The Impact of Software Concerns on BDC Stocks: Reasons Some May Be Good Investment Opportunities
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Feb 06 2026
0mins
Source: Barron's
- Private Credit Sector: The private credit sector is facing challenges, likened to "cockroaches" emerging from the software industry.
- Opportunities in Business Development Companies: This situation may present investment opportunities in business development companies that hold the debt of affected firms.
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Analyst Views on NOW
Wall Street analysts forecast NOW stock price to rise
32 Analyst Rating
30 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 106.320
Low
172.00
Averages
222.81
High
263.00
Current: 106.320
Low
172.00
Averages
222.81
High
263.00
About NOW
ServiceNow, Inc. provides an artificial intelligence (AI) platform for business transformation. The Company’s AI platform connects people, processes, data, and devices to increase productivity and maximize business outcomes. Its intelligent platform, the Now Platform, is a cloud-based solution that helps enterprises and organizations across public and private sectors digitize workflows. The workflow applications built on the Now Platform are organized into four primary areas: Technology, CRM and Industry, Core Business and Creator. Its products include IT Service Management, IT Operations Management, HR Service Delivery, ServiceNow AI Agents, AI Experience, Build Agent, ServiceNow AI Control Tower, AI Agent Fabric, RaptorDB, Workflow Data Fabric, Workplace Service Delivery, ServiceNow Platform Encryption, Telecommunications Service Operations Management, and others. The Company also offers identity security, helping organizations secure access across the enterprise.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Significant Revenue Growth: ServiceNow reported $3.7 billion in subscription revenue for Q1 2026, marking a 22% year-over-year increase, demonstrating strong performance in the market despite AI threats, maintaining a solid growth trajectory.
- Market Volatility Impact: Although ServiceNow's stock fell 20% in June, it rebounded 41% in May, reflecting the contradiction between market concerns over AI impacts and the company's fundamentals, indicating investor uncertainty about the future.
- Robust Customer Base: The Control Tower product is embedded within the operations of 8,500 clients, creating a strong economic moat; despite rapid advancements in AI technology, the company safeguards its business through preemptive AI measures, ensuring client safety and unified management.
- Increasing Valuation Pressure: With a P/E ratio of 63 and a price-to-sales ratio of 8, ServiceNow's stock appears overvalued; while the company has a bright future, this high valuation could lead to further stock price declines, prompting investors to proceed with caution.
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- Investment Opportunity: The analyst team has identified 10 stocks that are believed to potentially yield significant returns in the coming years, making them attractive for investors looking to invest $1,000 in the current market environment.
- Historical Performance: For instance, if investors had put $1,000 into Netflix when it was recommended on December 17, 2004, it would now be worth $418,761, while Nvidia's recommendation on April 15, 2005, would have turned that same investment into $1,195,804, showcasing the potential of these picks.
- Market Comparison: Stock Advisor boasts an average total return of 918%, which significantly outperforms the S&P 500's 208%, indicating the investment value and superior market performance of its recommended stocks.
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- Valuation Appeal: As of the afternoon of July 4, 2026, certain stocks are trading at attractive valuations, indicating they may be undervalued, which could lead to future capital inflows from investors.
- Market Reaction Analysis: The video published on July 6, 2026, highlights that the current market environment presents opportunities for investors to enter at lower prices, particularly against the backdrop of economic recovery.
- Investor Strategy Adjustment: With increasing interest in these undervalued stocks, investors may adjust their portfolios to capitalize on potential rebounds, thereby influencing overall market dynamics.
- Long-Term Growth Potential: Analysts suggest that the appeal of these stocks lies not only in their current undervaluation but also in their future growth potential, which may attract the attention of long-term investors.
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- Performance Recovery: ServiceNow has recently reported strong results, with a 22% year-over-year revenue growth in Q1, indicating its potential for recovery in the SaaS industry amid ongoing challenges.
- AI-Driven Workflow Management: The company aims to become the AI Control Tower by investing in embedding AI into all products and features, which is expected to enhance its competitive edge in managing increasingly complex AI-driven workflows.
- Growing Customer Demand: The number of customers spending over $1 million annually on ServiceNow's Now Assist (AI service) surged by 130% year-over-year, reflecting strong market demand for its AI solutions and further solidifying its revenue base.
- Future Risk Consideration: While AI may create more workflows, ServiceNow must remain vigilant about whether AI will reduce the need for traditional workflows, as this could directly impact its long-term market opportunities and the sustainability of its business model.
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- AI Potential and Risks: Many investors view AI as a major growth opportunity for ServiceNow, but future AI systems may automate more business processes independently, potentially reducing the need for traditional workflows, posing a risk to the company's business model.
- Strong Revenue Growth: ServiceNow's revenue grew 22% year-over-year in Q1 2026, particularly with its Now Assist (AI service) customers spending over $1 million in annual contracts increasing by 130%, indicating strong market acceptance of its AI product portfolio.
- Governance and Control Needs: While AI may handle more work, ServiceNow's management believes that governance, security controls, and compliance checks will still be necessary, presenting an opportunity for the company to become the AI Control Tower, assisting customers in managing complex AI-driven workflows.
- Market Outlook Uncertainty: If AI gradually reduces the number of workflows within organizations, ServiceNow's addressable market may shrink, making this risk a key factor for investors to closely monitor in the coming years.
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- Stock Volatility: ServiceNow's stock fell 20% in June following a 41% rebound in May, reflecting market concerns about the impact of artificial intelligence on its business and subsequent valuation uncertainties.
- SaaS Market Challenges: The software-as-a-service sector is under pressure as the market realizes that agentic AI can perform many tasks at a lower cost, potentially rendering traditional SaaS products obsolete.
- Strong Performance: Despite AI threats, ServiceNow reported $3.7 billion in subscription revenue for Q1 2026, a 22% year-over-year increase, with remaining performance obligations reaching $27.7 billion, up 25%, indicating robust profitability.
- Market Positioning: With its platform embedded in 8,500 clients' operations, ServiceNow has established a strong economic moat; however, its high valuation (P/E ratio of 63 and price-to-sales ratio of 8) raises concerns, even as it continues to grow at double-digit rates and implement preemptive AI measures.
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