Middle East Conflict Threatens Global Economy
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 day ago
0mins
Source: CNBC
- Escalating Middle East Tensions: The war initiated by the U.S. and Israel against Iran has spread throughout the Middle East, threatening global economic stability, particularly impacting Lebanon and Gulf energy exporters.
- Strait of Hormuz Closure: Despite a fragile two-week ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran, traffic through the Strait of Hormuz remains largely restricted, affecting global energy supply and contributing to rising oil prices.
- Oil Price Fluctuations: As of 8:41 p.m. ET, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) rose by 0.69% to $98.55 per barrel, while Brent crude increased by 0.91% to $95.92 per barrel, reflecting market sensitivity to the Middle East situation.
- Japan's Oil Reserve Release Plan: Japan plans to release 20 days' worth of oil reserves starting in May, with current reserves sufficient for 230 days, aiming to alleviate energy supply pressures caused by the Middle East conflict.
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Analyst Views on HAL
Wall Street analysts forecast HAL stock price to fall
18 Analyst Rating
12 Buy
6 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 37.690
Low
28.00
Averages
32.31
High
39.00
Current: 37.690
Low
28.00
Averages
32.31
High
39.00
About HAL
Halliburton Company is a provider of products and services to the energy industry. It operates through two segments: Completion and Production and the Drilling and Evaluation. The Completion and Production segment delivers cementing, stimulation, specialty chemicals, intervention, pressure control, artificial lift, and completion products and services. The segment consists of artificial lift, cementing, completion tools, pipeline and process services, production enhancement, and production solutions. The Drilling and Evaluation segment provides field and reservoir modeling, drilling fluids, evaluation and precise wellbore placement solutions that enable customers to model, measure, drill, and optimize their well construction activities. Its product service lines include Baroid, drill bits and services, Halliburton project management, landmark software and services, Sperry drilling, testing and subsea and wireline and perforating. It also provides advanced drilling automation solutions.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Middle East Conflict Threatens Global Economy
- Escalating Middle East Tensions: The war initiated by the U.S. and Israel against Iran has spread throughout the Middle East, threatening global economic stability, particularly impacting Lebanon and Gulf energy exporters.
- Strait of Hormuz Closure: Despite a fragile two-week ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran, traffic through the Strait of Hormuz remains largely restricted, affecting global energy supply and contributing to rising oil prices.
- Oil Price Fluctuations: As of 8:41 p.m. ET, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) rose by 0.69% to $98.55 per barrel, while Brent crude increased by 0.91% to $95.92 per barrel, reflecting market sensitivity to the Middle East situation.
- Japan's Oil Reserve Release Plan: Japan plans to release 20 days' worth of oil reserves starting in May, with current reserves sufficient for 230 days, aiming to alleviate energy supply pressures caused by the Middle East conflict.
See More
Global Stock Markets Surge on Iran Ceasefire Agreement
- Market Sentiment Rebound: Global stock markets surged on Wednesday as the US and Iran agreed to a two-week ceasefire, with the S&P 500 rising 2.51%, the Dow Jones up 2.85%, and the Nasdaq 100 increasing by 2.90%, reflecting a positive market response to easing geopolitical tensions.
- Crude Oil Price Plunge: The ceasefire news led to a more than 15% drop in crude oil prices to a 1.5-week low, alleviating inflation concerns and sparking a rally in global government bond markets, with the German 10-year Bund yield falling to a 3-week low, indicating a more optimistic outlook for the economy.
- Fed Policy Expectations: Although the market discounts only a 1% chance of a 25 bp rate hike at the upcoming April 28-29 FOMC meeting, the minutes from the March FOMC indicated heightened concerns among participants regarding upside risks to inflation and downside risks to employment, suggesting a more cautious approach to future monetary policy.
- Strong Tech Stock Performance: Chipmakers and AI infrastructure stocks saw significant gains on Wednesday, with Intel rising over 11%, driving the Nasdaq 100's increase, highlighting the tech sector's crucial role in the market recovery and further boosting investor confidence in technology stocks.
See More
Analysis of OIH ETF's 52-Week Price Fluctuations
- Price Range Analysis: The OIH ETF's 52-week low is $191.21 per share, with a high of $423.85, and a recent trade at $404.79, indicating strong performance near its peak, which may attract more investor interest.
- Technical Analysis Tool: Comparing the current share price to the 200-day moving average provides valuable insights for investors, aiding in market trend assessment and potential buying opportunities.
- ETF Trading Mechanism: ETFs trade similarly to stocks, where investors buy and sell 'units' that can be created or destroyed based on demand, impacting the ETF's liquidity and market performance.
- Inflows and Outflows Monitoring: Weekly monitoring of changes in shares outstanding helps identify ETFs experiencing significant inflows or outflows, which can influence the price movements of the underlying components within the ETF.
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Other Major Declines: APA Corporation and Diamondback Energy saw declines of 9.8% and 7.9%, respectively, indicating broader challenges in the energy market.
ConocoPhillips and Coterra Energy: ConocoPhillips' shares fell by 7%, while Coterra Energy experienced a 5.7% drop, contributing to the overall negative trend in energy stocks.
Market Trends: The significant declines across these companies suggest a potential downturn in the energy market, impacting investor confidence.
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Chevron Performance: Chevron's stock has also seen a decline, down by 5.5%.
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ENERGY STOCKS FALL IN PREMARKET TRADING AS OIL PRICES DROP BELOW $100 PER BARREL
Energy Stocks Decline: Energy stocks have experienced a slump in the pre-market due to falling oil prices.
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Middle East Conflict Threatens Global Economy
- Escalating Middle East Tensions: The war initiated by the U.S. and Israel against Iran has spread throughout the Middle East, threatening global economic stability, particularly impacting Lebanon and Gulf energy exporters.
- Strait of Hormuz Closure: Despite a fragile two-week ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran, traffic through the Strait of Hormuz remains largely restricted, affecting global energy supply and contributing to rising oil prices.
- Oil Price Fluctuations: As of 8:41 p.m. ET, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) rose by 0.69% to $98.55 per barrel, while Brent crude increased by 0.91% to $95.92 per barrel, reflecting market sensitivity to the Middle East situation.
- Japan's Oil Reserve Release Plan: Japan plans to release 20 days' worth of oil reserves starting in May, with current reserves sufficient for 230 days, aiming to alleviate energy supply pressures caused by the Middle East conflict.
See More
Global Stock Markets Surge on Iran Ceasefire Agreement
- Market Sentiment Rebound: Global stock markets surged on Wednesday as the US and Iran agreed to a two-week ceasefire, with the S&P 500 rising 2.51%, the Dow Jones up 2.85%, and the Nasdaq 100 increasing by 2.90%, reflecting a positive market response to easing geopolitical tensions.
- Crude Oil Price Plunge: The ceasefire news led to a more than 15% drop in crude oil prices to a 1.5-week low, alleviating inflation concerns and sparking a rally in global government bond markets, with the German 10-year Bund yield falling to a 3-week low, indicating a more optimistic outlook for the economy.
- Fed Policy Expectations: Although the market discounts only a 1% chance of a 25 bp rate hike at the upcoming April 28-29 FOMC meeting, the minutes from the March FOMC indicated heightened concerns among participants regarding upside risks to inflation and downside risks to employment, suggesting a more cautious approach to future monetary policy.
- Strong Tech Stock Performance: Chipmakers and AI infrastructure stocks saw significant gains on Wednesday, with Intel rising over 11%, driving the Nasdaq 100's increase, highlighting the tech sector's crucial role in the market recovery and further boosting investor confidence in technology stocks.
See More
Analysis of OIH ETF's 52-Week Price Fluctuations
- Price Range Analysis: The OIH ETF's 52-week low is $191.21 per share, with a high of $423.85, and a recent trade at $404.79, indicating strong performance near its peak, which may attract more investor interest.
- Technical Analysis Tool: Comparing the current share price to the 200-day moving average provides valuable insights for investors, aiding in market trend assessment and potential buying opportunities.
- ETF Trading Mechanism: ETFs trade similarly to stocks, where investors buy and sell 'units' that can be created or destroyed based on demand, impacting the ETF's liquidity and market performance.
- Inflows and Outflows Monitoring: Weekly monitoring of changes in shares outstanding helps identify ETFs experiencing significant inflows or outflows, which can influence the price movements of the underlying components within the ETF.
See More
Occidental Petroleum Falls 7.8%, APA Corp Declines 9.8%, Diamondback Energy Drops 7.9%, ConocoPhillips Decreases 7%, Cotterra Energy Decreases 5.7%
Oil Company Performance: Occidental Petroleum's stock decreased by 7.8%, reflecting a downturn in the oil sector.
Other Major Declines: APA Corporation and Diamondback Energy saw declines of 9.8% and 7.9%, respectively, indicating broader challenges in the energy market.
ConocoPhillips and Coterra Energy: ConocoPhillips' shares fell by 7%, while Coterra Energy experienced a 5.7% drop, contributing to the overall negative trend in energy stocks.
Market Trends: The significant declines across these companies suggest a potential downturn in the energy market, impacting investor confidence.
See More
Exxon Mobil Falls 6.3%, Chevron Declines 5.5%
Exxon Mobil Performance: Exxon Mobil's stock has decreased by 6.3%.
Chevron Performance: Chevron's stock has also seen a decline, down by 5.5%.
See More
ENERGY STOCKS FALL IN PREMARKET TRADING AS OIL PRICES DROP BELOW $100 PER BARREL
Energy Stocks Decline: Energy stocks have experienced a slump in the pre-market due to falling oil prices.
Oil Prices Drop: Oil prices have plummeted below $100 a barrel, contributing to the downturn in energy stocks.
See More
