Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the provided data and current market conditions, here's a concise analysis of STZ stock:

Technical Analysis The stock is currently showing bearish signals with RSI at 22.44, well into oversold territory. The current price of $184.99 is significantly below its 20-day SMA of $211.36, indicating a strong downward trend.

Recent Events & Impact Recent news indicates potential headwinds:

• Trump's potential trade policies and tariffs could impact STZ's Mexican beer imports
• Q3 earnings missed expectations, with subdued consumer spending affecting sales
• Beer segment showed modest 3% growth while Wine and Spirits declined 14%

Analyst Sentiment Multiple analysts have recently downgraded their outlook:

• Jefferies downgraded from Buy to Hold (PT: $201)
• JP Morgan downgraded to Neutral from Overweight (PT: $203)
• Barclays maintained Buy rating but lowered PT to $214

Technical Levels

• Current Support: $181.20 (Fibonacci S1)
• Next Support: $168.83 (Fibonacci S2)
• Resistance: $221.21 (Fibonacci R1)

Conclusion Given the oversold conditions, negative analyst sentiment, and potential trade policy headwinds, it would be prudent to wait for signs of stabilization before initiating new positions. The stock appears to be in a show-me phase requiring evidence of growth reacceleration.

Based on the provided data and market analysis, here is the price prediction for STZ stock in 2025:

Constellation Brands (STZ) is expected to trade at $235-245 by end of 2025, driven by strong beer portfolio performance and strategic brand divestments like Svedka. The stock is currently trading at $184.99 with technical indicators showing oversold conditions (RSI at 22.44) suggesting potential upward momentum. Recent analyst coverage maintains bullish outlook with price targets ranging from $255-305, though some have downgraded from Buy to Hold due to near-term headwinds.

The S1 support level for STZ Stock is $176.95 ,The R1 resistant level for STZ Stock is $200.94.

As of the end of day on 2025-01-24, the price of STZ Stock was $182.99.

The target price for STZ Stock according to analyst rating is 244.75, with the highest price target at 300.00 and the lowest at 190.00. Analysts have a Moderate Buy rating on STZ Stock overall.

The market cap of STZ is $33.1B.

Based on the provided data and recent analyst reports, here's a comprehensive analysis of STZ's valuation:

Valuation Analysis: STZ appears overvalued based on multiple key metrics and recent analyst downgrades. Here's why:

1. Current valuation metrics show concerning levels:

• P/E ratio has spiked to 76.72 in Q2 2025
• EV/EBITDA at 14.07 remains elevated versus historical levels
• Price-to-Sales ratio at 4.32 indicates premium pricing

2. Recent analyst actions signal caution:

• Multiple prominent analysts have downgraded STZ in January 2025
• JPMorgan downgraded to Neutral with $203 target
• Jefferies downgraded to Hold with $201 target
• Average price target has been reduced significantly

3. Fundamental headwinds:

• Q3 earnings miss across all segments
• Wine and spirits segment showing significant weakness
• Rising raw material costs impacting margins
• Potential 25% tariff risk on Mexican imports under new administration

4. Technical indicators: The stock is showing bearish momentum with recent price action below key moving averages, suggesting further downside potential.

5. Valuation concerns are compounded by:

• Goodwill impairment charges in wine/spirits segment
• Margin pressures from input costs
• Shifting consumer preferences affecting demand
• Regulatory and tariff risks

The stock appears overvalued at current levels with significant headwinds ahead. Multiple analysts have recently lowered their price targets, with consensus suggesting fair value closer to $200-210 range, implying 10-15% downside from current levels.

Constellation Brands, Inc. is an international beverage and alcohol company. The Company is a producer and marketer of beer, wine, and spirits with operations in the United States, Mexico, New Zealand, and Italy. Its segments include Beer, Wine and Spirits, and Canopy. It sells a number of brands in the import and craft beer categories, including Corona Extra, Corona Light, Modelo Especial, Corona Premier, Victoria, Pacifico, and others. It offers a portfolio of wine and spirits brands, which include Cook’s California Champagne, Mount Veeder, My Favorite Neighbor, Casa Noble, Mi CAMPO, Kim Crawford, Ruffino, Robert Mondavi Winery, Copper & Kings, and others. The Canopy Equity Method Investment makes up the Canopy segment. It operates over five distilleries in the United States for the production of its spirits; two facilities for High West whiskey, one facility each for Copper & Kings American brandies, Nelson’s Green Brier bourbon and whiskey products, and Austin Cocktails.

Based on the provided data and market analysis, here's the price prediction for STZ stock by 2030:

Constellation Brands (STZ) is projected to reach $325-350 by 2030, driven by its strong premium beer portfolio performance and strategic brand divestments like SVEDKA. The company's focus on high-end alcoholic beverages and strategic acquisitions positions it well for long-term growth, despite recent health advisory concerns impacting the sector. Technical analysis shows current support at $181.20 with potential resistance at $221.21, suggesting a steady upward trajectory over the long term.

STZ has a total of 10700 employees.