U.S. Equity Futures Little Changed, Tech Stocks Mixed Performance
In the opening hour of the evening session, U.S. equity futures are little changed, with S&P 500 e-minis at 6.865 and Nasdaq 100 just above 25,620. Commodities, meanwhile, are down slightly - WTI Crude Oil is backing away from two-week highs above $60 per barrel after Energy prices rallied on Thursday, with the Russia-Ukraine stalemate becoming ever-more apparent. Gold retreated below $4,240 and Silver has pulled back over the past two days from record highs near $60.Energy and Industrials were some of the best performing sectors on the S&P 500 on Thursday, while Health Care and Consumer Staples lagged. Better than expected weekly claims drove traders away from the safety of Treasuries as the yield on the benchmark 10-year rose toward 4.1% and the Vix fear gauge retreated to one-month low below 16 level. Tech traded mixed, with relative outperformance in the Software space, while Communication Services was paced by the outsized gains by Meta Platform, which rallied over 3% on reports that the company is seeking to control its runaway investment by cutting up to 30% of spending dedicated to the metaverse.Check out this evening's top movers from around Wall Street, compiled by The Fly.HIGHER AFTER EARNINGS -Rubrikup 16.4%The Cooper Companiesup 13.5%Zumiezup 13.4%Ulta Beautyup 6.0%ServiceTitanup 6.0%IDTup 4.7%Samsaraup 1.6%ALSO HIGHER -Praxis Precision Medicinesup 23.2% after results from EMBOLD relutrigine studyDOWN AFTER EARNINGS -Domodown 14.1%HP Enterprisedown 9.6%SentinelOnedown 8.8%DocuSigndown 5.8%ALSO LOWER -Oklo Inc.down 7.0% after $1.5B equity shelfSoFi Technologiesdown 6.2% after equity offering
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- AI Replacement Trend: Mistral AI CEO Arthur Mensch stated that over 50% of current enterprise software could be replaced by AI, raising investor concerns about software stocks, particularly as SaaS models face disruption.
- Shift in SaaS Spending: Mensch predicts that more than half of SaaS spending in IT procurement will shift to AI, indicating a qualitative leap in software development speed, which could put traditional software companies under greater pressure.
- Changing Customer Demands: Mistral AI currently has over 100 enterprise customers looking to replatform their IT systems to enhance efficiency and reduce costs, presenting significant market opportunities for the company.
- Expansion into India: Mistral AI plans to open its first office in India and collaborate with local companies, aligning with the Indian government's push for AI localization, which is expected to provide strong growth momentum for the company in the region.
- Market Performance Review: Rubrik's stock has fallen over 45% since its all-time high in mid-2025, yet the company continues to thrive, with annual recurring revenue (ARR) increasing by 34% year-over-year to $1.35 billion in Q3 2025, indicating strong market demand and customer loyalty.
- Business Model Advantage: Rubrik offers enterprises a secure data storage solution that focuses on the reality of cyberattacks rather than just prevention, thereby avoiding the reputational damage faced by other cybersecurity firms when their software fails, enhancing its competitive position in the market.
- Cash Flow Growth: The company generates positive free cash flow, which is growing rapidly on a per-share basis, with the stock currently valued at 44 times its free cash flow; while some may view this valuation as high, the rapid growth justifies investor optimism.
- Outlook: Rubrik anticipates approximately 40% year-over-year revenue growth for the upcoming fourth quarter, and management indicated on February 4 that preliminary Q4 results exceeded expectations, suggesting that the business remains on a solid growth trajectory, further solidifying its status as a compelling investment opportunity.
- Earnings Release Schedule: Rubrik will announce its fourth quarter and fiscal year 2026 financial results after market close on March 12, 2026, reflecting the company's ongoing growth and stability in the data security sector.
- Conference Call Timing: Management will host a conference call on the same day at 2:00 pm PT / 5:00 pm ET to discuss the financial results, aiming to enhance investor understanding and confidence in the company's performance.
- Webcast Availability: The conference call will be accessible via the company's investor relations website, allowing investors to access related materials and ensuring transparency and accessibility of information.
- Industry Leadership: Rubrik has been recognized as a Leader in the Gartner Magic Quadrant for Enterprise Backup and Recovery Software Solutions for two consecutive years, indicating its strong competitive position and customer trust in the data security market.
- Executive Appointment: Rubrik has promoted Jesse Green to Chief Revenue Officer, succeeding Brian McCarthy, who built a strong organizational culture and delivered consistent results, with Green now tasked to lead the global revenue organization to drive rapid growth.
- Financial Performance Exceeds Expectations: In the recently concluded fourth quarter, Rubrik's preliminary financial results surpassed all guidance metrics, with CEO Bipul Sinha noting exceptional growth under Green's leadership, showcasing strong market competitiveness.
- Market Leadership Position: Rubrik has been recognized as a leader in the IDC MarketScape: Worldwide Cyber-Recovery 2025 Vendor Assessment, highlighting its industry leadership in data protection and cyber resilience, further solidifying its market share.
- Strategic Expansion: The company continues to expand its platform through acquisitions like Predibase and Laminar, aiming to accelerate AI transformation and agent deployment, enhancing customer trust and strengthening its competitive position in the market.
- Market Trend Analysis: Earnings reports from Meta, Microsoft, and ServiceNow indicate that despite some positive performances, overall market confidence in software stocks continues to decline, leading to sell-offs in companies like Salesforce and Rubrik.
- Earnings Impact: While Meta and Microsoft's earnings had highlights, they failed to effectively boost market sentiment, exacerbating investor concerns about future growth in the software sector and impacting overall industry valuations.
- Investor Reaction: The ongoing sell-off in software stocks reflects investor worries about economic slowdown and intensified industry competition, resulting in greater downward pressure on related stocks in the short term.
- Industry Outlook: As confidence in software stocks wanes, investors may reassess their portfolios, shifting towards more defensive assets to navigate potential economic uncertainties.
- Outstanding Performance: Sandisk Corp. surged over 150% in January 2026, marking its best month since its IPO in February 2025, driven by quarterly earnings that exceeded Wall Street expectations and booming AI data center demand tightening storage supply.
- Rising Nuclear Demand: Cameco Corp. advanced 37%, supported by analyst upgrades to earnings forecasts and price targets, reflecting optimistic expectations for long-term nuclear demand amid rising uranium prices and renewed policy support.
- Defense Giant Breakthrough: Lockheed Martin Corp. jumped 30%, achieving its best monthly performance since its 1995 debut, as investors focused on upbeat 2026 financial guidance and a new missile contract with the U.S. Department of Defense despite narrowly missing quarterly earnings estimates.
- Software Sector Decline: The software sector faced historic declines in January, with five major companies logging their worst monthly performances, largely due to AI-driven demand reshaping and a reassessment of business models across the industry.










