Trump Signs Executive Order to Boost Phosphorus and Glyphosate Production
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 5 hours ago
0mins
Should l Buy MOS?
Source: CNBC
- National Security Focus: Trump signed an executive order invoking the Defense Production Act to promote domestic production of phosphorus and glyphosate, emphasizing their critical importance for U.S. economic and national security, thereby ensuring stability in agricultural and defense supply chains.
- Chemical Controversy: Glyphosate has been controversial due to its alleged links to cancer, and Trump's support aligns with the withdrawal of Health Secretary Kennedy from the election, highlighting the administration's focus on agricultural policy.
- Regulatory Implementation Requirement: The order mandates Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins to issue regulations to increase the supply of phosphorus and glyphosate, ensuring U.S. self-sufficiency in these critical chemicals and reducing reliance on foreign sources.
- Industry Response: Monsanto stated it will comply with the order, underscoring the urgent need for U.S. farmers to access domestically produced crop protection tools like glyphosate, reflecting the policy's direct impact on the agricultural sector.
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Analyst Views on MOS
Wall Street analysts forecast MOS stock price to rise
13 Analyst Rating
6 Buy
7 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 29.080
Low
24.00
Averages
32.38
High
43.00
Current: 29.080
Low
24.00
Averages
32.38
High
43.00
About MOS
The Mosaic Company is a producer and marketer of concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients. The Company’s segments include Phosphates, Potash and Mosaic Fertilizantes. The Phosphates segment sells phosphate-based crop nutrients and animal feed ingredients throughout North America and internationally. The Potash business segment owns and operates potash mines and production facilities in Canada and the United States, which produces potash-based crop nutrients, animal feed ingredients and industrial products, and is sold both in domestic and international. The Mosaic Fertilizantes Segment produces and sells phosphate- and potash-based crop nutrients, and animal feed ingredients, in Brazil. In addition to phosphate rock mines and chemical plants, this segment consists of sales offices, crop nutrient blending and bagging facilities, port terminals and warehouses in Brazil and Paraguay. This segment also serves as a distribution outlet for its Phosphates and Potash segments.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- National Security Focus: Trump signed an executive order invoking the Defense Production Act to promote domestic production of phosphorus and glyphosate, emphasizing their critical importance for U.S. economic and national security, thereby ensuring stability in agricultural and defense supply chains.
- Chemical Controversy: Glyphosate has been controversial due to its alleged links to cancer, and Trump's support aligns with the withdrawal of Health Secretary Kennedy from the election, highlighting the administration's focus on agricultural policy.
- Regulatory Implementation Requirement: The order mandates Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins to issue regulations to increase the supply of phosphorus and glyphosate, ensuring U.S. self-sufficiency in these critical chemicals and reducing reliance on foreign sources.
- Industry Response: Monsanto stated it will comply with the order, underscoring the urgent need for U.S. farmers to access domestically produced crop protection tools like glyphosate, reflecting the policy's direct impact on the agricultural sector.
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- Share Increase: On February 17, 2026, Gate City Capital Management increased its Mosaic holdings by 331,415 shares, representing an estimated trade value of $8.93 million, indicating confidence in Mosaic's future growth prospects.
- Asset Allocation Shift: This purchase raises Mosaic's share to 5.65% of Gate City's 13F assets, highlighting its significance in the agricultural nutrition market and the strategic positioning of investors.
- Financial Performance: Mosaic reported $3.5 billion in sales and $411 million in net income in Q3 2025, demonstrating strong cash flow and profitability even in a tightening nutrient market.
- Market Outlook: Mosaic anticipates potash production to reach 9.1 to 9.4 million tonnes in 2025, with improved production reliability and exposure to structurally tight phosphate exports from China, suggesting substantial future growth potential.
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- Phosphate Margin Recovery: Scotiabank analysts indicate that Mosaic's phosphate stripping margins have bottomed after a challenging 2025, with expectations for margin expansion as demand normalizes, particularly in Brazil and India, positioning Mosaic as one of the strongest fertilizer stories for 2026.
- Nitrogen Market Outlook: While nitrogen prices remain firm due to seasonality and geopolitical risks in the Middle East, Scotiabank anticipates that rising global supply and the potential for renewed Chinese exports will pressure prices and margins in the second half of the year, urging caution among investors.
- Potash Market Tightness: The potash market appears tight in the near term, supported by low inventories in Brazil and ongoing restocking in Southeast Asia; however, Scotiabank warns that new production capacity and slowing demand growth could lead to oversupply by late 2026, limiting upside for prices and equities.
- Cautious Industry Stance: Despite the fertilizer rally improving the earnings outlook for 2026, Scotiabank maintains a cautious stance on other fertilizer makers, downgrading CF Industries closer to a Sell rating due to expected nitrogen margin pressures, while Nutrien and Yara are deemed fairly valued with long-term supply risks.
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- February Seasonality: Booking Holdings has historically achieved an average gain of 8.72% in February over the past 20 years, making it the company's best-performing month with a 76% win rate, indicating strong investor appeal.
- Historical Peak Performance: In February 2009, Booking's stock surged by 26.49%, while it faced an 11.6% decline in 2022, reflecting the impact of market volatility on its performance.
- Competitor Performance: Nvidia also shows strength in February with an average gain of 6.57% and a 76% win rate, achieving a remarkable 28.58% increase in February 2024, driven by sustained demand for AI infrastructure.
- Defensive Stock Performance: Aon plc averages a 5.32% gain in February, marking it as its best month, with a 76% win rate, demonstrating stability amid market uncertainties.
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- Analyst Rating Updates: Top Wall Street analysts have adjusted their ratings on several companies, including upgrades, downgrades, and initiations, reflecting varying market perspectives on these stocks.
- Market Reaction Insight: While specific stocks are not mentioned, changes in analyst ratings typically influence investor confidence, thereby impacting the market performance of the related stocks.
- Investor Decision Guidance: For investors considering purchasing MCD stock, analysts' opinions serve as a crucial reference point, aiding them in making more informed investment decisions.
- Rating Change Transparency: Comprehensive information on analyst rating changes can be found on Benzinga's analyst ratings page, ensuring investors have access to the latest market dynamics and professional insights.
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Focus on Soft Commodities: The article emphasizes the importance of paying attention to soft commodities, which are often overshadowed by the rally in hard commodities like gold and silver.
Market Dynamics: It suggests that the current market dynamics warrant a closer look at soft commodities, as they may present significant investment opportunities.
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