Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the provided data and recent market activity, here's a concise analysis for CRWD:

Technical Analysis

The stock is currently trading at $357.88, showing a -1.76% decline in the last regular market session. The RSI-14 at 51.09 indicates a neutral momentum, neither overbought nor oversold.

Recent Price Action & Support/Resistance

• Current Fibonacci levels indicate key support at $340.80 and resistance at $367.85
• The 20-day SMA at $355.67 is acting as a pivot point
• The stock has maintained position above both 50-day and 200-day moving averages, suggesting a sustained bullish trend

Analyst Sentiment

Strong bullish consensus from analysts with recent price target upgrades:

• Citigroup: $420 (Jan 17, 2025)
• RBC Capital: $420 (Jan 3, 2025)
• Goldman Sachs: $415 (Dec 24, 2024)
• Jefferies: $450 (Dec 19, 2024)

Key Catalysts

• Strong adoption of Falcon Flex platform driving growth
• Successful recovery from July 19 outage incident
• Continued market leadership in endpoint protection platforms

Risk Factors

• Recent insider selling activity noted with CSO Henry selling $1.42M worth of shares
• Some concerns about net revenue retention rates
• Premium valuation compared to peers

Conclusion Based on strong analyst support, technical strength, and fundamental growth drivers, CRWD appears positioned for continued upside. The current price point offers a reasonable entry with support levels nearby for risk management.

Based on the provided data and context, I'll analyze CRWD's price prediction for 2025:

Technical Analysis:

The stock is currently trading at $357.88 as of January 17, 2025, showing strong momentum with recent price action forming higher highs and higher lows. The stock has demonstrated resilience after recovering from the July 19, 2024 incident, where a software update error caused widespread IT outages.

Growth Drivers & Fundamentals:

1. Revenue Growth: The company maintains strong revenue growth at around 30% year-over-year, with Q3 FY2025 revenue reaching $1.01 billion.

2. Customer Expansion:

• 66% of customers use 5+ modules (up from 63% YoY)
• 31% use 7+ modules (up from 26% YoY)

3. Strategic Developments:

• New Falcon Flex subscription model improving adoption rates
• Recent FedRAMP authorization for three software modules expanding government sector opportunities

Price Target Analysis:

Based on current trends and fundamentals, here's the 2025 price prediction:

Target Price: $420-450 range, representing a ~20-25% upside from current levels.

Key reasons:

• Strong ARR growth trajectory continuing at ~27%
• Improving profitability margins
• Successful recovery from July 2024 incident demonstrating business resilience
• Expanding government sector opportunities through FedRAMP authorizations

Risk Factors:

• Current valuation at 88x FCF remains elevated
• Competitive pressure in cybersecurity space
• Potential market volatility due to macro factors

The S1 support level for CRWD Stock is $341.92 ,The R1 resistant level for CRWD Stock is $379.16.

As of the end of day on 2025-01-24, the price of CRWD Stock was $374.9.

The target price for CRWD Stock according to analyst rating is 390.84, with the highest price target at 450.00 and the lowest at 300.00. Analysts have a Strong Buy rating on CRWD Stock overall.

The market cap of CRWD is $92.3B.

Based on the provided data and recent market activity, let's analyze whether CRWD is overvalued:

Valuation Analysis: At $357.88, CRWD trades at a P/S ratio of 19.74x and forward P/E of 581.29x, significantly higher than industry averages, indicating stretched valuation metrics.

Growth vs. Valuation: Despite strong revenue growth of 29% year-over-year and reaching $1.01 billion quarterly revenue, the stock's valuation appears expensive when compared to its growth rate.

Market Position: CrowdStrike maintains strong market leadership with 97% customer retention and increasing module adoption - 66% of customers now use 5+ modules, demonstrating solid business fundamentals.

Technical Outlook: The stock is trading near its 52-week highs after recovering from the July 2024 outage impact, suggesting current valuation may be pricing in significant future growth expectations.

Conclusion: CRWD is overvalued at current levels, trading at 57x forward free cash flow with decelerating growth rates and margin pressures.

CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. is a global cybersecurity company that provides cloud-delivered protection of endpoints, cloud workloads, identity and data. The Company’s Falcon platform is designed for cybersecurity consolidation, purpose-built to stop breaches. The platforms collect and integrates data from across the enterprise, including endpoints, cloud workloads, identities, and third-party sources. The Company's Falcon platform leverages a single lightweight-agent architecture with integrated cloud modules spanning multiple security markets, including corporate workload security, managed security services, security and vulnerability management, information technology (IT) operations management, threat intelligence services, identity protection and log management. The Company offers 27 cloud modules on its Falcon platform via a software-as-a-service (SaaS) subscription-based model that spans multiple large markets, including corporate endpoint and cloud workload security, and more.

Based on the provided data and context, here's a price prediction analysis for CrowdStrike (CRWD) stock by 2030:

Current Market Position CRWD is currently trading at $357.88 as of January 17, 2025 . The stock has shown strong momentum with a 34% gain in 2024.

Growth Drivers & Market Position

• CrowdStrike maintains leadership in cybersecurity with its Falcon platform offering nearly 30 modules
• Strong customer adoption metrics: 66% of customers use at least 5 modules, with 31% using 7+ modules
• Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) growth target of $10 billion by fiscal 2031, representing significant upside from current $4.02 billion

2030 Price Projection: $850-900 Key factors supporting this target:

• Management's projected operating margin of 28-32% and free cash flow margin of 34-38% by fiscal 2029
• Strong competitive positioning in the rapidly growing cybersecurity market
• Successful recovery from July 2024 software incident demonstrates business resilience

Risks to Consider

• Current valuation is high at 88x free cash flow
• Competition from other cybersecurity providers
• Potential market share challenges from emerging technologies

The price target is based on:

1. Projected ARR growth at 16% CAGR through 2031
2. Expected margin expansion and operational efficiency improvements
3. Industry leadership position in cybersecurity

The views and opinions expressed in this analysis are for informational purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

CRWD has a total of 7925 employees.