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Market Estimates
Earnings Estimates
Revenue
YoY Chg
EPS
YoYChg
FY2025Q2
FY2025Q3
FY2025Q4
3.11B
+4.75%
0.326
-4.16%
3.10B
+10.81%
0.297
+9.91%
3.17B
+11.38%
0.296
+18.26%
Estimates Revision
The market is revising Downward the revenue expectations for Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by -3.22% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by 3.48%.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
-3.22%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
-5.95%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Up
+3.48%
In Past 3 Month
28 Analyst Rating
0Wall Street analysts forecast CMG stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CMG is 58.15 USD with a low forecast of 47.00 USD and a high forecast of 66.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
19 Buy
9 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
0Current: 51.380
Low
47.00
Averages
58.15
High
66.00
0Current: 51.380
Low
47.00
Averages
58.15
High
66.00
Redburn Atlantic
initiated
$55
2025-06-10
Reason
Redburn Atlantic
Price Target
$55
2025-06-10
initiated
Reason
Redburn Atlantic initiated coverage of Chipotle with a Neutral rating and $55 price target.
Redburn Atlantic
Neutral
initiated
$55
2025-06-10
Reason
Redburn Atlantic
Price Target
$55
2025-06-10
initiated
Neutral
Reason
As previously reported, Redburn Atlantic initiated coverage of Chipotle with a Neutral rating and $55 price target. Chipotle remains the "standout" in U.S. restaurants, underpinned by superior unit economics, a higher-income customer base and continued throughput improvements, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm says the company's exposure to GLP-1 weight loss drugs is low, its pricing has not been aggressive and traffic trends have been more resilient than those at peers. However, current expectations already embed a strong outer-year same-store sales recovery, leaving limited room for upwards revisions, contends Redburn. As such, it sees the stock as fairly valued.
JPMorgan
Neutral
maintain
$58 -> $54
2025-05-29
Reason
JPMorgan
Price Target
$58 -> $54
2025-05-29
maintain
Neutral
Reason
JPMorgan lowered the firm's price target on Chipotle to $54 from $58 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares after meeting with management. The firm believes the company's currently negative comps should have bottomed and a return to normal seasonality should allow positive comps in Q3 and positive traffic in Q4 and beyond. This turn in comps is generally expected and needs to occur to support the shares, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
Bernstein
Danilo Gargiulo
Outperform
maintain
$60 -> $65
2025-05-23
Reason
Bernstein
Danilo Gargiulo
Price Target
$60 -> $65
2025-05-23
maintain
Outperform
Reason
Bernstein analyst Danilo Gargiulo raised the firm's price target on Chipotle to $65 from $60 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The firm notes Chipotle's stock is 20% down from its recent peak following its first negative SSSG quarter since the e.Coli crisis. Bernstein believes that the market is fixated on the past quarter and extrapolating that Chipotle will enter a slower growth phase. The firm expects sales inflection faster than the market and sees upside to EPS growth and multiple re-rating.
Guggenheim
Neutral
maintain
$48 -> $47
2025-04-25
Reason
Guggenheim
Price Target
$48 -> $47
2025-04-25
maintain
Neutral
Reason
Guggenheim lowered the firm's price target on Chipotle to $47 from $48 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm trimmed its 2026 EPS view another 2c to $1.32 following a Q1 report that included modestly softer than expected same-store sales for the quarter and challenged April results against very tough comparisons, the analyst tells investors.
Barclays
Jeffrey Bernstein
Equal Weight
downgrade
$56 -> $52
2025-04-24
Reason
Barclays
Jeffrey Bernstein
Price Target
$56 -> $52
2025-04-24
downgrade
Equal Weight
Reason
Barclays analyst Jeffrey Bernstein lowered the firm's price target on Chipotle to $52 from $56 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares following the Q1 report. The company's comp fell modestly below buy-side expectations, with a consumer pullback starting February and continuing in April, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
See All Ratings
Valuation Metrics
The current forward P/E ratio for Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (CMG.N) is 40.60, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 48.90. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc 's fair value, click here.
Forward PE
The forward P/E ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future earnings per share over the next 12 months.
Fair
5Y Average PE
48.90
Current PE
40.60
Overvalued PE
59.59
Undervalued PE
38.21
Forward EV/EBITDA
The forward EV/EBITDA ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's enterprise value (EV) by its estimated future earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) over the next 12 months.
Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
31.82
Current EV/EBITDA
28.39
Overvalued EV/EBITDA
37.20
Undervalued EV/EBITDA
26.45
Forward PS
The forward P/S ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future sales (or revenue) per share over the next 12 months.
Fair
5Y Average PS
5.47
Current PS
5.46
Overvalued PS
6.32
Undervalued PS
4.61
Financials
Annual
Quarterly
N/A
Total Revenue
N/A
Operating Profit
N/A
Net Income after Tax
N/A
EPS - Diluted
N/A
Free Cash Flow
N/A
Gross Profit Margin - %
N/A
FCF Margin - %
N/A
Net Margin - %
N/A
ROIC
Trading Trends
Insider
Insiders areSelling! The selling amount has increased 3533.87% over the last month.
Sold
Bought
Hedge Fund
Hedge Funds are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last quarter.
Sold
Bought
Congress Trading
Congress are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
Bought
Insider
Insiders areSelling! The selling amount has increased 3533.87% over the last month.
Sold
Bought
CMG News & Events
Events Timeline
(ET)
2025-05-16
09:50:40
Tesla appoints Chipotle's John Hartung to board
2025-05-06 (ET)
2025-05-06
16:15:50
Chipotle names Jason Kidd as COO, effective May 19
2025-04-23 (ET)
2025-04-23
16:11:46
Chipotle cuts FY25 comparable restaurant sales growth view to low single digits
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FAQ
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