Avis Budget Short Interest Soars to 67.7%
Welcome to this week's installment of "The Short Interest Report" - The Fly's weekly recap of short interest trends among some of the most widely followed high-short-float stocks. Using the data from our partner, which utilizes the latest information from stock lenders to estimate short interest changes for thousands of publicly traded companies, this report will screen for some of biggest changes in short interest as a percentage of free float and days-to-cover ratios while also considering the short interest data on some of the more volatile and heavier-traded names of the week. Based on the availability of data from Ortex, the report tracks the trading period that covers prior Friday through Thursday of this week, excluding holidays. As a basis of comparison for stocks discussed below, the S&P 500 index was down 2.0%, the Nasdaq Composite was down 3.1%, the Russell 2000 index was flat, the Russell 2000 Growth ETFwas down 1.3%, and the Russell 2000 Value ETFwas up 1.4% in the five-day trading session range through March 26.SHORT INTEREST GAINERSAirport disruptions with long lines at TSA counters due to the partial U.S. government shutdown have diverted travelers to the car-rental counters, and the price action in Avis Budget Groupsure reflects this surge in demand. After five strong sessions, shares of Avis are up 39% in the five-day period covered through Thursday and up 9.3% year-to-date. Bears, however, are betting that the run-up mean-reverts, with short interest on the stock spiking from last week's four-month low around 55%. Specifically, Ortex data is seeing short positioning as a percentage of free float on Avis Budget up from 55.5 to 67.7% - a record high. Days-to-cover on the name was also higher, though at a more modest margin to reflect a surge in trading volume on Thursday, rising from 11.6 to 12.7.Ortex-reported short interest on Sweetgreenhad fallen to a seven-month low of 21.5% just last week, though this week has seen a spike in bearish positioning. Deteriorating consumer sentiment in an environment of rising energy prices and uncertain labor market is weighing on fast-casual dining overall, though the healthy options with a premium cost are getting chopped more than their peers. Short interest as a percentage of free float on Sweetgreen was up from 21.8% to 25.2% - a one-month high. Meanwhile, the stock was down over 7% in the five-day period covered through Thursday and down another 6% amid a broader market selloff on Friday.Ortex-reported short interest on RHhas been tracking consistently higher for a period of about a month, though this week, the rise in bearish bets was especially pronounced – short positioning as a percentage of free float jumped four percentage points to 31.3% by Thursday, with intra-week high of 32% also registering a record high. The stock, meanwhile, is down 45% from its January high, though much of that decline occurred over the first half of March, and this week, shares of RH were down just 1.8%. The company reports its FY25 results through a period ended January 31 this coming Tuesday.SHORT INTEREST DECLINERSOrtex data shows short positioning in Aeva Technologiespulling back from its multi-month highs above 40% just four weeks ago, even though the stock's upside momentum since its trough over the first week of February has finally broken down. Short interest as a percentage of free float on Aeva fell another eight percentage points this week to about 28%, a four-month low, with days-to-cover on the name slipping from 3.7 to 3.3 – also the lowest level since late November. The stock, meanwhile, sold off by 6.6% in the five-day period covered through Thursday and fell another 10% on Friday, even though shares are still up about 13% from February's lows.Ortex-reported short interest on Intuitive Machinessaw its highest levels around 34% in the final week of February, though with the stock still up 25% this month against a sizeable decline in the broader market, bears are moving on to more obvious opportunities. This week, shorts as a percentage of free float on Intuitive Machines fell from about 34% to as low as 23% - a two-month low. The stock was up 1.7% in the five-day period covered through Thursday and also remains higher by over 10% on the year, though shares are down over 6% late on Friday.
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- Stock Decline: Avis Budget Group (CAR) shares fell over 7% at Monday's open, reflecting market concerns over the company's announcement to sell 5 million shares, which may impact investor confidence.
- Share Offering Plan: The company disclosed plans to sell these shares “from time to time” at market prices, with agents receiving a 2% commission on the gross sale price, a strategy that could dilute existing shareholders' equity.
- Use of Proceeds: The proceeds from the sale will be allocated for general corporate purposes, although specific uses were not detailed, indicating potential financial pressure on the company to raise funds for operations.
- Market Reaction: Avis Budget's stock performance contrasts with overall market trends, highlighting investor concerns about its future profitability, especially against the backdrop of a disappointing fourth-quarter performance.
- JPM Options Volume: Today, JPMorgan Chase's options trading volume reached 58,742 contracts, equivalent to approximately 5.9 million shares, representing 52.8% of its average daily trading volume over the past month, indicating strong market interest in the stock.
- High-Frequency Contracts: Notably, the $295 strike call option expiring on June 18, 2026, saw 4,354 contracts traded today, representing about 435,400 underlying shares, suggesting heightened investor expectations for future price increases.
- SoFi Options Activity: SoFi Technologies experienced an options trading volume of 370,166 contracts, equivalent to approximately 37 million shares, also accounting for 52.8% of its average daily trading volume over the past month, reflecting sustained investor interest in the company.
- Key Contract Insights: In SoFi, the $16 strike call option expiring on April 2, 2026, saw 34,823 contracts traded today, representing around 3.5 million shares, indicating optimistic market sentiment regarding its future performance.
- Secondary Share Offering: Avis Budget Group announced a plan to issue up to 5 million shares of common stock, resulting in a nearly 9% drop in stock price during the trading session, indicating investor concerns over dilution risks.
- Diverse Use of Proceeds: The company intends to use the proceeds from the offering for general corporate purposes, including debt retirement, acquisitions, and share buybacks, reflecting its strategic intent to optimize capital structure.
- Negative Market Reaction: Despite Avis's recent aggressive promotion of spring discount deals to attract customers, rising oil prices and the easing of airport chaos have led to a more cautious market outlook on its future performance.
- Shareholder Dilution Concerns: With over 35 million shares currently outstanding, the potential dilution from the new offering raises concerns among shareholders, necessitating close monitoring of how the new funds are deployed to assess their impact on the company's long-term value.
- Secondary Offering Announcement: Avis Budget Group has announced plans to issue up to 5 million shares through an equity distribution agreement, potentially leading to market sales at current prices, which has raised investor concerns about shareholder dilution, resulting in a nearly 9% drop in stock price on Monday.
- Use of Proceeds: The company intends to use the proceeds from this offering for general corporate purposes, including debt retirement, acquisitions, and share buybacks, indicating a strategic move to secure funding for future growth and stability.
- Market Reaction: The announcement of the secondary offering has heightened shareholder concerns regarding dilution, with the current outstanding share count exceeding 35 million, prompting investors to closely monitor how the new funds will be deployed to assess their impact on the company's long-term value.
- Competitive Landscape: Despite Avis's recent spring discount promotions aimed at attracting customers, rising oil prices and the easing of airport chaos may negatively affect its business, necessitating careful evaluation of market dynamics on the company's performance.
- Mortgage Stocks Rally: Shares of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac surged over 30% on Monday after billionaire Bill Ackman labeled them as 'stupidly cheap' in a social media post, indicating strong market confidence in their future potential.
- Boston Scientific Downgrade: Boston Scientific's stock fell more than 9% after Raymond James downgraded it from strong buy to outperform, reflecting concerns over weakening trends in its key growth areas and leading investors to adopt a cautious stance on its future performance.
- Cybersecurity Gains: Palo Alto Networks saw its shares jump over 7% after CEO Nikesh Arora disclosed a $10 million stock purchase, demonstrating market confidence in the company's growth prospects amid rising demand for cybersecurity solutions.
- United Therapeutics Innovation: United Therapeutics' stock rose nearly 13%, reaching a 52-week high, following positive phase 3 clinical trial results for its main product Tyvaso, and its plan to seek priority FDA review to expand the drug's label, showcasing strategic advancements in lung disease treatment.
- Equity Distribution Agreement: Avis Budget Group has entered into an equity distribution agreement to sell up to 5 million shares through multiple major sales agents, demonstrating the company's flexibility and capability in capital markets.
- Direct Sale Option: The company can also sell shares directly to agents acting as principals under separate agreements, which may provide additional funding avenues and enhance financial stability.
- Sales Obligation Flexibility: Avis Budget has no obligation to sell any shares and may suspend the offering at any time, allowing the company to adjust its financing strategy based on market conditions.
- Use of Proceeds: Should the stock sale be successful, proceeds will be used for general corporate purposes, indicating that the company may leverage these funds to support operations or invest in new projects to drive future growth.









