Investment Safe Havens Post Supreme Court Ruling on Trump Tariffs
- Defense Sector Outlook: Analyst Julia Ostian views the defense sector as a structural safe haven for 2026, suggesting Northrop Grumman (NOC) and RTX Corp. (RTX) as attractive alternatives to Lockheed Martin (LMT), which has rallied 40%, reflecting concerns over military buildup in the Middle East.
- Infrastructure Investment Opportunities: Leo Nelissen emphasizes that the tariff policies of the Trump administration aim to bolster the U.S. industrial base, recommending Class I railroads like Union Pacific (UNP) and CSX Corp. (CSX), along with Eaton (ETN) and Quanta Services (PWR), which are crucial for grid and infrastructure modernization.
- Gold and Software Investments: Victor Dergunov is considering increasing gold positions while rotating back into undervalued high-quality software, particularly in cybersecurity, indicating a strategy to navigate market volatility, while also closely monitoring Bitcoin (BTC-USD) prices for potential recovery.
- Brazilian Market Selection: Multiplo Invest highlights that its recommended stock portfolio rose 24.9% in 2025, and after adjustments for 2026, it included Brazilian stocks, viewing Itaú (ITUB) as a safe investment immune to tariff risks, reflecting confidence in the Latin American market's stability.
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- Engine Performance Advantage: The TJ150 turbojet engine produces over 150 pounds of thrust and is designed for high-altitude operations, enabling rapid manufacturing and high reliability, which meets modern mission demands and enhances the operational capabilities of autonomous defense systems.
- Significant Delivery Volume: Pratt & Whitney has delivered over 2,700 TJ150 engines for various missile applications, indicating strong demand and influence in the global market, further solidifying the company's market position.
- Enhanced Production Flexibility: The incorporation of additive manufacturing in the TJ150 development aims to improve production flexibility, expand the supply chain, and accelerate engine development, ensuring a rapid response to market changes and customer needs.
- Strong Stock Performance: RTX shares have surged 61.23% over the past 12 months and are currently trading near their 52-week high, demonstrating robust market momentum, with analysts generally rating it as a “Buy” and raising the price target to $238, reflecting confidence in its future growth.
Military Costs and Incidents: The recent friendly fire incident in Kuwait, which resulted in the downing of three U.S. F-15 jets, has added to the estimated replacement costs of around $100 million each, highlighting unforeseen military expenses amid ongoing conflicts.
Stock Market Impact: The defense industry is experiencing a boost, with government contractors reporting a year-to-date gain of 9.55%, significantly outperforming the broader S&P 500 index, which has seen a loss of 2.22%.
Investment Trends: The iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF has amassed nearly $11 billion in market capitalization, attracting institutional investors due to its strong performance and the ongoing geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East.
Top Defense Stocks: The ETF includes major defense contractors like Lockheed Martin and Boeing, which have seen varied year-to-date performances, with some stocks significantly outperforming others, indicating a selective investment landscape in the defense sector.
- Contract Renewal: Pratt & Whitney has secured a follow-on contract from Leidos Dynetics to supply TJ150 engines for the AGM-190A small cruise missile, further solidifying its position in the defense market.
- Technical Advantage: The TJ150 engine is a compact turbojet designed to operate at high altitudes, specifically engineered to power various autonomous systems and weapons, catering to both domestic and international customers.
- Market Potential: As the global defense and security ecosystem continues to grow, this contract not only enhances Pratt & Whitney's market share but also provides robust support for its future business development.
- Strategic Significance: The signing of this contract reflects Pratt & Whitney's ongoing investment and technological innovation in the defense sector, ensuring its competitive edge in a highly contested market.
- Contract Renewal: RTX's subsidiary Pratt & Whitney has signed a follow-on contract with Leidos Dynetics to supply TJ150 engines for the AGM-190A small cruise missile, indicating the company's sustained growth potential in the defense sector.
- Engine Performance: The TJ150 is a compact, high-performance turbojet engine designed to power various autonomous systems and weapons, enhancing Pratt & Whitney's competitiveness in the high-end market by meeting domestic and international customer needs.
- Market Demand: Jessica Villardi, Vice President at Pratt & Whitney, emphasized that the reliability and performance of the TJ150 engine meet modern mission demands, ensuring consistent thrust and supporting seamless vehicle integration, further solidifying its market position.
- Stock Market Performance: RTX is trading at $206.52 on the New York Stock Exchange, down 0.83%, reflecting market reactions to defense contracts and the overall economic environment.
- Contract Award: REalloys (ALOY) announced that the Defense Logistics Agency (DLA) has awarded its subsidiary Terves LLC a contract to advance the production of rare earth metals samarium and gadolinium, with an expected capacity of 300 tons per year, significantly enhancing U.S. self-sufficiency in rare earth metals.
- Strategic Shift: This contract represents a major shift in U.S. defense procurement policy, banning the use of Chinese-sourced rare earth materials, aiming to rebuild domestic metallization capabilities that have eroded over decades, thereby reducing reliance on China and enhancing national security.
- Modular Design: REalloys is utilizing a modular production facility design that allows for rapid deployment and replication while reducing capital and operating costs, providing a competitive edge in meeting the growing defense demands.
- Supply Chain Reconstruction: This initiative is part of a broader effort to rebuild rare earth processing capacity in the U.S., with REalloys integrating multiple stages of the value chain through partnerships with various suppliers, ensuring a stable material supply for future defense needs.
- Contract Award: REalloys (ALOY) announced that the Defense Logistics Agency (DLA) has awarded Terves LLC a contract to advance the production of rare earth metals samarium and gadolinium, with an expected capacity of 300 tons per year, significantly enhancing the self-sufficiency of the U.S. defense industry.
- Strategic Shift: This contract represents a major shift in U.S. rare earth strategy, focusing on industrial production of metals and alloys rather than mining, aiming to reduce dependence on China and ensure a stable supply of defense materials.
- Modular Design: REalloys' production facility features a modular design that allows for rapid deployment and replication, reducing capital and operating costs, which will accelerate the production capacity of rare earth metals and aligns with the Pentagon's supply chain strategy.
- Supply Chain Reconstruction: With the implementation of new procurement rules in 2027, REalloys' project will be crucial in rebuilding rare earth processing capabilities in North America, ensuring the competitiveness and security of material supply in the U.S. defense sector.










