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MPC

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    Overview
    Forecast
    Valuation
    Earnings
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Market Estimates

Earnings Estimates
Earnings Estimates
Revenue
YoY Chg
EPS
YoYChg
FY2025Q4
FY2026Q1
FY2026Q2
31.07B
-7.17%
3.623
+370.56%
30.09B
-5.54%
3.207
-1436.32%
31.33B
-8.13%
5.233
+32.14%
Estimates Revision
The market is revising Upward the revenue expectations for Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by 3.27% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by 5.47%.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
up Image
+3.27%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
up Image
+19.97%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Up
up Image
+5.47%
In Past 3 Month
Wall Street analysts forecast MPC stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MPC is 201.67 USD with a low forecast of 169.00 USD and a high forecast of 231.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
15 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast MPC stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MPC is 201.67 USD with a low forecast of 169.00 USD and a high forecast of 231.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
9 Buy
6 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 190.150
sliders
Low
169.00
Averages
201.67
High
231.00
Current: 190.150
sliders
Low
169.00
Averages
201.67
High
231.00
Barclays
NULL -> Overweight
maintain
$194 -> $202
2025-11-17
Reason
Barclays
Price Target
$194 -> $202
2025-11-17
maintain
NULL -> Overweight
Reason
Barclays raised the firm's price target on Marathon Petroleum to $202 from $194 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The firm adjusted estimates to reflect updated commodities information.
Piper Sandler
Neutral
maintain
$220 -> $231
2025-11-14
Reason
Piper Sandler
Price Target
$220 -> $231
2025-11-14
maintain
Neutral
Reason
Piper Sandler raised the firm's price target on Marathon Petroleum to $231 from $220 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm notes Q3 results have wrapped and margins remain impressively strong. And while Q3 results were solid, Piper sees Q4 shaping up even better, with capture tailwinds, demand resilient, and margins robust, despite throughput guides suggesting 2.4% increase year-over-year. In the end, the market is clearly tighter than anticipated, and the firm still sees it getting incrementally tighter in 2026, and the futures curve now agrees.
Raymond James
Justin Jenkins
Outperform
downgrade
$203 -> $200
2025-11-04
Reason
Raymond James
Justin Jenkins
Price Target
$203 -> $200
2025-11-04
downgrade
Outperform
Reason
Raymond James analyst Justin Jenkins lowered the firm's price target on Marathon Petroleum to $200 from $203 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. While Q3 results were softer than hoped, Marathon Petroleum continues to be a top tier refining company, as asset base optimization and midstream value creation drive solid results through the cycle, the firm says. With disciplined capital allocation, this has driven impressive financial flexibility to allocate to shareholders. Over time, Raymond expects midstream investments and optimization in refining to add upside potential.
Raymond James
Justin Jenkins
Outperform
maintain
$199 -> $203
2025-10-17
Reason
Raymond James
Justin Jenkins
Price Target
$199 -> $203
2025-10-17
maintain
Outperform
Reason
Raymond James analyst Justin Jenkins raised the firm's price target on Marathon Petroleum to $203 from $199 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. Raymond James expects Q3 to be "solid" for nearly all refiners, and strong overall crack spreads should push refining earnings to levels not seen since early-2024, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm adds that Q4 is off to a solid start, though the typical rollover in seasonal margins is starting to emerge, and believes 4Q25/2026 revisions need to stay positive for refiners to continue to work.
Wells Fargo
initiated
$214
2025-10-16
Reason
Wells Fargo
Price Target
$214
2025-10-16
initiated
Reason
Wells Fargo initiated coverage of Marathon Petroleum with an Overweight rating and $214 price target. The firm rolled out coverage on the global integrated oil, Canadian majors, and refiners group, saying "everyone is bearish" on oil and energy names, which creates opportunities. Wells is picking stocks based on return of capital direction. Demand indicators are soft but U.S. onshore activity trends present a supply counter-balance, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm believes return of capital direction drives relative performance in the sector. It expects Chevron (CVX), Marathon Petroleum (MPC), Valero Energy (VLO), Canadian Natural Resources (CNQ), and Suncor Energy (SU) to remain leaders in dividend growth "across an array of commodity scenarios."
UBS
Buy
maintain
$203 -> $220
2025-09-26
Reason
UBS
Price Target
$203 -> $220
2025-09-26
maintain
Buy
Reason
UBS raised the firm's price target on Marathon Petroleum to $220 from $203 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. Russia has increased crude oil exports to international markets, and more fuel oil hitting global markets is positive for U.S. refiners, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm cites sector tailwinds for the higher target on Marathon Petroleum.
See All Ratings

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC.N) is 11.35, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 14.61. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess Marathon Petroleum Corp 's fair value, click here.
  • Forward PE
  • Forward EV/EBITDA
  • Forward PS

Forward PE

The forward P/E ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future earnings per share over the next 12 months.
StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
Fair
5Y Average PE
14.61
Current PE
11.35
Overvalued PE
26.79
Undervalued PE
2.44

Forward EV/EBITDA

The forward EV/EBITDA ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's enterprise value (EV) by its estimated future earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) over the next 12 months.
StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
N/A
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
6.85
Current EV/EBITDA
0.00
Overvalued EV/EBITDA
9.18
Undervalued EV/EBITDA
4.52

Forward PS

The forward P/S ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future sales (or revenue) per share over the next 12 months.
StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
N/A
5Y Average PS
0.39
Current PS
0.00
Overvalued PS
0.45
Undervalued PS
0.32
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Financials

Annual
Quarterly
N/A
Total Revenue
N/A
Operating Profit
N/A
Net Income after Tax
N/A
EPS - Diluted
N/A
Free Cash Flow
N/A
Gross Profit Margin - %
N/A
FCF Margin - %
N/A
Net Margin - %
N/A
ROIC

Trading Trends

  • Insider
  • Hedge Fund
  • Congress Trading
Insider
Insiders are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
Bought
Hedge Fund
Hedge Funds areSelling! The selling amount has increased 178.21% over the last quarter.
Sold
Bought
Congress Trading
Congress are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
Bought
Insider
Insiders are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
Bought
Financial AI Agent
Financial AI Agent

MPC News & Events

Events Timeline

(ET)
2025-11-04
08:48:23
Marathon Chairman Michael Hennigan to Step Down, Maryann Mannen to Take Over
select
2025-11-04
06:37:18
Marathon Petroleum announces Q3 adjusted EPS of $3.01, falling short of consensus estimate of $3.16.
select
2025-10-29 (ET)
2025-10-29
14:57:10
Marathon Petroleum Raises Quarterly Dividend by 10% to $1.00 per Share
select
Sign Up For More Events
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News

[object Object]
Preview
4.5
12-03NASDAQ.COM
Significant Inflows Observed in ETFs - XLE, COP, WMB, MPC

  • XLE Share Price Analysis: XLE's current share price is $91.28, situated between its 52-week low of $74.49 and high of $94.82, with the 200-day moving average being a key technical analysis tool.

  • Understanding ETFs: Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) function like stocks, where investors buy and sell "units" that can be created or destroyed based on demand, impacting the underlying assets.

  • Monitoring ETF Flows: Weekly tracking of changes in shares outstanding helps identify ETFs with significant inflows (new units created) or outflows (units destroyed), which can affect the underlying holdings.

  • Author's Perspective: The opinions expressed in the article are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of Nasdaq, Inc.

[object Object]
Preview
4.5
12-02NASDAQ.COM
Stock Indices Rise Due to Strong Performance from Chip Manufacturers

  • Market Performance: The S&P 500, Dow Jones, and Nasdaq 100 indices are all experiencing gains, with the Nasdaq reaching a 1.5-week high, driven by strong performances in semiconductor and technology stocks, particularly MongoDB and Credo Technology Group.

  • Economic Forecasts: The OECD has maintained its global GDP forecast for 2025 at 3.2% but has raised the US GDP forecast to 2.0%. The organization attributes resilience in the global economy to strong AI investments and supportive fiscal policies.

  • Interest Rates and Bond Yields: The 10-year T-note yield has risen to a 1.5-week high, influenced by expectations of a 96% chance of a rate cut at the upcoming FOMC meeting. European bond yields are also increasing, with the German bund yield reaching a 2-month high.

  • Corporate Earnings: The Q3 earnings season is concluding with 83% of S&P 500 companies exceeding forecasts, marking the best quarter since 2021, with earnings rising 14.6% year-over-year, significantly above expectations.

[object Object]
Preview
4.5
12-02NASDAQ.COM
Stocks Decline Amid Increasing Bond Yields

  • Market Performance: Major U.S. stock indexes closed lower on Monday, with the S&P 500 down 0.53% and the Dow down 0.90%, driven by rising bond yields and negative economic indicators, including a drop in the ISM manufacturing index to a 14-month low.

  • Global Economic Concerns: Weaker-than-expected economic data from China, including a decline in the non-manufacturing PMI, raised concerns about global growth prospects, further impacting market sentiment.

  • Bitcoin and Cryptocurrency Impact: Bitcoin fell over 5% to a one-week low after regulatory comments from the People's Bank of China, affecting cryptocurrency-related stocks negatively, while energy producers saw gains due to rising crude oil prices.

  • Upcoming Economic Indicators: Market focus will shift to upcoming U.S. economic reports, including employment changes and inflation measures, with expectations of a 100% chance of a rate cut at the next FOMC meeting.

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FAQ

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What is Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC) stock price today?

The current price of MPC is 190.15 USD — it has increased 0.38 % in the last trading day.

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What is Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC)'s business?

Marathon Petroleum Corporation is an integrated, downstream energy company. The Company’s segments include Refining & Marketing, Midstream and Renewable Diesel. The Refining & Marketing segment refines crude oil and other feedstocks at its refineries in the Gulf Coast, Mid-Continent and West Coast regions of the United States. It sells refined products to wholesale marketing customers domestically and internationally, to buyers on the spot market, and to independent entrepreneurs who operate primarily Marathon branded outlets. The Midstream segment gathers, transports, stores and distributes crude oil, refined products, including renewable diesel, and other hydrocarbon-based products, principally for the Refining & Marketing segment via refining logistics assets, pipelines, terminals, and others. The Renewable Diesel segment processes renewable feedstocks into renewable diesel, markets renewable diesel and distributes renewable products through its Midstream segment and third parties.

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What is the price predicton of MPC Stock?

Wall Street analysts forecast MPC stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MPC is 201.67 USD with a low forecast of 169.00 USD and a high forecast of 231.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

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What is Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC)'s revenue for the last quarter?

Marathon Petroleum Corp revenue for the last quarter amounts to 34.88B USD, decreased -0.80 % YoY.

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What is Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC)'s earnings per share (EPS) for the last quarter?

Marathon Petroleum Corp. EPS for the last quarter amounts to 4.50 USD, increased 140.64 % YoY.

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What changes have occurred in the market's expectations for Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC)'s fundamentals?

The market is revising Upward the revenue expectations for Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by 3.27% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by 5.47%.
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How many employees does Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC). have?

Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC) has 18300 emplpoyees as of December 05 2025.

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What is Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC) market cap?

Today MPC has the market capitalization of 57.16B USD.

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