Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the provided data and recent market activity, here's a concise analysis of FSK stock:

Technical Analysis

• Current price at $23.71 with recent consolidation pattern
• Trading above key moving averages, indicating bullish momentum
• RSI at 65.78 suggests moderate bullish momentum without being overbought
• MACD showing positive trend with value at 0.45

Recent Developments

• Company completed a $100M notes issuance of 6.125% unsecured notes due 2030
• Total notes outstanding increased to $700M, enhancing financial flexibility
• Net proceeds of $98.3M will be used for general corporate purposes and potential debt repayment

Analyst Sentiment

• Recent analyst consensus shows a "Moderate Buy" rating
• Average price target of $21.33, with a high of $22.00 and low of $21.00
• Current price trading above analyst targets suggests potential overvaluation

Buy/Sell Decision Based on the technical strength, solid financial position, and recent capital raise, FSK shows positive momentum. However, with the stock trading above analyst price targets and showing signs of being slightly extended, now may not be the optimal entry point. Consider waiting for a pullback closer to the $22 level for a more favorable risk/reward entry.

Based on the provided data and recent market developments, here is the price prediction analysis for FSK stock in 2025:

Technical Analysis

The stock shows a strong upward trend since January 2025, with key technical indicators:

• Current price: $23.71 (as of Feb 21, 2025)
• RSI(14): 65.78 indicating bullish momentum but approaching overbought territory
• MACD: Positive at 0.45 with bullish crossover
• Strong support at $22.14 and resistance at $24.43 based on Bollinger Bands

Fundamental Drivers

Recent analyst coverage reveals:

• Average price target: $21.33
• High estimate: $22.00
• Low estimate: $21.00
• Current price is trading above analyst targets, suggesting potential overvaluation

Price Prediction for 2025

Based on technical and fundamental analysis, here are the projected scenarios:

1. Base Case ($24.50): The stock continues its upward momentum supported by:

• Strong RSI readings
• Positive MACD trend
• Current price above moving averages

2. Bullish Case ($26.00): Potential upside if:

• Market sentiment remains positive
• Company maintains strong financial performance
• Technical momentum continues

3. Bearish Case ($21.00): Downside risks include:

• Current price trading above analyst targets
• RSI approaching overbought levels
• Potential market correction

Most Likely Scenario: Base case of $24.50 by end of 2025, representing ~3.3% upside from current levels, driven by positive technical momentum while acknowledging fundamental valuation concerns.

The S1 support level for FSK Stock is $23.2 ,The R1 resistant level for FSK Stock is $23.98.

As of the end of day on 2025-02-25, the price of FSK Stock was $23.3.

The target price for FSK Stock according to analyst rating is 21.50, with the highest price target at 22.00 and the lowest at 21.00. Analysts have a Hold rating on FSK Stock overall.

The market cap of FSK is $6.6B.

Based on the provided data and context, I'll analyze whether FSK is overvalued in 5 direct sentences:

Technical Analysis

Valuation Assessment FSK currently trades at a P/B ratio of 0.81x and P/E ratio of 7.65x, which are both below industry averages, suggesting the stock is undervalued on traditional metrics. The company's net margin of 94.12% significantly exceeds industry benchmarks, demonstrating strong operational efficiency and financial health. Recent analyst consensus shows an average price target of $21.33 (with a range of $21.00 to $22.00), indicating the current price of $23.71 may be slightly above analysts' fair value estimates. The stock's technical indicators show it's trading near its 52-week high with a Bollinger Band position of 0.69, suggesting it's approaching overbought territory but not extremely overvalued. Given FSK's strong fundamentals, robust dividend yield of 13.2%, and trading below book value despite recent price appreciation, the stock appears reasonably valued rather than overvalued at current levels.

FS KKR Capital Corp. is an externally managed, non-diversified, closed-end management investment company, which regulates as a business development company (BDC). It is focused on providing customized credit solutions to private middle market United States companies. Its investment objectives are to generate current income and, to a lesser extent, long-term capital appreciation. Its portfolio is composed primarily of investments in senior secured loans and second lien secured loans of private middle market United States companies and, to a lesser extent, subordinated loans and certain asset-based financing loans of private United States companies. In addition, a portion of its portfolio may be comprised of corporate bonds, structured products, other debt securities and derivatives, including total return swaps and credit default swaps. It invests in sectors, such as financial services, commercial and professional services, among others. It is managed by FS/KKR Advisor, LLC.

Based on the provided data and market analysis, here's a projection for FSK stock price in 2030:

FSK stock is projected to reach $32-35 by 2030, representing a ~45-50% upside from current levels around $23.71. This forecast is supported by:

1. Strong fundamentals and business model stability as evidenced by the company's recent successful $100 million notes issuance, demonstrating continued access to capital markets and financial flexibility.

2. Consistent dividend policy and middle-market lending focus providing steady income streams, with the company maintaining a 94.12% net margin that supports long-term value creation.

3. Technical indicators showing positive momentum with RSI at 65.78 and MACD trending positive at 0.45, suggesting sustained upward price movement potential.

The projection assumes continued execution of FSK's core business development strategy focused on senior secured lending to middle-market companies, while factoring in normalized interest rate environment and credit cycle impacts through 2030.