ORLY Stock Price Prediction

O'Reilly Automotive Inc

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1359.340

-0.810(-0.060%)

Overview
Forecast
Valuation

Should I Buy O'Reilly Automotive Inc Stock?

Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. ORLY has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.

ORLY stock price ended at $1359.34 on Friday, after losing -0.06%

The O'Reilly Automotive Inc stock price decreased by -0.06% on the last trading day (09 May 2025), dropping from 1360.215 to 1359.34. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 1.29% , ranging from a day low of $1347.6 to a day high of 1365.02. The price has declined in 7 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 0.92% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by -25.51K shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 271.96K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 369.13M.

ORLY Technical Signals

ORLY(O'Reilly Automotive Inc Corp) has 4 buy signals and 1 sell signal now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-04-25. The total price change during this trend is +0.92%. Recently, the price has decreased with an increase in volume, indicating a strong bearish signal. The average turnover of ORLY over the last 5 trading days is 446.24M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bullish outlook in the mid-term.

ORLY Moving Average Analysis

O'Reilly Automotive Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Sunday, May 11, 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $1446.9903933333333, and $1481.6263333333334. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $1334.9222733333334, and $1300.2863333333332. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.

ORLY Short Selling Analysis

The short sale ratio of O'Reilly Automotive Inc(ORLY) as of 09 May 2025 is 19.48%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 1360.15 to 1359.34. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating price hit a bottom.

Technical Signal

Technical Signals Summary

Buy

Sell

Buy

Moving Average

Swing

Negative

Stock Price Below SMA_5

Short Term

Negative

SMA_5 Below SMA_20

Mid Term

Positive

SMA_20 Above SMA_60

Long Term

Positive

SMA_60 Above SMA_200

Short Selling

Close Price

Short Sale Ratio

Short Sale Volume

4 Bullish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)

CCI_20_0.015 < -100

-114.391

Bullish

Momentum (10 days)

MOM_10 > 0

12.34

Bullish

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)

MACD_12_26_9 > 0

1.256

Bullish

Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)

STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 < 20

10.755

Bullish

1 Bearish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)

AO_5_34 < 0

-7.731

Bearish

ORLY Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis

Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to O'Reilly Automotive Inc(ORLY), our algorithm predicts ORLY's 1-month price at $1371.62, with an -2.47%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 90.73%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.

Similar Chart

The price prediction chart for O'Reilly Automotive Inc (ORLY.O) stock, as of Sunday, May 4, 2025 , forecasts a -2.47% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with AZO.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 90.73%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.

ORLY

Future prediction

Up: -2.47%

AZO

Down: -2.47%Similarity: 90.73%

Name

Similarity

Up/Down

AZO.N

90.73%

-2.47%

VRSK.O

90.55%

+5.31%

ORLY Seasonality Analysis

Based on ORLY's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is45.45%, suggesting it maynotbe an ideal month to invest in ORLY. In contrast,Novemberoffers the highest probability of positive returns at90.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.

However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.

Monthly Seasonality

The radar chart shows that buying O'Reilly Automotive Inc (ORLY.O) stock in November has the highest probability of a positive return (90.00%), while August has the lowest probability (40.00%).

Performance Seasonality

The chart shows O'Reilly Automotive Inc. (ORLY)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.