Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the recent data and market analysis, DOW stock is showing bearish signals and selling pressure. The stock is currently trading at $39.02 during regular market hours, down -1.24% today [Relevant Data], continuing its downward trend from recent months.

Key Bearish Factors:

• The stock has significantly underperformed, declining 28.5% over the past year while the S&P 500 gained 20.7%
• Recent Q4 earnings showed net sales decline of 2% year-over-year and reported a GAAP net loss of $35 million
• The company faces challenges from soft demand due to weak global economic activities and inflationary pressures
• DOW stock has experienced a "death cross" pattern, with the 50-day moving average crossing below the 200-day moving average

Analyst Sentiment:

• Consensus rating is "Moderate Buy" with 4 Strong Buy and 15 Hold ratings
• RBC Capital recently lowered price target to $38 from $41 citing near-term volume and margin weakness
• The stock is currently trading below the mean price target of $46.31

Given the technical weakness, fundamental challenges, and analyst caution, selling DOW stock at current levels appears to be the more prudent action. The stock shows few catalysts for near-term upside while facing multiple headwinds.

Based on the provided data and market analysis, here is a comprehensive DOW stock price prediction for 2025:

Technical Analysis

The current price of DOW is $39.02, showing a decline of -1.25% in today's trading. The stock has been in a downward trend since late 2024, falling from around $50 to current levels.

Key Price Levels:

• Support: $38.23 (recent low)
• Resistance: $40.27 (Fibonacci R2)
• 50-day MA: $39.90
• 200-day MA: $49.32

Fundamental Drivers

Several key factors will influence DOW's price in 2025:

1. Cost Savings Initiative:

• Company announced $1B cost savings program
• Includes workforce reductions
• Expected to improve margins and profitability

2. Industry Outlook:

• Energy sector expected to see increased demand from tech/AI growth
• Renewable energy transition creating opportunities
• Fossil fuels still crucial in near-term energy mix

3. Economic Factors:

• Fed expected to cut rates in 2025
• GDP projected to grow 2.1%
• Inflation forecast at 2.4%

Price Target Scenarios for 2025

Based on analyst forecasts and technical analysis:

Bullish Case ($44):

• Successful cost savings implementation
• Lower interest rates boosting chemical demand
• Strong energy sector performance

Base Case ($40-42):

• Moderate economic growth
• Partial realization of cost savings
• Stable but not exceptional demand

Bearish Case ($36):

• Economic slowdown
• Cost savings fall short
• Continued margin pressure

Conclusion

The most likely scenario points to DOW trading between $40-42 by end of 2025, representing potential upside of 2.5-7.6% from current levels. The stock appears reasonably valued at current prices with positive catalysts from cost savings, though economic uncertainties remain.

The S1 support level for DOW Stock is $38.27 ,The R1 resistant level for DOW Stock is $39.83.

As of the end of day on 2025-02-26, the price of DOW Stock was $38.94.

The target price for DOW Stock according to analyst rating is 45.31, with the highest price target at 56.00 and the lowest at 38.00. Analysts have a Moderate Buy rating on DOW Stock overall.

The market cap of DOW is $27.3B.

Based on the provided data and recent analyst reports, here's a concise analysis of DOW's valuation:

Technical Analysis

DOW is currently trading at $38.97, showing bearish momentum with a -1.37% decline in regular market trading [Relevant Data]. The stock is trading below both its 5-day and 10-day moving averages, indicating short-term weakness.

Valuation Assessment

The stock appears overvalued based on several key factors:

• Forward P/E of 14.26x is trading at a premium compared to industry average of 13.01x
• Declining earnings outlook with Q4 2024 EPS expected to drop 25.6% YoY to $0.32
• Weak operating cash flow trends with significant decline in Q3 2024 to $800 million
• High debt-to-equity ratio of 0.98, above industry norms, indicating financial risk

Analyst Consensus

Recent analyst actions have been predominantly bearish:

• 15 analysts coverage with median price target of $47.40
• Multiple analysts lowered their price targets in January 2025
• Only 4 Strong Buy ratings vs 15 Hold ratings

Conclusion DOW appears overvalued at current levels given its premium valuation multiples, deteriorating fundamentals, and bearish technical indicators. The high debt levels and declining earnings outlook suggest limited upside potential in the near term.

Dow Inc. serves as a holding company for The Dow Chemical Company and its subsidiaries. The Company conducts its operations through six global businesses, which are organized into segments, such as Packaging & Specialty Plastics, Industrial Intermediates & Infrastructure and Performance Materials & Coatings. Packaging & Specialty Plastics segment consists of two integrated global businesses: Hydrocarbons & Energy and Packaging and Specialty Plastics. This segment employs polyolefin product portfolio. Industrial Intermediates & Infrastructure segment consists of two customer-centric global businesses, such as Industrial Solutions and Polyurethanes & Construction Chemicals that develop intermediate chemicals that are essential to manufacturing processes, as well as downstream, customized materials and formulations that use advanced development technologies. Performance Materials & Coatings segment consists of two global businesses: Coatings & Performance Monomers and Consumer Solutions.

Based on analyst forecasts and market data, DOW stock is projected to reach $55-60 by 2030, driven by the company's strong market position in chemicals production and expected industry growth. The median analyst price target of $47.40 with a high estimate of $60 suggests a steady upward trajectory over the next five years. Technical indicators and current trading patterns around $39 support this long-term bullish outlook, though near-term volatility may persist due to macroeconomic factors.

DOW has a total of 35900 employees.