Significant ETF Withdrawals Observed - CGDV, SBUX, CARR, IP
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Oct 21 2025
0mins
Should l Buy SBUX?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
52-Week Range of CGDV: CGDV's share price has a 52-week low of $30.94 and a high of $42.66, with the last trade recorded at $42.22.
Understanding ETFs: Exchange traded funds (ETFs) function like stocks, where investors buy and sell "units" that can be created or destroyed based on demand.
Monitoring ETF Flows: Weekly monitoring of shares outstanding helps identify ETFs with significant inflows (new units created) or outflows (units destroyed), impacting the underlying holdings.
Disclaimer: The views expressed in the article are those of the author and do not necessarily represent Nasdaq, Inc.
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Analyst Views on SBUX
Wall Street analysts forecast SBUX stock price to fall
21 Analyst Rating
12 Buy
7 Hold
2 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 99.120
Low
59.00
Averages
96.12
High
115.00
Current: 99.120
Low
59.00
Averages
96.12
High
115.00
About SBUX
Starbucks Corporations is a roaster, marketer, and retailer of specialty coffee globally. Its North America segment includes the United States and Canada. Its International segment includes China, Japan, Asia Pacific, Europe, Middle East and Africa, Latin America, and the Caribbean. Its North America and International segments include both Company-operated and licensed stores. The Channel Development segment includes roasted whole bean and ground coffees, Starbucks-branded single-serve products, a variety of ready-to-drink beverages, such as Frappuccino and Starbucks Doubleshot, foodservice products, and other branded products sold outside the Company-operated and licensed stores. A large portion of its Channel Development business operates under a licensed model of the Global Coffee Alliance with Nestle, while its global ready-to-drink businesses operate under collaborative relationships with PepsiCo, Inc., Tingyi-Ashi Beverages Holding Co., Ltd., Arla Foods amba, Nestle, and others.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Ongoing Store Expansion: The company opened 55 new locations in the quarter, bringing the total to 1,136, with management targeting nearly doubling the store count to 2,029 by 2029, indicating strong confidence in future growth.
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- Profitability Surge: Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) soared 143% to $0.17, reflecting the company's success in cost control and sales growth, further solidifying its market position.
- Ongoing Store Expansion: The company opened 55 new locations in the quarter, bringing the total to 1,136, with management targeting nearly doubling the store count to 2,029 by 2029, indicating strong confidence in future growth.
- Optimistic Outlook: Dutch Bros is guiding for approximately $2 billion in revenue for 2026, representing 23% growth in line with analyst consensus, while forecasting same-store sales growth of 3% to 5%, showcasing its sustained competitive edge.
See More
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- S&P 500 Forecast: Wall Street analysts predict an 18% increase in the S&P 500 to 8,200 over the next year, reflecting optimistic market sentiment about economic recovery, which may attract more investors into the market.
- Sector Performance: The information technology and consumer discretionary sectors are expected to grow by 33% and 22%, respectively, indicating that these industries will be focal points for investors, particularly through exposure via Vanguard ETFs.
- Vanguard Tech ETF Performance: The Vanguard Information Technology ETF achieved a total return of 776% over the past decade, equivalent to an annual growth of 24%, showcasing its strong performance in the tech sector, despite underperforming during market corrections.
- Concentration Risk Management: The top three stocks in the Vanguard Information Technology and Consumer Discretionary ETFs account for 44% and 43% of their performance, respectively, prompting investors to consider diversifying their portfolios to mitigate concentration risk and enhance resilience.
See More
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- Sector Outlook: Wall Street analysts forecast that the information technology and consumer discretionary sectors will outperform the S&P 500 over the next year, with expected gains of 33% and 22% respectively, indicating growing investor confidence in these areas.
- ETF Investment Opportunities: Investors can gain exposure to these sectors through the Vanguard Information Technology ETF and Vanguard Consumer Discretionary ETF, which heavily feature stocks like Nvidia, Apple, and Microsoft, as well as Amazon, Tesla, and Home Depot, reflecting a strong focus on tech and consumer goods.
- Long-Term Return Potential: The Vanguard Information Technology ETF achieved a total return of 776% over the past decade, averaging 24% annually, while the Consumer Discretionary ETF delivered a total return of 311%, averaging 15% annually, highlighting the attractiveness of these sectors for long-term investment.
- Risk and Diversification Strategy: Despite underperformance during market corrections, investors should consider diversifying their portfolios by purchasing index funds tracking financials, industrials, or utilities to mitigate risks associated with economic fluctuations.
See More
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- Significant Revenue Growth: Adyen reported net revenue of €1.27 billion ($1.51 billion) for H2 2025, marking a 21% increase year-over-year, which stands out in the competitive European market and solidifies its leadership in payment processing.
- Strong Full-Year Performance: The company achieved full-year revenue of €2.36 billion in 2025, also up 21%, with core profit margin rising from 50% to 53%, reflecting successful strategies in customer wallet share and disciplined cost management.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: Adyen forecasts revenue growth of 20-22% for 2026 and expects EBITDA margin to exceed 55% by 2028, indicating strong confidence in its growth potential moving forward.
- Increased Transaction Volume: In H2 2025, Adyen processed €173 billion in transactions through point-of-sale terminals, a 26% increase from the previous year, driven by expanded partnerships with key clients like Starbucks and Uber, enhancing its market position in unified commerce.
See More
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- Dividend Growth Review: Since issuing its first dividend of $0.05 per share in 2010, Starbucks has seen a staggering 1,140% growth in dividends, but this growth is expected to halt in 2023, impacting investor income expectations.
- Payout Ratio Warning: Starbucks' payout ratio has soared above 200%, indicating that the company is spending more than twice its net income on dividends, which raises concerns about its financial stability.
- Cash Flow Decline: The company's cash flow from operations has plummeted from $5.6 billion last year to $4.3 billion, highlighting increased pressure on sustaining dividends, compounded by the lack of share repurchases that dilute shareholder value.
- Investor Risk Advisory: Given the slowdown in dividend growth and deteriorating financial metrics, Starbucks' stock may face short-term pressure, suggesting that income-focused investors should consider avoiding this stock.
See More
Starbucks Dividend Growth Slows Significantly
- Dividend Growth Trend: Starbucks' dividend grew at an average annual rate of 24.5% over the past decade, but has slowed dramatically since 2021, with only a 1.6% increase in 2022, indicating troubling fundamentals that may lead to a halt in future dividend growth.
- Payout Ratio Warning: The company's payout ratio has exceeded 200%, meaning it spends more than twice its net income on dividends, which is a significant warning sign regarding the sustainability of its dividend payments.
- Declining Cash Flow: Starbucks' cash flow from operations has dropped from approximately $5.6 billion a year ago to just under $4.3 billion today, highlighting a reduction in available cash after dividend payments, raising further concerns about dividend sustainability.
- Suspended Buyback Program: Starbucks has not repurchased shares since 2024, and the expansion of its employee stock investment plan is diluting shares, which could negatively impact stock prices in the short term, prompting investors to carefully consider the stock's investment potential.
See More
