O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) Forecasts 11.4% EPS Growth in 2026
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 13 2026
0mins
Should l Buy ORLY?
Source: Fool
- Consistent Performance: O'Reilly Automotive has achieved positive stock returns every year from 2016 to 2025, except for 2017, with a 15% increase last year, reflecting its strong fundamentals and market confidence.
- Stable Same-Store Sales: The company has posted 32 consecutive years of same-store sales growth, with expectations to continue this trend in 2025, indicating stable demand in both strong and weak economic conditions.
- Optimistic Earnings Forecast: Wall Street analysts project an 11.4% increase in O'Reilly's earnings per share for 2026, following an annualized growth rate of 17.9% from 2019 to 2024, showcasing the company's ongoing profitability.
- Valuation Influenced by Market Sentiment: Although O'Reilly's price-to-earnings ratio stands at 32.5, which is 25% higher than its five-year average, its leadership in the aftermarket auto parts industry and ongoing expansion keep it favored in the market.
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Stop guessing "Should I Buy ORLY?" and start using high-conviction signals backed by rigorous historical data.
Sign up today to access powerful investing tools and make smarter, data-driven decisions.
Analyst Views on ORLY
Wall Street analysts forecast ORLY stock price to rise
20 Analyst Rating
18 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 93.870
Low
91.00
Averages
110.75
High
125.00
Current: 93.870
Low
91.00
Averages
110.75
High
125.00
About ORLY
O’Reilly Automotive, Inc. is a specialty retailer of automotive aftermarket parts, tools, supplies, equipment, and accessories in the United States (U.S.), selling its products to both do-it-yourself (DIY) and professional service provider customers. Its stores carry various product lines, including new and remanufactured automotive hard parts and maintenance items, such as alternators, batteries, brake system components, belts, chassis parts, driveline parts, engine parts, fuel pumps, hoses, starters, temperature control, water pumps, antifreeze, appearance products, engine additives, filters, fluids, lighting, oil, and wiper blades and accessories, such as floor mats, seat covers, and truck accessories. Its stores offer services and programs, including battery diagnostic testing; battery, wiper, and bulb replacement; a loaner tool program; custom hydraulic hoses, drum and rotor resurfacing, electrical and module testing, used oil, oil filter, and battery recycling; and others.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Citron Research Turns Bullish on Credit Acceptance Corporation
- First Bullish Rating: Citron Research has issued its first bullish rating on Credit Acceptance Corporation (CACC), setting a target price of $714, indicating a potential upside of approximately 44% from current levels, marking a significant shift in sentiment towards this subprime auto lender.
- Regulatory Risk Mitigation: Citron highlighted that CACC successfully resolved investigations from both the New York Attorney General and the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, asserting that this dual resolution is not yet fully priced into the market, indicating a substantial reduction in regulatory risk for the company.
- Stock Buyback Strategy: Since 2011, CACC has repurchased 61% of its float, with a notable 12.6% bought back in 2025 alone, demonstrating effective capital allocation and enhancing shareholder value significantly.
- Technological Advancements and Management Changes: CEO Vinayak Hegde has improved operational efficiency by reducing dealer approval times to under two seconds and increasing technology deployment speed by 70%, which Citron believes adds further value potential for investors.
See More
Raymond James Upgrades Genuine Parts Company on Value Unlocking Potential
- Rating Upgrade: Raymond James has upgraded Genuine Parts Company from market perform to strong buy, reflecting the analyst's confidence in the company's potential for value unlocking, with a price target of $145 indicating about a 25% upside.
- Strategic Separation: GPC is undergoing a strategic transformation by separating its automotive (NAPA) and industrial (Motion Industries) segments, expected to be completed by Q1 2027, which will enhance operational independence and overall company value.
- Market Performance Analysis: Despite GPC shares declining approximately 20% since the fourth-quarter earnings report, the analyst believes the current risk-reward ratio is attractive, with the stock trading well below its implied fair value, indicating a compelling investment opportunity.
- Future Outlook: The analyst notes that while weak automotive demand may pressure near-term sentiment, the scheduled investor days for both segments in the second half of 2026 are expected to help improve valuations and further realize the company's value as the separation completion approaches.
See More
Automakers Warn of Rising Prices Due to Tariffs
- Tariff Impact Intensifies: Sonic Automotive President Jeff Dyke warns that unsustainable tariff costs will lead automakers to either raise prices or cut features, indicating a pressing urgency within the industry and potential future price pressures.
- Limited Price Fluctuations: Despite only a 1% increase in vehicle prices since the Trump administration's tariffs, analyst Jessica Caldwell notes a surge in used vehicle demand as consumers anticipate new car price hikes, highlighting market sensitivity to pricing changes.
- Toyota's Financial Strain: Toyota reported a 25% drop in net income for the first nine months of fiscal year 2026, with tariffs costing approximately 1.2 trillion yen (around $8 billion), underscoring the significant impact of tariffs on major automakers and their profitability.
- Future Production Adjustments: Toyota may consider relocating some production back to the U.S. based on the outcomes of U.S.-Mexico-Canada trade negotiations, particularly for its Tacoma pickup made in Mexico, reflecting the company's strategic flexibility in addressing tariff challenges.
See More
2026 Jeep Cherokee Returns to Market as Key Growth Driver for Stellantis
- Market Comeback: The 2026 Jeep Cherokee returns after a three-year hiatus, serving as a critical model for Stellantis to regain market share in the U.S. SUV segment, with a target to boost retail sales by 25% to 1.15 million vehicles in 2026.
- Fuel Efficiency Improvement: The new Cherokee is Jeep's first traditional hybrid model, expected to achieve a combined fuel economy of 37 miles per gallon, including 35 mpg on the highway and 39 mpg in the city, significantly enhancing fuel efficiency and competitive positioning against rivals.
- Production Capacity Expansion: Currently produced only at the Toluca plant in Mexico, Stellantis plans to expand production capabilities at its Illinois facility as early as next year to meet market demand and increase U.S. output.
- Strategic Focus Shift: Jeep CEO Bob Broderdorf emphasizes the Cherokee as the brand's priority, planning to advance other electric models only after ensuring the Cherokee's success, reflecting Stellantis' cautious approach in its electrification strategy.
See More
Uncovering the True Worth of Genuine Parts Company's Spin-Off Strategy
General Electric's Strategic Shift: General Electric is dismantling its conglomerate structure to create independent aerospace and energy companies, aiming to unlock shareholder value by allowing each business to trade at its proper valuation.
Genuine Parts Company's Earnings Report: Genuine Parts Company (GPC) announced a significant drop in its fourth-quarter earnings, missing analyst estimates and resulting in a 14.5% decline in share price, which raised concerns among investors.
Market Reaction and Future Outlook: The market's negative reaction to GPC's earnings report reflects short-term thinking, overshadowing the potential long-term value from the company's planned separation into two distinct entities, which is expected to occur in early 2027.
Investment Opportunities: Despite the current market turmoil, GPC's dividend yield remains attractive, and the separation strategy may present compelling investment opportunities for those willing to wait for the long-term benefits of the restructuring.
See More
O'Reilly Automotive Executes 15-for-1 Stock Split to Enhance Accessibility
- Stock Split Context: O'Reilly Automotive executed a 15-for-1 stock split in June last year to increase share accessibility by raising the number of outstanding shares, thereby lowering the per-share price, even though the fundamental value remains unchanged.
- Remarkable Investment Returns: Since its IPO in 1993, O'Reilly's stock has returned an astonishing 58,000%, with shares tripling in the last five years, highlighting its robust performance in the aftermarket auto parts sector.
- Sustained Growth Momentum: In 2025, O'Reilly reported a same-store sales growth of 4.7%, marking the 33rd consecutive year of positive growth, reflecting ongoing demand for auto parts despite economic fluctuations.
- Market Valuation Analysis: O'Reilly's current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio stands at 31.8, which is 26% higher than the S&P 500, indicating that while value investors may seek lower valuations, the high-quality nature of the business justifies its premium pricing.
See More
Citron Research Turns Bullish on Credit Acceptance Corporation
- First Bullish Rating: Citron Research has issued its first bullish rating on Credit Acceptance Corporation (CACC), setting a target price of $714, indicating a potential upside of approximately 44% from current levels, marking a significant shift in sentiment towards this subprime auto lender.
- Regulatory Risk Mitigation: Citron highlighted that CACC successfully resolved investigations from both the New York Attorney General and the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, asserting that this dual resolution is not yet fully priced into the market, indicating a substantial reduction in regulatory risk for the company.
- Stock Buyback Strategy: Since 2011, CACC has repurchased 61% of its float, with a notable 12.6% bought back in 2025 alone, demonstrating effective capital allocation and enhancing shareholder value significantly.
- Technological Advancements and Management Changes: CEO Vinayak Hegde has improved operational efficiency by reducing dealer approval times to under two seconds and increasing technology deployment speed by 70%, which Citron believes adds further value potential for investors.
See More
Raymond James Upgrades Genuine Parts Company on Value Unlocking Potential
- Rating Upgrade: Raymond James has upgraded Genuine Parts Company from market perform to strong buy, reflecting the analyst's confidence in the company's potential for value unlocking, with a price target of $145 indicating about a 25% upside.
- Strategic Separation: GPC is undergoing a strategic transformation by separating its automotive (NAPA) and industrial (Motion Industries) segments, expected to be completed by Q1 2027, which will enhance operational independence and overall company value.
- Market Performance Analysis: Despite GPC shares declining approximately 20% since the fourth-quarter earnings report, the analyst believes the current risk-reward ratio is attractive, with the stock trading well below its implied fair value, indicating a compelling investment opportunity.
- Future Outlook: The analyst notes that while weak automotive demand may pressure near-term sentiment, the scheduled investor days for both segments in the second half of 2026 are expected to help improve valuations and further realize the company's value as the separation completion approaches.
See More
Automakers Warn of Rising Prices Due to Tariffs
- Tariff Impact Intensifies: Sonic Automotive President Jeff Dyke warns that unsustainable tariff costs will lead automakers to either raise prices or cut features, indicating a pressing urgency within the industry and potential future price pressures.
- Limited Price Fluctuations: Despite only a 1% increase in vehicle prices since the Trump administration's tariffs, analyst Jessica Caldwell notes a surge in used vehicle demand as consumers anticipate new car price hikes, highlighting market sensitivity to pricing changes.
- Toyota's Financial Strain: Toyota reported a 25% drop in net income for the first nine months of fiscal year 2026, with tariffs costing approximately 1.2 trillion yen (around $8 billion), underscoring the significant impact of tariffs on major automakers and their profitability.
- Future Production Adjustments: Toyota may consider relocating some production back to the U.S. based on the outcomes of U.S.-Mexico-Canada trade negotiations, particularly for its Tacoma pickup made in Mexico, reflecting the company's strategic flexibility in addressing tariff challenges.
See More
2026 Jeep Cherokee Returns to Market as Key Growth Driver for Stellantis
- Market Comeback: The 2026 Jeep Cherokee returns after a three-year hiatus, serving as a critical model for Stellantis to regain market share in the U.S. SUV segment, with a target to boost retail sales by 25% to 1.15 million vehicles in 2026.
- Fuel Efficiency Improvement: The new Cherokee is Jeep's first traditional hybrid model, expected to achieve a combined fuel economy of 37 miles per gallon, including 35 mpg on the highway and 39 mpg in the city, significantly enhancing fuel efficiency and competitive positioning against rivals.
- Production Capacity Expansion: Currently produced only at the Toluca plant in Mexico, Stellantis plans to expand production capabilities at its Illinois facility as early as next year to meet market demand and increase U.S. output.
- Strategic Focus Shift: Jeep CEO Bob Broderdorf emphasizes the Cherokee as the brand's priority, planning to advance other electric models only after ensuring the Cherokee's success, reflecting Stellantis' cautious approach in its electrification strategy.
See More
Uncovering the True Worth of Genuine Parts Company's Spin-Off Strategy
General Electric's Strategic Shift: General Electric is dismantling its conglomerate structure to create independent aerospace and energy companies, aiming to unlock shareholder value by allowing each business to trade at its proper valuation.
Genuine Parts Company's Earnings Report: Genuine Parts Company (GPC) announced a significant drop in its fourth-quarter earnings, missing analyst estimates and resulting in a 14.5% decline in share price, which raised concerns among investors.
Market Reaction and Future Outlook: The market's negative reaction to GPC's earnings report reflects short-term thinking, overshadowing the potential long-term value from the company's planned separation into two distinct entities, which is expected to occur in early 2027.
Investment Opportunities: Despite the current market turmoil, GPC's dividend yield remains attractive, and the separation strategy may present compelling investment opportunities for those willing to wait for the long-term benefits of the restructuring.
See More
O'Reilly Automotive Executes 15-for-1 Stock Split to Enhance Accessibility
- Stock Split Context: O'Reilly Automotive executed a 15-for-1 stock split in June last year to increase share accessibility by raising the number of outstanding shares, thereby lowering the per-share price, even though the fundamental value remains unchanged.
- Remarkable Investment Returns: Since its IPO in 1993, O'Reilly's stock has returned an astonishing 58,000%, with shares tripling in the last five years, highlighting its robust performance in the aftermarket auto parts sector.
- Sustained Growth Momentum: In 2025, O'Reilly reported a same-store sales growth of 4.7%, marking the 33rd consecutive year of positive growth, reflecting ongoing demand for auto parts despite economic fluctuations.
- Market Valuation Analysis: O'Reilly's current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio stands at 31.8, which is 26% higher than the S&P 500, indicating that while value investors may seek lower valuations, the high-quality nature of the business justifies its premium pricing.
See More
