Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the recent market data and analysis, here's a concise assessment of Disney (DIS) stock:

Technical Analysis

• Current price at $112.16 with recent resistance around $113.39 and support at $110.63
• RSI at 59.32 indicates neutral momentum, not yet overbought
• MACD at -0.37 suggests slight bearish momentum in the near term

Recent Developments

• Disney+ streaming service has achieved profitability, marking a significant turnaround in the direct-to-consumer business
• The company is refocusing on live sports content, with approximately $3 billion annual investment in broadcasting rights
• Nielsen's shift away from traditional TV ratings could impact Disney's traditional media business model

Analyst Sentiment Recent analyst actions show positive bias:

• Citigroup initiated coverage with "Strong Buy" rating and $125 price target (14.88% upside)
• Redburn Atlantic upgraded to "Strong Buy" with $147 target, citing streaming profit growth offsetting linear TV declines
• Multiple analysts have raised price targets, with consensus showing upside potential

Recommendation SELL at current levels. While Disney shows promising developments in streaming profitability and sports content strategy, several factors suggest caution:

1. Technical indicators show neutral to slightly bearish momentum
2. Current market price near resistance level
3. Ongoing challenges in traditional media business transition
4. Recent price increase may have already priced in positive developments

Based on the provided data and recent analyst reports, here's a comprehensive price prediction for Disney (DIS) stock in 2025:

Technical Analysis

Price Target Analysis

The stock is currently trading at $112.16 as of January 24, 2025. Recent analyst price targets suggest:

• Bullish Case ($147): Redburn Atlantic analyst Hamilton Faber upgraded DIS with a price target of $147, citing streaming profit growth offsetting linear TV declines.

• Base Case ($125-135): Multiple analysts including Citigroup and Deutsche Bank set targets in this range, supported by improving streaming profitability and parks performance.

• Conservative Case ($110-120): Some analysts maintain more modest targets, reflecting near-term challenges in the parks segment.

Key Growth Drivers

1. Streaming Profitability: Entertainment streaming operating income expected to more than triple in 2025, with Disney+ reaching profitability milestones.

2. Content Success: Strong performance in theatrical releases with top films like Inside Out 2, Deadpool & Wolverine, and Moana 2 driving revenue.

3. Parks Recovery: Expected improvement throughout 2025 as consumer spending strengthens.

2025 Price Prediction

Based on analyst consensus and technical analysis:

• Most Likely Target: $125-130 (12-16% upside)

• Probability: 60%

• Key Catalyst: Streaming profitability and parks recovery

• Bull Case: $140-147 (25-31% upside)

• Probability: 25%

• Key Catalyst: Faster-than-expected streaming growth and strong content performance

• Bear Case: $95-105 (-15% to -6% downside)

• Probability: 15%

• Risk Factors: Economic slowdown affecting parks attendance

The S1 support level for DIS Stock is $106.66 ,The R1 resistant level for DIS Stock is $112.19.

As of the end of day on 2025-01-24, the price of DIS Stock was $112.03.

The target price for DIS Stock according to analyst rating is 126.84, with the highest price target at 147.00 and the lowest at 108.00. Analysts have a Moderate Buy rating on DIS Stock overall.

The market cap of DIS is $202.8B.

Based on the provided data and recent analyst reports, here's a concise analysis of Disney's valuation:

Current Valuation Metrics Disney is currently trading at $112.03 with the following key metrics:

• Forward P/E: 35.36x
• EV/EBITDA: 12.91x
• P/S: 1.92x
• P/B: 1.77x
• Dividend Yield: 0.78%

Recent Analyst Actions Multiple analysts have recently upgraded their price targets:

• Citigroup initiated coverage with a "Strong Buy" rating and $125 target (14.88% upside)
• Redburn Atlantic upgraded from Hold to Strong Buy with $147 target (31.97% upside)
• Deutsche Bank raised target to $131 (13.84% upside)
• B of A Securities increased target to $140 (21.67% upside)

Key Valuation Drivers

1. Streaming Profitability: DTC segment achieved profitability with $253 million operating income in Q4 2024, marking a significant turnaround.

2. Parks Performance: Despite some recent softness, parks segment shows healthy core growth around 9% excluding one-time impacts.

3. Content Renaissance: Studio performance is improving with global box office per franchise film increasing over 50% in past two years.

Conclusion At current levels, Disney appears modestly overvalued in the short term based on traditional metrics, but has potential for medium-term appreciation given:

• Strong analyst consensus with multiple recent upgrades
• Improving fundamentals in key business segments
• Clear catalysts including streaming profitability and parks recovery

The stock could reach $130-140 range over next 12-18 months based on analyst targets and improving business metrics.

The Walt Disney Company is a diversified worldwide entertainment company. The Company's segments include Entertainment, Sports and Experiences. The Entertainment segment generally encompasses the Company’s non-sports focused global film, television and direct-to-consumer (DTC) video streaming content production and distribution activities. Its line of business includes Linear Networks, Direct-to-Consumer, and Content Sales/Licensing. The Sports segment generally encompasses the Company’s sports-focused global television and DTC video streaming content production and distribution activities. Its line of business includes ESPN and Star. Experiences segment includes Parks and Experiences and Consumer Products. Parks and Experiences consists of Walt Disney World Resort in Florida, Disneyland Resort in California, Disney Cruise Line, Disney Vacation Club, and Disneyland Paris, among others. Consumer Products includes licensing of its trade names, characters, visual, literary and other IPs.

Based on the provided data and market analysis, here's the price prediction for Disney (DIS) stock by 2030:

Disney stock is projected to reach $185-195 by 2030, driven by three key factors: successful streaming profitability transition, parks business strength, and strategic content monetization. The company's streaming division has achieved profitability ahead of schedule and expects entertainment streaming operating income to more than triple in 2025. Disney's unmatched content library and park experiences create a powerful flywheel effect that should drive sustained growth through 2030.

The stock currently trades at $112, suggesting approximately 70% upside potential over the next 5 years based on improving fundamentals and execution of strategic initiatives across streaming, parks and content.

DIS has a total of 225000 employees.