Dow Inc. (DOW) Posts Q3 Loss, Falls Short of Revenue Projections
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Oct 23 2025
0mins
Source: NASDAQ.COM
Quarterly Performance: Dow Inc. reported a quarterly loss of $0.19 per share, outperforming the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.31, but down from earnings of $0.47 per share a year ago. The company also posted revenues of $9.97 billion, missing estimates by 1.99%.
Stock Outlook: Dow Inc. shares have declined approximately 45.9% year-to-date, significantly underperforming the S&P 500's 13.9% gain. The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell), indicating expectations of continued underperformance.
Earnings Estimate Trends: The earnings outlook for Dow Inc. is unfavorable, with current consensus estimates predicting a loss of $0.44 per share and revenues of $10.04 billion for the upcoming quarter. The industry rank for Chemical - Diversified is in the bottom 4% of Zacks industries.
Innospec's Upcoming Report: Innospec, another company in the same industry, is set to report its quarterly earnings on November 4, with expectations of a 23.7% year-over-year decline in earnings to $1.03 per share and a slight revenue decrease.
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Analyst Views on DOW
Wall Street analysts forecast DOW stock price to fall
14 Analyst Rating
1 Buy
12 Hold
1 Sell
Hold
Current: 34.790
Low
22.00
Averages
27.83
High
32.00
Current: 34.790
Low
22.00
Averages
27.83
High
32.00
About DOW
Dow Inc. serves as a holding company for The Dow Chemical Company and its subsidiaries. The Company conducts its operations through six global businesses, which are organized into segments, such as Packaging & Specialty Plastics, Industrial Intermediates & Infrastructure and Performance Materials & Coatings. Packaging & Specialty Plastics segment consists of two integrated global businesses: Hydrocarbons & Energy and Packaging and Specialty Plastics. This segment employs a polyolefin product portfolio. Industrial Intermediates & Infrastructure segment consists of two customer-centric global businesses: Industrial Solutions and Polyurethanes & Construction Chemicals that develop intermediate chemicals that are essential to manufacturing processes, as well as downstream, customized materials and formulations that use advanced development technologies. Performance Materials & Coatings segment consists of two global businesses: Coatings & Performance Monomers and Consumer Solutions.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Resin Supply Disruption: The Jubail petrochemical complex in Saudi Arabia has halted production due to Iranian missile strikes, disrupting approximately 70% of the global supply of high-purity polyphenylene ether resin, which is expected to significantly impact electronics pricing.
- PCB Price Surge: According to a Goldman Sachs report, printed circuit board (PCB) prices have risen by up to 40% from March to April, directly affecting the costs of electronic products such as smartphones and computers, leading to increased price pressure on consumers.
- Supply Chain Vulnerability: TTM has indicated that despite its stock price rising over 400% in the past year, it plans to raise product prices by 5% to 25%, reflecting the erosion of profits due to rising raw material costs, particularly in lower-margin devices.
- Long-term Impact Warning: Experts warn that if the resin shortage extends into the autumn, electronics prices could reach their highest levels in a decade, prompting consumers to delay purchases of high-end devices due to rising prices and tight inventory.
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Dow Chemical Stock Price Analysis and Valuation Insights
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- Discounted Cash Flow Model: With a recent twelve-month free cash flow loss of approximately $591.1 million, projections estimate a free cash flow of $1.83 billion by 2035, leading to an intrinsic value estimate of $41.15 per share, suggesting the stock is undervalued by about 17.5% compared to its current price.
- Price-to-Sales Ratio Comparison: Dow currently trades at a P/S ratio of 0.62x, significantly below the industry average of 1.11x and peer average of 0.82x, indicating undervaluation, especially when compared to its fair ratio of 1.16x, reinforcing the perception of being undervalued.
- Diverse Valuation Perspectives: The bullish scenario for Dow suggests a fair value of $42.63, implying a 20.3% undervaluation, while the bearish scenario estimates a fair value of $27.00, highlighting the contrasting expectations of future growth and the need for investors to carefully assess potential risks and returns.
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- Investor Engagement: Dow invites investors to join the live webcast of the conference through its website, with a replay and transcript available post-event, enhancing communication with stakeholders.
- Company Overview: Dow is a leading materials science company serving high-growth markets such as packaging, infrastructure, mobility, and consumer applications, with approximately $40 billion in sales in 2025, indicating strong market demand.
- Global Operations: Operating manufacturing sites in 29 countries and employing around 34,600 people, Dow leverages global asset integration and customer-focused innovation to drive sustainable growth.
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- Sector Performance Disparity: Since early April, sectors such as Energy, Tech, Basic Materials, Industrials, Utilities, and Business Services have seen upward revisions in earnings estimates, particularly in Energy and Tech, reflecting optimistic sentiment in these areas.
- Outstanding Individual Stocks: For instance, Dow (DOW) and LyondellBasell (LYB) have seen their Q2 EPS estimates double over the past month, while Methanex (MEOH) has increased by over 30%, showcasing strong performance in the current market environment.
- Negative Pressure Sectors: In contrast, sectors like Transportation, Autos, Medical, and Consumer Discretionary are facing renewed pressure on Q2 estimates, suggesting a cautious outlook that could impact stock performance in these areas.
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- Strong Earnings Outlook: The overall earnings picture continues to improve, with positive revisions for Q2 2026 indicating enhanced market confidence, even as recent estimates have slightly declined, reflecting a resilient economic backdrop.
- Sector Performance Divergence: Since early April, sectors such as Energy, Tech, Basic Materials, Industrials, Utilities, and Business Services have seen upward revisions, particularly in Energy and Tech, highlighting a robust recovery in these areas.
- Notable Individual Stocks: EPS estimates for Dow (DOW) and LyondellBasell (LYB) have more than doubled in the past month, while Methanex (MEOH) has seen an increase of over 30%, indicating significant improvements in their earnings capabilities.
- Negative Pressure Emerging: Despite strong performances in certain sectors, Q2 estimates for Transportation, Autos, Medical, and Consumer Discretionary have faced renewed pressure since the beginning of the period, indicating ongoing market divergence and uncertainty.
See More
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- Strong Earnings Outlook: The overall earnings picture continues to improve, with positive revisions for Q2 2026 expectations indicating enhanced market confidence, even though recent estimates have slightly declined, reflecting a resilient economic backdrop.
- Sector Performance Divergence: Since early April, sectors such as Energy, Tech, Basic Materials, Industrials, Utilities, and Business Services have seen upward revisions in earnings expectations, particularly driven by the strong recovery potential in Energy and Tech sectors.
- Notable Stock Performance: Q2 EPS estimates for Dow (DOW) and LyondellBasell (LYB) have more than doubled in the past month, while Methanex (MEOH) has seen an increase of over 30%, showcasing robust performance amid current market conditions.
- Negative Pressure Emerging: Despite strong performances in certain sectors, Q2 estimates for Transportation, Autos, Medical, and Consumer Discretionary have come under renewed pressure since the start of the period, indicating market imbalances and potential risks.
See More
Resin Shortage Impacts Electronics Pricing
- Resin Supply Disruption: The Jubail petrochemical complex in Saudi Arabia has halted production due to Iranian missile strikes, disrupting approximately 70% of the global supply of high-purity polyphenylene ether resin, which is expected to significantly impact electronics pricing.
- PCB Price Surge: According to a Goldman Sachs report, printed circuit board (PCB) prices have risen by up to 40% from March to April, directly affecting the costs of electronic products such as smartphones and computers, leading to increased price pressure on consumers.
- Supply Chain Vulnerability: TTM has indicated that despite its stock price rising over 400% in the past year, it plans to raise product prices by 5% to 25%, reflecting the erosion of profits due to rising raw material costs, particularly in lower-margin devices.
- Long-term Impact Warning: Experts warn that if the resin shortage extends into the autumn, electronics prices could reach their highest levels in a decade, prompting consumers to delay purchases of high-end devices due to rising prices and tight inventory.
See More
Dow Chemical Stock Price Analysis and Valuation Insights
- Stock Performance Analysis: Dow Chemical's recent closing price of $33.97 reflects a 0.7% gain over the past week, an 11.8% decline over the past month, and a 40.0% year-to-date return, indicating a mixed market reassessment of its potential and risks.
- Discounted Cash Flow Model: With a recent twelve-month free cash flow loss of approximately $591.1 million, projections estimate a free cash flow of $1.83 billion by 2035, leading to an intrinsic value estimate of $41.15 per share, suggesting the stock is undervalued by about 17.5% compared to its current price.
- Price-to-Sales Ratio Comparison: Dow currently trades at a P/S ratio of 0.62x, significantly below the industry average of 1.11x and peer average of 0.82x, indicating undervaluation, especially when compared to its fair ratio of 1.16x, reinforcing the perception of being undervalued.
- Diverse Valuation Perspectives: The bullish scenario for Dow suggests a fair value of $42.63, implying a 20.3% undervaluation, while the bearish scenario estimates a fair value of $27.00, highlighting the contrasting expectations of future growth and the need for investors to carefully assess potential risks and returns.
See More
Dow Inc. to Participate in 2026 Wells Fargo Industrials & Materials Conference
- Conference Participation: Dow Inc. will participate in the 2026 Wells Fargo 16th Annual Industrials & Materials Conference on June 9, 2026, showcasing its leadership in materials science and expected to attract investor interest.
- Investor Engagement: Dow invites investors to join the live webcast of the conference through its website, with a replay and transcript available post-event, enhancing communication with stakeholders.
- Company Overview: Dow is a leading materials science company serving high-growth markets such as packaging, infrastructure, mobility, and consumer applications, with approximately $40 billion in sales in 2025, indicating strong market demand.
- Global Operations: Operating manufacturing sites in 29 countries and employing around 34,600 people, Dow leverages global asset integration and customer-focused innovation to drive sustainable growth.
See More
Positive Revisions Trend in Q1 Earnings Reports
- Earnings Revision Trend: Zacks Director of Research Sheraz Mian highlights that despite a modest decline in Q2 earnings estimates, the overall revision trend remains positive, indicating market confidence in future profitability.
- Sector Performance Disparity: Since early April, sectors such as Energy, Tech, Basic Materials, Industrials, Utilities, and Business Services have seen upward revisions in earnings estimates, particularly in Energy and Tech, reflecting optimistic sentiment in these areas.
- Outstanding Individual Stocks: For instance, Dow (DOW) and LyondellBasell (LYB) have seen their Q2 EPS estimates double over the past month, while Methanex (MEOH) has increased by over 30%, showcasing strong performance in the current market environment.
- Negative Pressure Sectors: In contrast, sectors like Transportation, Autos, Medical, and Consumer Discretionary are facing renewed pressure on Q2 estimates, suggesting a cautious outlook that could impact stock performance in these areas.
See More
Positive Earnings Outlook for Q2 2026
- Strong Earnings Outlook: The overall earnings picture continues to improve, with positive revisions for Q2 2026 indicating enhanced market confidence, even as recent estimates have slightly declined, reflecting a resilient economic backdrop.
- Sector Performance Divergence: Since early April, sectors such as Energy, Tech, Basic Materials, Industrials, Utilities, and Business Services have seen upward revisions, particularly in Energy and Tech, highlighting a robust recovery in these areas.
- Notable Individual Stocks: EPS estimates for Dow (DOW) and LyondellBasell (LYB) have more than doubled in the past month, while Methanex (MEOH) has seen an increase of over 30%, indicating significant improvements in their earnings capabilities.
- Negative Pressure Emerging: Despite strong performances in certain sectors, Q2 estimates for Transportation, Autos, Medical, and Consumer Discretionary have faced renewed pressure since the beginning of the period, indicating ongoing market divergence and uncertainty.
See More
Positive Earnings Outlook for Q2 2026
- Strong Earnings Outlook: The overall earnings picture continues to improve, with positive revisions for Q2 2026 expectations indicating enhanced market confidence, even though recent estimates have slightly declined, reflecting a resilient economic backdrop.
- Sector Performance Divergence: Since early April, sectors such as Energy, Tech, Basic Materials, Industrials, Utilities, and Business Services have seen upward revisions in earnings expectations, particularly driven by the strong recovery potential in Energy and Tech sectors.
- Notable Stock Performance: Q2 EPS estimates for Dow (DOW) and LyondellBasell (LYB) have more than doubled in the past month, while Methanex (MEOH) has seen an increase of over 30%, showcasing robust performance amid current market conditions.
- Negative Pressure Emerging: Despite strong performances in certain sectors, Q2 estimates for Transportation, Autos, Medical, and Consumer Discretionary have come under renewed pressure since the start of the period, indicating market imbalances and potential risks.
See More
