Should I Buy NREF? NREF 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Nexpoint Real Estate Finance Inc (NREF) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

14.980

1 Day change

3.24%

52 Week Range

16.800

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/26

NexPoint Real Estate Finance Inc (NREF) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. While the company has shown impressive financial growth in its latest quarter, the lack of positive trading signals, neutral sentiment from hedge funds and insiders, and a downward trend in analyst price targets suggest a cautious approach. The technical indicators are neutral to slightly bullish, but the absence of significant catalysts and the stock's projected short-term decline make it less compelling for immediate investment.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is positive but contracting, RSI is neutral at 54.411, and moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200). Support and resistance levels are as follows: Pivot: 14.566, R1: 14.956, S1: 14.177, R2: 15.197, S2: 13.936. Overall, the technical indicators suggest a neutral to slightly bullish trend.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

The company reported strong financial performance in Q3 2025, with revenue up 102.23% YoY, net income up 117.37% YoY, EPS up 50.94% YoY, and gross margin up 32.64% YoY.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

No recent news or significant trading trends. Analyst price targets have been lowered twice in recent months, and the stock is projected to decline slightly in the short term (-1.13% in the next day, -0.48% in the next week, -1.33% in the next month).

Financial Performance

In Q3 2025, NexPoint Real Estate Finance reported revenue of $87.36M (up 102.23% YoY), net income of $35.03M (up 117.37% YoY), EPS of 0.8 (up 50.94% YoY), and a gross margin of 84.49% (up 32.64% YoY).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts have a Market Perform rating on the stock. Keefe Bruyette recently lowered the price target from $14.50 to $14 and earlier from $14.25 to $13.25, indicating a cautious outlook.

3 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast NREF stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NREF is 14.5 USD with a low forecast of 14 USD and a high forecast of 15 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

0 Buy

3 Hold

0 Sell

Hold

Current: 14.510

Low

Averages

14.5

High

Current: 14.510

Low

Averages

14.5

High

Keefe Bruyette

Market Perform

downgrade

$14

AI Analysis

2026-01-08

Reason

Keefe Bruyette

Price Target

$14

AI Analysis

2026-01-08

downgrade

Market Perform

Reason

Keefe Bruyette lowered the firm's price target on NexPoint Real Estate Finance to $14 from $14.50 and keeps a Market Perform rating on the shares.

Keefe Bruyette

Jade Rahmani

Market Perform

downgrade

2025-11-04

Reason

Keefe Bruyette

Jade Rahmani

Price Target

2025-11-04

downgrade

Market Perform

Reason

Keefe Bruyette analyst Jade Rahmani lowered the firm's price target on NexPoint Real Estate Finance to $13.25 from $14.25 and keeps a Market Perform rating on the shares.

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NREF Should I Buy

NREF Should I Buy

Should You Buy Nexpoint Real Estate Finance Inc (NREF) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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