NREF

Nexpoint Real Estate Finance Inc

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Advanced Chart

14.960

-0.31(-2.030%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

Line

Candle

YTD

High

15.270

Open

15.190

VWAP

15.05

Vol

62.47K

Mkt Cap

265.12M

Low

14.960

Amount

940.01K

EV/EBITDA(TTM)

58.61

Total Shares

17.72M

5.23B

EV/OCF(TTM)

136.07

P/S(TTM)

2.29

NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc. is a commercial mortgage real estate investment trust (REIT). The Company is primarily focused on originating, structuring and investing in first-lien mortgage loans, mezzanine loans, preferred equity, convertible notes, multifamily properties and common equity investments, as well as multifamily and single-family commercial mortgage-backed securities securitizations, promissory notes, revolving credit facilities and stock warrants. The Company’s primary investment objective is to generate attractive, risk-adjusted returns for stockholders over the long term. It intends to achieve this objective primarily by originating, structuring and investing in its target assets. It primarily focuses on investments in the real estate sectors, including in the multifamily, SFR, self-storage and life science sectors, predominantly in the metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs). Its business is conducted through NexPoint Real Estate Finance Operating Partnership, L.P.

Market Estimates

Earnings Estimates

Revenue

YoY Chg

EPS

YoYChg

FY2026Q1

FY2025Q4

FY2025Q3

9.15M

-20.51%

0.470

+14.63%

12.24M

-43.56%

0.500

-39.76%

11.89M

-5.05%

0.470

-37.33%

Estimates Revision

The market is revising Downward the revenue expectations for NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc. (NREF) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by -0.09% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by -0.93%.

Revenue Estimates for FY2025

Revise Downward

-0.09%

In Past 3 Month

EPS Estimates for FY2025

Revise Downward

-3.88%

In Past 3 Month

Stock Price

Go Down

-0.93%

In Past 3 Month

1 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast NREF stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NREF is 15.00 USD with a low forecast of 15.00 USD and a high forecast of 15.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

0 Buy

1 Hold

0 Sell

Hold

Current: 14.960

Low

15.00

Averages

15.00

High

15.00

Current: 14.960

Low

15.00

Averages

15.00

High

15.00

Piper Sandler

Neutral

downgrade

$16 -> $15

2025-08-04

Reason

Piper Sandler

Price Target

$16 -> $15

2025-08-04

downgrade

Neutral

Reason

Piper Sandler lowered the firm's price target on NexPoint Real Estate Finance to $15 from $16 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm notes NexPoint posted an in-line quarter, but guidance implies lower forward estimates. After three quarters of handily covering the dividend, core earnings haven't covered the dividend for two consecutive quarters and Q3 2025 guidance implies that this will likely occur again, adds Piper.

Keefe, Bruyette & Woods

Jade Rahmani

Hold

Maintains

$16 → $15

2025-04-07

Reason

Keefe, Bruyette & Woods

Jade Rahmani

Price Target

$16 → $15

2025-04-07

Maintains

Hold

Reason

Keefe Bruyette analyst Jade Rahmani lowered the firm's price target on NexPoint Real Estate Finance to $15 from $16 and keeps a Market Perform rating on the shares.

Keefe, Bruyette & Woods

Jade Rahmani

Hold

Maintains

$16 → $16

2025-03-03

Reason

Keefe, Bruyette & Woods

Jade Rahmani

Price Target

$16 → $16

2025-03-03

Maintains

Hold

Reason

Keefe Bruyette raised the firm's price target on NexPoint Real Estate Finance to $16 from $15.50 and keeps a Market Perform rating on the shares. The increased price target is driven by unchanged estimates, which bolsters confidence in the outlook, and modestly lower treasury rates, the analyst tells investors in a research note.

Keefe, Bruyette & Woods

Jade Rahmani

Hold

Maintains

$17 → $16

2025-01-14

Reason

Keefe, Bruyette & Woods

Jade Rahmani

Price Target

$17 → $16

2025-01-14

Maintains

Hold

Reason

JMP Securities

Chris Muller

Hold

Reiterates

n/a

2025-01-10

Reason

JMP Securities

Chris Muller

Price Target

n/a

2025-01-10

Reiterates

Hold

Reason

Raymond James

Stephen Laws

Strong Buy

Hold

Downgrades

n/a

2024-09-19

Reason

Raymond James

Stephen Laws

Price Target

n/a

2024-09-19

Downgrades

Strong Buy

Hold

Reason

Raymond James double downgraded NexPoint Real Estate Finance to Market Perform from Strong Buy without a price target. The analyst believes the stock's risk/reward is more balanced at current valuations. The firm says the shares currently trade above its previous target and basically in line with June 30 book value.

See All Ratings

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Nexpoint Real Estate Finance Inc (NREF.N) is 7.95, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 8.41. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess Nexpoint Real Estate Finance Inc 's fair value, click here.

Forward PE

The forward P/E ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future earnings per share over the next 12 months.

Fair

5Y Average PE

8.41

Current PE

7.95

Overvalued PE

10.07

Undervalued PE

6.75

Forward EV/EBITDA

The forward EV/EBITDA ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's enterprise value (EV) by its estimated future earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) over the next 12 months.

N/A

5Y Average EV/EBITDA

0.00

Current EV/EBITDA

0.00

Overvalued EV/EBITDA

0.00

Undervalued EV/EBITDA

0.00

Forward PS

The forward P/S ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future sales (or revenue) per share over the next 12 months.

Fair

5Y Average PS

7.68

Current PS

6.37

Overvalued PS

13.14

Undervalued PS

2.23