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ORLY Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy O'Reilly Automotive Inc (ORLY) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Buy
Latest Price
93.610
1 Day change
-0.11%
52 Week Range
108.720
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/17
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O'Reilly Automotive Inc (ORLY) is a good buy for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. The company's strong financial performance, hedge fund buying activity, and positive long-term stock trend outweigh the lack of immediate trading signals and neutral technical indicators. The stock is well-positioned for long-term growth.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is positive and contracting, indicating a potential upward trend. RSI is neutral at 48.682, showing no overbought or oversold conditions. Moving averages are converging, suggesting consolidation. The stock is trading near its pivot level of 92.607, with resistance at 94.258 and support at 90.957.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
5
Buy
5

Positive Catalysts

  • Hedge funds are significantly increasing their buying activity, with a 150.33% increase over the last quarter.

  • Strong financial performance in Q4 2025, with revenue up 7.78% YoY, net income up 9.82% YoY, and EPS up 12.70% YoY.

  • Positive stock trend with a 70% probability of a 5.27% increase over the next month.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Analysts have slightly lowered price targets recently, with most targets in the $105-$114 range.

  • No recent news or significant insider trading activity to act as a short-term catalyst.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, O'Reilly Automotive reported revenue of $4.41 billion, up 7.78% YoY. Net income increased to $605.23 million, up 9.82% YoY. EPS grew by 12.70% YoY to 0.71, and gross margin improved to 51.79%, up 0.96% YoY. This indicates strong and consistent growth trends.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts maintain a generally positive outlook with Buy and Outperform ratings. However, some firms have slightly lowered price targets due to elevated costs and adjusted EPS estimates. The average price target remains in the $105-$114 range, suggesting upside potential from the current price.

Wall Street analysts forecast ORLY stock price to rise
20 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast ORLY stock price to rise
18 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 93.710
sliders
Low
91
Averages
110.75
High
125
Current: 93.710
sliders
Low
91
Averages
110.75
High
125
Evercore ISI
Greg Melich
maintain
$105 -> $110
AI Analysis
2026-04-07
Reason
Evercore ISI
Greg Melich
Price Target
$105 -> $110
AI Analysis
2026-04-07
maintain
Reason
Evercore ISI analyst Greg Melich raised the firm's price target on O'Reilly Automotive to $110 from $105 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The firm updated targets among its retail broadlines and hardlines coverage.
Morgan Stanley
Overweight
downgrade
$110 -> $108
2026-02-09
Reason
Morgan Stanley
Price Target
$110 -> $108
2026-02-09
downgrade
Overweight
Reason
Morgan Stanley lowered the firm's price target on O'Reilly Automotive to $108 from $110 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The firm is lowering its FY26 and FY27 EPS estimates by about 4% and 3.5%, respectively, to reflect ongoing medical and casualty self insurance cost pressure.
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