CMG Relative Valuation
CMG's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, CMG is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.
Historical Valuation
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (CMG) is now in the Undervalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 29.09 is considered Undervalued compared with the five-year average of 45.62. The fair price of Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (CMG) is between 39.61 to 56.91 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 33.93 USD , Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc is Undervalued By 14.34%.
Relative Value
Fair Zone
39.61-56.91
Current Price：33.93
14.34%
Undervalued
29.28
PE
1Y
3Y
5Y
Trailing
Forward
20.27
EV/EBITDA
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. (CMG) has a current EV/EBITDA of 20.27. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 30.28. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 19.90, Undervalued between 19.90 and 25.09, Fairly Valued between 35.47 and 25.09, Overvalued between 35.47 and 40.66, and Strongly Overvalued above 40.66. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 20.27 falls within the Undervalued range.
24.24
EV/EBIT
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. (CMG) has a current EV/EBIT of 24.24. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 36.61. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 22.78, Undervalued between 22.78 and 29.69, Fairly Valued between 43.52 and 29.69, Overvalued between 43.52 and 50.44, and Strongly Overvalued above 50.44. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 24.24 falls within the Undervalued range.
3.53
PS
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. (CMG) has a current PS of 3.53. The 5-year average PS is 5.40. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 3.53, Undervalued between 3.53 and 4.46, Fairly Valued between 6.33 and 4.46, Overvalued between 6.33 and 7.26, and Strongly Overvalued above 7.26. The current Forward PS of 3.53 falls within the Undervalued range.
21.42
P/OCF
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. (CMG) has a current P/OCF of 21.42. The 5-year average P/OCF is 34.39. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 21.40, Undervalued between 21.40 and 27.89, Fairly Valued between 40.89 and 27.89, Overvalued between 40.89 and 47.39, and Strongly Overvalued above 47.39. The current Forward P/OCF of 21.42 falls within the Undervalued range.
33.20
P/FCF
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. (CMG) has a current P/FCF of 33.20. The 5-year average P/FCF is 53.87. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 30.83, Undervalued between 30.83 and 42.35, Fairly Valued between 65.39 and 42.35, Overvalued between 65.39 and 76.91, and Strongly Overvalued above 76.91. The current Forward P/FCF of 33.20 falls within the Undervalued range.
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (CMG) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 13.96. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 20.26 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -31.10% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 20.15, the current P/B ratio is about -30.70% higher. Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (CMG) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 0.00%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 2.06%, the current FCF yield is approximately -100.00% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 1.82% , the current FCF yield is about -100.00% lower.
14.05
P/B
Median3y
20.26
Median5y
20.15
3.51
FCF Yield
Median3y
2.06
Median5y
1.82
Competitors Valuation Multiple
The average P/S ratio for CMG's competitors is , providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc Corp (CMG) exhibits a P/S ratio of , which is NaN% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 7.51%, this premium appears unsustainable.
P/S
P/E
EV/EBITDA
EV/EBIT
P/S
Revenue Growth
Market Cap
Performance Decomposition
1Y
3Y
5Y
Market capitalization of CMG decreased by 43.37% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in Revenue Growth from 2.79B to 3.00B.
The secondary factor is the Margin Expansion, contributed -8.29%to the performance.
Overall, the performance of CMG in the past 1 year is driven by Revenue Growth. Which is more sustainable.
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FAQ
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