Based on the provided data and recent analyst reports, here's a concise analysis of COF's valuation:
Current Valuation Metrics:
- P/E: 14.13 (Q3 2024)
- EV/EBITDA: 12.01 (Q3 2024)
- P/S: 1.55 (Q3 2024)
- P/B: 0.98 (Q3 2024)
Market Performance:
The stock is currently trading at $190.97, showing strong momentum with a +1.34% gain in the last regular trading session. COF has outperformed the broader market, gaining 29.5% over the past three months compared to Nasdaq's 16.9% gain during the same period.
Analyst Consensus:
Recent analyst actions indicate a positive shift in sentiment. UBS upgraded COF to Strong Buy with a price target of $235 (30.32% upside), citing increased likelihood of a successful Discover deal closure. Multiple other firms including Barclays, Wells Fargo, and Citigroup have also raised their price targets, with targets ranging from $210 to $235.
Valuation Assessment:
COF appears fairly valued to slightly undervalued considering:
- Trading below book value (P/B: 0.98)
- P/E ratio (14.13) is reasonable for the financial sector
- Strong analyst upgrades and positive momentum
- Potential catalyst from the Discover merger in Q2 2025
Based on the comprehensive analysis, COF does not appear overvalued at current levels. The stock's valuation metrics are reasonable, and multiple catalysts including the potential Discover merger could drive further upside.