CMG Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how CMG performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, CMG sees a -1.69% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +0.34% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.13%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
CMG Key Earning Data
2024/Q4
Year Over Year
Quarter Over Quarter
Total Revenue
2.85B
13.07%
1.85%
Gross Margin
26.95%
-0.85%
-2.28%
Operating Margin
14.63%
-0.48%
-16.30%
Net Margin
11.66%
4.01%
-15.93%
EPS
0.24
-97.65%
-14.29%
No Data Available
CMG Earnings Analysis
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc Corporation (CMG.N) Earnings Conference Call
Positive
Sales Growth Overview: Sales grew about 15% to reach $11.3 billion for fiscal year 2024, driven by a 7.4% comp including over 5% transaction growth.
Digital Sales Performance: Digital sales reached $3.9 billion, representing 35% of total sales, highlighting strong online engagement.
Record Restaurant Openings: Opened a record 304 new restaurants in 2024, including 257 Chipotlanes, contributing to a growing footprint.
EPS Growth Analysis: Adjusted diluted EPS was $1.12, representing a 24% growth over the previous year, indicating strong profitability.
Restaurant Margin Improvement: Restaurant level margin was 26.7%, an increase of 50 basis points year over year, reflecting improved operational efficiency.
Negative
Decline in Restaurant Margin: Restaurant level margin declined by 60 basis points year over year to 24.8% in Q4, indicating a decrease in profitability despite sales growth.
Cost of Sales Increase: Cost of sales increased by 70 basis points to 30.4% in Q4, driven by higher usage and inflation, which negatively impacted overall margins.
Labor Cost Increase Impact: Labor costs rose by 20 basis points to 25.2% in Q4, reflecting wage inflation that offset sales leverage, indicating pressure on profitability.
Challenging Start to 2025: Transaction comps in January were negative 2%, impacted by weather and calendar shifts, suggesting a challenging start to 2025 compared to previous quarters.
2025 Growth Outlook: Guidance for 2025 anticipates low to mid single-digit comps, indicating a slowdown in growth compared to the previous year, which may affect investor sentiment.
CMG FAQs
How does CMG typically perform around its earnings report dates?
Is Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (CMG) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary positive or negative?
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CMG Earning Call Sentiment
Earnings call transcript: Chipotle Q4 2024 beats EPS forecast, stock dips
CMG.N
-1.27%Positive
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance with a 15% increase in sales and 24% EPS growth. Despite some cost pressures, Chipotle's strategic expansions, tech innovations, and a robust share repurchase program signal confidence. The Q&A section reveals management's optimism about international growth and digital sales. Though there are concerns about tariffs and labor costs, the overall positive guidance and strategic initiatives outweigh these risks, suggesting a positive stock price movement.
