Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the recent price action and technical indicators, WING stock appears to be in a short-term downtrend while maintaining a longer-term upward bias. Here's a concise technical and fundamental analysis:

Technical Analysis:

• Stock is currently trading at $304.69, down 2.32% from previous close
• RSI-14 at 53.75 indicates neutral momentum
• MACD shows positive divergence with bullish signal (MACD: 3.68, Signal: 2.36)
• Trading above 20-day SMA ($297.97) but below 200-day SMA ($359.81)
• Bollinger Band Position (BBP) at 0.60 suggests moderate upward momentum

Fundamental Factors:

• Wedbush recently added WING to their Best Ideas List, citing:
  • Strong same-store sales growth potential
  • Digital mix at 69% showing strong online presence
  • Successful chicken sandwich launch driving new customer acquisition
  • Marketing spend increasing by 20%+

Analyst Sentiment:

• TD Cowen maintains Buy rating with $365 price target
• Raymond James maintains Buy rating with $330 price target
• Current average brokerage recommendation is 1.86 (between Strong Buy and Buy)

Risk Factors:

• Insiders sold $6.2M worth of shares recently
• Trading at premium valuation compared to industry peers
• Short-term technical indicators showing some weakness

Recommendation: SELL Given the recent insider selling activity, premium valuation, and short-term technical weakness, it would be prudent to wait for a better entry point. While long-term growth prospects remain strong, current price levels suggest limited upside potential in the near term.

Based on the provided data and recent market analysis, here is the price prediction for WING stock in 2025:

Technical Analysis & Price Targets The stock is currently trading at $304.60 [Relevant Data], showing a bearish trend in the near term with recent price decline. Key technical indicators suggest:

• Support levels around $294.15 (Fibonacci S1)
• Resistance at $313.87 (Fibonacci R1)
• RSI at 53.75 indicates neutral momentum
• MACD showing positive divergence with value at 3.68

Analyst Projections & Fundamental Drivers

• Stephens maintains an Overweight rating with a bullish $468 price target
• TD Cowen analyst maintains Buy rating with $365 target price
• Raymond James lowered target to $330 but maintains Buy rating

2025 Price Prediction: Based on technical analysis, analyst forecasts, and fundamental factors:

Base Case ($350): Most likely scenario (60% probability)

• Driven by continued store network expansion
• Strong return on invested capital
• Expected 6% same-store sales growth

Bull Case ($420): Optimistic scenario (25% probability)

• Accelerated sales growth in H2 2025
• Successful expansion of consumer base
• Increased advertising effectiveness

Bear Case ($280): Downside scenario (15% probability)

• Short-term declines in same-store sales
• Margin pressure from operational costs
• Market volatility impact

The stock is expected to reach $350 by end of 2025, representing about 15% upside from current levels, supported by strong fundamentals and growth trajectory despite near-term challenges.

The S1 support level for WING Stock is $299.11 ,The R1 resistant level for WING Stock is $313.61.

As of the end of day on 2025-02-18, the price of WING Stock was $305.5.

The target price for WING Stock according to analyst rating is 375.91, with the highest price target at 468.00 and the lowest at 280.00. Analysts have a Strong Buy rating on WING Stock overall.

The market cap of WING is $8.9B.

Based on the provided data and recent market analysis, WING appears to be significantly overvalued for the following reasons:

Valuation Metrics The stock currently trades at approximately 125x forward earnings and 22x sales, which are extremely high multiples even for a growth company. These multiples far exceed industry averages and historical norms.

Technical Analysis The stock is showing signs of technical weakness, having declined from its recent highs. The RSI reading of 53.75 indicates neutral momentum, while the stock is trading between its 20-day and 200-day moving averages, suggesting potential consolidation.

Growth vs. Valuation While Wingstop has demonstrated impressive growth with:

• 20 consecutive years of same-store sales growth
• Revenue growth from $357.5M (2022) to $460.1M (2023)
• Net income increase from $52.9M (2022) to $70.2M (2023)

However, even this strong growth doesn't justify the current valuation. A hypothetical scenario of tripling the store count to 7,000 locations would still result in a P/E ratio of 39x, which remains expensive.

Competitive Challenges The company faces increasing competition from:

• Raising Cane's
• Dave's Hot Chicken
• Buffalo Wild Wings Go
• Popeyes (recently added wings to menu)
• Various other chicken wing concepts

Conclusion WING is overvalued at current levels due to:

1. Unsustainable valuation multiples
2. Growing competitive pressures
3. Limited upside potential even with aggressive growth assumptions
4. Technical indicators suggesting potential consolidation

Wingstop Inc. is a fast casual chicken wings-focused restaurant chain, with over 2,200 locations worldwide. The Company is in the business of franchising and operating Wingstop restaurants. The Company is primarily a franchisor, with approximately 98% of its restaurants owned and operated by independent franchisees. It offers classic wings, boneless wings, tenders, and chicken sandwiches, cooked to order and hand sauced-and-tossed in fans' choice of 11 bold, distinctive flavors. The Company also complements its wings, tenders, and chicken sandwiches with seasoned fries, hand-cut carrots, ranch, bleu cheese dips and celery. The Company offers various order options, including dine-in, carryout, delivery, individual, combo meals and family packs. The Company operates approximately a total of 2,165 restaurants in 45 states and 11 countries and United States territories.

Based on the provided data and market research, here's a comprehensive analysis for WING's price prediction in 2030:

WING stock is projected to reach $450-475 by 2030, driven by its robust expansion plans targeting 6,000 locations in the US market. The company's consistent 21-quarter streak of comparable sales growth and strong unit growth rate of 17.1% support this bullish outlook.

The aggressive international expansion with 29% year-over-year growth in the international segment combined with digital transformation (69% digital mix) positions WING for sustained long-term growth.

The prediction is supported by three key factors:

1. Strong unit economics and franchisee returns driving 95% of new openings from existing franchisees
2. Digital innovation and menu expansion potential, particularly in the Tenders segment
3. Continued market share gains from traditional fast-food chains, as evidenced by outperforming competitors in recent quarters

WING has a total of 1225 employees.