Should You Buy Netflix Inc (NFLX) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/30
Buy now for a tactical rebound setup: NFLX is trading near key support (~82.8) with very short-term momentum washed out (RSI_6 ~22) after the post-earnings/guidance drop. While the broader trend is still bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5) and the Warner Bros. Discovery bid adds headline risk, the combination of oversold conditions, strong Q4 fundamentals, and call-leaning option flow supports an impatient, near-term bounce trade rather than waiting for a perfect entry.
Technical Analysis
Trend/structure: Bearish intermediate trend (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5) indicates the path of least resistance has been down.
Momentum: RSI_6 at ~22.66 signals near-term oversold/washed-out selling pressure (despite the feed labeling it “neutral,” 22 is typically oversold).
MACD: Histogram slightly above 0 (0.0174) but positively contracting—suggests downside momentum is fading, not a strong uptrend yet.
Levels: Price (~82.9 pre-market) is sitting on S1 82.812; a hold/reclaim of this area favors a snapback. If it bounces, first upside checkpoints are Pivot 85.857 then R1 88.902. If 82.8 fails, next support is S2 80.932.
Pattern-stat read: Similar-pattern stats imply mild near-term weakness (next day/week) but a positive 1-month skew (+5.44%), consistent with a rebound after a drop.
**Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals**
- [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): No signal on given stock today.
- [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock recently.
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent trend: Many price targets were cut after Q4/guidance and deal uncertainty (e.g., Argus 141→110; BMO 143→135; UBS 150→130; Oppenheimer 145→125; Needham 150→120; Rosenblatt 105→94), but ratings skew remains constructive (multiple Buy/Outperform kept).
Notable upgrades: Freedom Capital upgraded to Buy with $104; Phillip Securities upgraded to Accumulate with $100.
Wall Street pros: Strong subscriber/advertising momentum, pricing power, margin execution, and long-term content/adjacency optionality.
Wall Street cons: Near-term catalyst gap, mixed 2026 guide/margins, and acquisition/regulatory/debt overhang from the WBD situation.
Wall Street analysts forecast NFLX stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NFLX is 129.47 USD with a low forecast of 92 USD and a high forecast of 152.5 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Wall Street analysts forecast NFLX stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NFLX is 129.47 USD with a low forecast of 92 USD and a high forecast of 152.5 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Current: 83.160
Current: 83.160
