Stock Futures Rise as Energy Prices Retreat
Stock futures are moving higher this morning. Markets are shifting toward a more conditional relief trade, but energy prices are still dictating direction. The move is tied directly to a sharp pullback in crude oil, which dropped more than 4%-5% overnight on renewed hopes for a potential ceasefire framework between the U.S. and Iran. After several sessions where rising energy prices pressured equities and pushed yields higher, the reversal is easing inflation expectations at the margin. As a result, markets are beginning to reprice the path of interest rates slightly lower, which is providing near-term support for equities and risk assets.However, the improvement in sentiment is based on tentative headlines, not confirmed changes in supply dynamics or a finalized agreement. Iran has pushed back on reports of negotiations, and oil has already shown a tendency to rebound quickly when optimism fades. Rising Treasury yields and ongoing geopolitical uncertainty continue to cap upside, particularly for rate-sensitive sectors like technology.In pre-market trading, S&P 500 futures rose 0.67%, Nasdaq futures rose 0.83% and Dow futures rose 0.68%.Check out this morning's top movers from around Wall Street, compiled by The Fly.HIGHER -Armup 10% after reporting the company expects its own chips business to generate about $15B in annual sales in five years.Terns Pharmaceuticalsup 5% after entering into a definitive agreement under which Merck, through a subsidiary, will acquire Terns for $53.00 per share in cashSturm Rugerup 3% after Beretta Holding announced plans to launch a tender offer for up to 20.05% of Sturm Ruger shares at $44.80 per shareHIGHER AFTER REPORT OF ACCELERATED SPACEX IPO TIMELINE -EchoStarup 5%Rocket Labup 3%FireFly Aerospaceup 3%AST SpaceMobileup 2%Planet Labsup 2%UP AFTER EARNINGS -Brazeup 27%Chewyup 10%DOWN AFTER EARNINGS -KB Homedown 3%PDD Holdingsdown 2%Winnebagoup 1%LOWER -Anavexdown 32% after withdrawing its application for the marketing authorization of blarcamesine in the EU as an add-on therapy for the treatment of early Alzheimer's disease in adults, which had been under review by the European Medicines AgencyOn Holdingdown 4% after reporting Martin Hoffmann will step down as CEO
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Analyst Views on ARM
About ARM
About the author

- Market Rally: The S&P 500 rose 1.20% and the Nasdaq 100 increased by 1.29%, reaching all-time highs, reflecting investor optimism regarding US-Iran peace talks, which may enhance risk appetite in the markets.
- Oil Price Plunge: WTI crude prices fell over 11% to a five-week low after Iran announced the Strait of Hormuz is fully open, easing inflation concerns and causing the 10-year T-note yield to drop 7 basis points to 4.24%.
- Strong Earnings Season: The earnings season started robustly, with 81% of the 48 S&P 500 companies reporting Q1 earnings exceeding estimates, projecting a 12% year-over-year increase in earnings, providing strong support for the stock market.
- Airline Stocks Surge: Airline stocks surged as fuel costs decreased, with Alaska Air Group (ALK) rising over 10% and Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd (RCL) up more than 7%, indicating market confidence in the recovery of the airline industry.
- Strong Market Performance: The S&P 500 reached a new record high on Friday after Iran announced the Strait of Hormuz was 'completely open,' indicating a significant improvement in market sentiment, while oil prices fell over 10%, with WTI crude dropping to the low $80s, reflecting investor optimism about future economic recovery.
- Interest Rate Expectations Shift: The market is beginning to price in a 25-basis-point cut in December, indicating a reduction in investor concerns about economic slowdown, and the anticipated decline in rates is expected to further stimulate consumption and investment, driving stock market gains.
- Arm Holdings Strategic Shift: Arm recently unveiled its first in-house data center CPU, the AGI CPU, marking a significant transition from solely licensing to designing and selling its own chips, with projections of generating $25 billion in revenue by FY2031, $15 billion of which will come from these in-house chips, showcasing its ambitions in the semiconductor market.
- FedEx Spin-Off Plan: FedEx plans to spin off FedEx Freight on June 1, aiming to enhance the value of both companies through sharper strategic focus, with FedEx Freight being the largest LTL carrier in North America, and a medium-term revenue growth outlook of 4% to 6% expected to further strengthen its market competitiveness.
- New Additions: Jim Cramer added ARM Holdings and FedEx to the Bullpen, with ARM's recent in-house chip launch making it a bullish prospect at $161 per share, while FedEx, up about 30% this year, remains 'dramatically undervalued'.
- FedEx Restructuring: FedEx is spinning off its less-than-truckload unit, FedEx Freight, expected to complete by June 1, a move that typically creates more shareholder value, with Jim praising CEO Raj Subramaniam for navigating a competitive landscape effectively.
- Removed Stocks: Jim removed Airbnb and Marvell Technology from the watchlist, citing Airbnb's episodic performance as a concern, while Marvell's 57% rally in 2026 indicated a missed buying opportunity.
- Market Monitoring: Jim continues to monitor Sempra and RTX Corporation, with Sempra up over 8% year-to-date, while RTX could benefit from increased defense production, with Jim planning to decide post RTX's first-quarter results on April 21.
- Company Announcement: ARM Holdings PLC has raised its price objective to $180 from a previous target of $155.
- Market Impact: This adjustment reflects a positive outlook on the company's performance and potential growth in the market.
- Market Recovery: On Thursday, the S&P 500 rose by 0.26% and the Nasdaq 100 by 0.49%, reaching new highs, indicating a strong rebound after early losses and reflecting investor confidence in economic recovery.
- Chip Sector Boost: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co raised its 2026 revenue forecast, highlighting strong AI demand, which propelled chipmakers' stock prices, particularly benefiting major suppliers to Nvidia and Apple, further enhancing market optimism.
- Oil Price Impact: Despite the stock market gains, crude oil prices surged over 3%, raising concerns about the Middle East situation and limiting the market's upward momentum, illustrating the potential impact of energy prices on the overall economy.
- Mixed Economic Data: Initial jobless claims fell to 207,000, exceeding expectations and indicating labor market strength, but unexpected declines in manufacturing production reflect economic uncertainty, which could influence future monetary policy.
- Chipmaker Rebound: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co raised its 2026 revenue forecast, reflecting strong AI demand, which led to a rebound in chipmakers, with ON Semiconductor up over 10% and AMD up over 5%, indicating renewed market confidence in tech stocks.
- Mixed Economic Data: Initial jobless claims fell to 207,000, below the expected 213,000, suggesting a strong labor market; however, manufacturing production unexpectedly declined by 0.1%, highlighting the unevenness of economic recovery, which could influence future policy decisions.
- Oil Price Surge Impact: WTI crude oil prices rose over 2% due to escalating tensions between Iran and the US, potentially exacerbating global oil and fuel shortages, which negatively affects airline and cruise line profitability, leading to declines in related stocks.
- Earnings Season Begins: Q1 earnings for the S&P 500 are projected to rise by 12% year-over-year, but excluding the tech sector, growth is only expected at 3%, raising concerns about the profitability of non-tech stocks and potentially impacting investor confidence.











