group Inc (MTCH) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

The earnings call presents mixed signals: while there are positive developments in product innovation and international expansion, concerns about declining MAUs, a negative revenue headwind in Q4, and vague guidance on future profitability create uncertainties. The positive impact of cost-saving measures and strategic marketing efforts is offset by the lack of clear timelines for user growth recovery and profitability. Given these factors, the overall sentiment is neutral, as the potential upside from strategic initiatives is balanced by the current challenges and uncertainties.
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