Goldman Sachs Upgrades Netflix to Buy Ahead of Earnings
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 2 days ago
0mins
Should l Buy NFLX?
Source: Yahoo Finance
- Rating Upgrade: Goldman Sachs upgraded Netflix's stock from Neutral to Buy, leading to a 1.56% intraday rise ahead of its earnings report on April 16, indicating improved risk-reward dynamics.
- Price Target Increase: The firm raised its price target to $120, suggesting approximately 26% upside from current levels, reflecting a positive outlook on the company's future performance.
- Financial Outlook: Analysts estimate that Netflix could generate an additional $3 billion in revenue from U.S. price hikes in 2026 and 2027, while projecting GAAP operating margin expansion of around 250 basis points annually over the next three years, indicating enhanced profitability.
- Advertising Revenue Growth: Goldman forecasts Netflix's ad revenues will increase from approximately $1.5 billion in 2025 to around $4.5 billion by 2027, and approach $9.5 billion by 2030, highlighting advertising monetization as a key long-term growth driver.
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Analyst Views on NFLX
Wall Street analysts forecast NFLX stock price to rise
38 Analyst Rating
27 Buy
10 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 98.820
Low
92.00
Averages
114.18
High
150.00
Current: 98.820
Low
92.00
Averages
114.18
High
150.00
About NFLX
Netflix, Inc. is a provider of entertainment services. The Company acquires, licenses and produces content, including original programming. It provides paid memberships in over 190 countries offering television (TV) series, films and games across a variety of genres and languages. It allows members to play, pause and resume watching as much as they want, anytime, anywhere, and can change their plans at any time. The Company offers members the ability to receive streaming content through a host of Internet-connected devices, including TVs, digital video players, TV set-top boxes and mobile devices. It is engaged in scaling its streaming service, such as introducing games and advertising on its service, as well as offering live programming. It is developing technology and utilizing third-party cloud computing, technology and other services. The Company is also engaged in scaling its own studio operations to produce original content.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Surge in Ad Revenue: In 2025, Netflix's advertising revenue reached $1.5 billion, growing over 150%, with expectations to double again in 2026; while the ad-supported subscription model generates lower initial revenue, the long-term value increases as the subscriber base expands.
- Impressive Financial Performance: Netflix anticipates first-quarter 2026 revenue of $12.2 billion, reflecting a 15.3% year-over-year growth, marking an acceleration in revenue growth, with projected earnings of $0.76 per share, the highest in company history, boosting investor confidence.
- Attractive Stock Valuation: With a current P/E ratio of 40.3, below the five-year average of 42.5, and projected earnings growth to $3.17 per share in 2026, Netflix's stock would need to rise 52% to maintain its current valuation, indicating strong potential returns for investors.
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- Surge in Ad Revenue: In 2025, Netflix's advertising revenue reached $1.5 billion, growing over 150%, with expectations to double again in 2026; while the ad-supported subscription model generates lower initial revenue, the long-term value increases as the subscriber base expands.
- Impressive Financial Performance: Netflix anticipates first-quarter 2026 revenue of $12.2 billion, reflecting a 15.3% year-over-year growth, marking an acceleration in revenue growth, with projected earnings of $0.76 per share, the highest in company history, boosting investor confidence.
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See More
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- Legal Action: Shell has opted to take 'forceful legal action' in response to the lawsuit, indicating his commitment to defending his reputation while also reflecting the company's supportive stance in this matter.
- Strategic Company Shift: Following Paramount's successful acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery, Shell's future role remains undefined, particularly with the influx of new executives, which could impact the company's leadership structure and decision-making processes.
- Past Controversies: Shell previously resigned as CEO of NBCUniversal in 2023 due to an 'inappropriate relationship' with an employee, and this resignation further complicates his controversial image in the industry, potentially harming Paramount's brand reputation.
See More
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- Executive Departure: Jeff Shell has stepped down as President of Paramount amid a lawsuit alleging SEC rule violations, although the company asserts that these claims are 'baseless'.
- Legal Action: Shell has opted to pursue 'forceful legal action' in response to the lawsuit, indicating his commitment to defending his reputation, which may also impact the company's governance structure.
- Acquisition Context: Following Paramount's successful acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery in 2023, Shell's future role has become uncertain, particularly since he was not involved in the deal negotiations, potentially leading to a reshuffling of management.
- Past Controversies: Shell previously resigned as CEO of NBCUniversal in 2023 after admitting to an 'inappropriate relationship' with an employee, further intensifying scrutiny on his professional trajectory.
See More
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- Habits and Identity: David Gardner quotes James Clear, emphasizing that habits are pathways to identity change, suggesting that investors shape their self-perception through daily actions, thereby enhancing long-term investment success.
- Investing to Predict the Future: Kleiner Perkins' idea that “we invest to predict the future” highlights how investors become more observant of market dynamics when they hold stocks, improving their foresight of future trends.
- Market Uncertainty: By referencing Shakespeare, Gardner points out the “stubbornness of fortune” in investing, stressing the importance of long-term holding and regular investing to navigate the uncertainties brought by market fluctuations.
- Responsible Questioning: Gardner discusses Warren Berger's perspective, emphasizing that in an age of information overload, investors should question with curiosity rather than antagonism to improve the quality of their investment decisions.
See More
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- Identity and Habits: David Gardner emphasizes that habits are crucial in shaping identity, where every action serves as a vote for one's future self, enabling investors to gradually form their investment identity through consistent small habits, thereby enhancing long-term investment success.
- Investing and Observation: Gardner cites Kleiner Perkins' perspective that investing is not just about predicting the future but becoming a more astute observer through investment, paying attention to market changes and company dynamics to gain a competitive edge.
- Market Volatility Response: In the face of market fluctuations, Gardner advocates for a 'quiet and sweet style' through regular investing (like dollar-cost averaging), a strategy that helps investors remain calm amidst uncertainty and avoid emotional decision-making.
- The Art of Questioning: Gardner highlights the importance of questioning, encouraging investors to ask not just 'what should I buy' but 'why can this company succeed', thereby improving the quality of investment decisions through deeper inquiries.
See More
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- Acquisition Plans Halted: Netflix's plan to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery for $82.7 billion was abandoned as Warner opted for Paramount's offer, leading to a recovery in Netflix's stock from a recent 42% decline, indicating renewed investor confidence in the company's future.
- Strong User Growth: By the end of 2025, Netflix had over 325 million paying subscribers, significantly outpacing rivals HBO Max and Disney+, demonstrating the effectiveness of its content spending strategy in attracting new members and solidifying its market dominance.
- Advertising Revenue Surge: Although advertising revenue accounted for only $1.5 billion of total revenue in 2025, it grew by over 150%, with expectations to double again in 2026, providing Netflix with additional funds for premium ad slots and enhancing its profitability.
- First Quarter Performance Expectations: Management anticipates first-quarter revenue for 2026 to reach $12.2 billion, reflecting a 15.3% year-over-year growth, which would mark the best quarterly performance in the company's history, showcasing Netflix's strong momentum in a competitive streaming market.
See More
