Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the provided data and recent market activity, here's a concise analysis for MPC:

Technical Analysis Marathon Petroleum (MPC) showed strong momentum yesterday with a 4.54% gain to $154.31, breaking a two-day losing streak. The stock is currently trading above its 20-day moving average of $143.59, indicating positive short-term momentum.

Fibonacci Analysis Current price ($154.31) is between the R1 ($153.37) and R2 ($157.02) Fibonacci levels, suggesting room for further upside potential. The next major resistance is at $157.02.

Analyst Sentiment Recent analyst actions are notably bullish:

• Raymond James (Jan 17, 2025): Strong Buy, PT raised to $192 from $190 (+25.7% upside)
• Wells Fargo (Jan 10, 2025): Buy, PT $182 (+27.9% upside)
• Mizuho (Dec 16, 2024): Hold, PT $174

Key Catalysts Raymond James expects refining macro conditions to reach an inflection point by mid-year and improve significantly in 2026, driven by:

• Industry shutdowns offsetting new supply
• Increasing demand
• Cold winter weather boosting middle distillates demand

Based on the technical breakout, strong analyst support, and positive industry outlook, MPC appears positioned for further gains. The stock shows a favorable risk-reward setup with immediate support at the 20-day MA ($143.59).

Based on the provided data and market analysis, here's the price prediction for MPC stock in 2025:

Marathon Petroleum (MPC) is expected to reach $175-180 by mid-2025, driven by strong refining margins and continued share buybacks. The company's recent $5 billion share repurchase program and operational efficiency with 3 million barrels per day throughput support this bullish outlook.

The stock could potentially test $190-195 levels by end-2025 if oil refining margins remain favorable and the company maintains its strong execution in both Refining & Marketing and Midstream segments.

However, downside risks exist with potential support around $145-150 level, as indicated by recent technical patterns and market volatility.

The S1 support level for MPC Stock is $143.19 ,The R1 resistant level for MPC Stock is $154.51.

As of the end of day on 2025-01-24, the price of MPC Stock was $151.73.

The target price for MPC Stock according to analyst rating is 170.92, with the highest price target at 200.00 and the lowest at 145.00. Analysts have a Moderate Buy rating on MPC Stock overall.

The market cap of MPC is $48.7B.

Based on the provided data and current market conditions, MPC appears fairly valued at its current price level of $154.31. Here's why:

Valuation Analysis The stock's current valuation metrics show reasonable levels with P/E of 12.63, EV/EBITDA of 8.2, and P/S of 0.4 for Q3 2024, indicating the stock is trading within historical norms.

Analyst Sentiment Recent analyst actions show a positive bias:

• Raymond James maintains Strong Buy with $192 target (25.7% upside)
• Wells Fargo maintains Buy with $182 target (27.9% upside)
• Barclays maintains Buy with $159 target

Technical Analysis The stock has shown strong momentum with a 4.54% gain in the latest session, breaking above recent resistance levels. The upward trend appears supported by increasing volume.

Market Context The stock's performance comes amid:

• Positive broader market sentiment with S&P 500 and Dow Jones gains
• Strong refining sector fundamentals expected by mid-2025
• Potential benefits from increased sanctions outlook and supportive energy market conditions

Growth Drivers

• Cold winter weather boosting demand for middle distillates
• Expected refining macro inflection point by mid-2025
• Industry shutdowns offsetting new supply, supporting margins

The stock's current price level appears to reflect its fair value given the balanced mix of positive catalysts and reasonable valuation metrics. While there's potential for further upside based on analyst targets, the current price doesn't suggest significant overvaluation.

Marathon Petroleum Corporation is an integrated, downstream energy company. The Company operates through two segments: Refining & Marketing and Midstream. The Refining & Marketing segment refines crude oil and other feedstocks, including renewable feedstocks, at its refineries in the Gulf Coast, Mid-Continent and West Coast regions of the United States. The Company sells refined products to wholesale marketing customers domestically and internationally, to buyers on the spot market, to independent entrepreneurs who operate primarily Marathon branded outlets and through long-term supply contracts with direct dealers who operate locations mainly under the ARCO brand. The Midstream segment gathers, transports, stores and distributes crude oil, refined products, including renewable diesel, and other hydrocarbon-based products principally for the Refining & Marketing segment via refining logistics assets, pipelines, terminals, towboats and barges, and others.

Based on the available data and market analysis, here is the price prediction for Marathon Petroleum (MPC) stock by 2030:

MPC stock is projected to reach $220-240 by 2030, driven by the company's strong market position in refining operations and strategic shift towards clean energy initiatives. The company's robust capital return program through dividends and buybacks, combined with its infrastructure advantages and operational efficiency improvements, supports this bullish long-term outlook.

The transition towards hydrogen and renewable fuels presents significant growth opportunities, with MPC's existing assets and expertise positioning it well to capture market share in the evolving energy landscape.

MPC has a total of 18200 employees.