India's IPO Market Faces Major Challenges Amid Global Volatility
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 6 days ago
0mins
Source: CNBC
- Market Volatility Impacting IPOs: The ongoing Middle East conflict has weakened investor sentiment, leading to a more than 12% drop in Indian benchmark indices since January, prompting companies like PhonePe to halt their listing plans and reflecting a sharp decline in demand for new stocks.
- Foreign Capital Withdrawal Intensifies: Foreign institutional investors have sold over $8 billion worth of equities this month, draining liquidity and making it difficult for IPOs to secure attractive valuations, resulting in several tech and consumer startups postponing their listings and further exacerbating market uncertainty.
- Significant Slowdown in IPO Activity: Since the outbreak of the Iran war on February 28, IPO activity has noticeably slowed; despite India having topped global charts with 367 IPOs in 2025, 8 out of 11 IPOs listed this year are trading below their issue price, indicating a lack of investor confidence.
- Domestic Investors Dominating Pricing: With foreign capital exiting, domestic institutional investors are firmly in control of IPO pricing, demanding “competitive” valuations, which may impact the market performance and fundraising capabilities of future IPOs.
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Analyst Views on NMR
About NMR
Nomura Holdings Inc is a Japan-based company mainly engaged in the securities, investment, and other financial services business across the world. The Company has three business segments. The Sales segment provides investment consultation services to individual clients in Japan. The Investment Management segment provides investment management services and investment solutions, including the establishment and management of investment trusts, discretionary investment services for domestic and foreign investors, fund management and administration for investment corporations and institutional investors, and silent partnership management. The Wholesale segment is engaged in the sale and trading of bonds, equity securities, derivatives, and foreign exchange, as well as investment banking services such as the bonds and securities underwriting business, merger and acquisition (M&A) business and financial advisory services. The Company operates in Japan, the Americas, Europe, Asia and Oceania.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Market Volatility Impacting IPOs: The ongoing Middle East conflict has weakened investor sentiment, leading to a more than 12% drop in Indian benchmark indices since January, prompting companies like PhonePe to halt their listing plans and reflecting a sharp decline in demand for new stocks.
- Foreign Capital Withdrawal Intensifies: Foreign institutional investors have sold over $8 billion worth of equities this month, draining liquidity and making it difficult for IPOs to secure attractive valuations, resulting in several tech and consumer startups postponing their listings and further exacerbating market uncertainty.
- Significant Slowdown in IPO Activity: Since the outbreak of the Iran war on February 28, IPO activity has noticeably slowed; despite India having topped global charts with 367 IPOs in 2025, 8 out of 11 IPOs listed this year are trading below their issue price, indicating a lack of investor confidence.
- Domestic Investors Dominating Pricing: With foreign capital exiting, domestic institutional investors are firmly in control of IPO pricing, demanding “competitive” valuations, which may impact the market performance and fundraising capabilities of future IPOs.
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- Focus on Profits: Companies are increasingly prioritizing profits and returning cash to shareholders through dividends and buybacks.
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- Market Volatility Impacting IPOs: The ongoing Middle East conflict has weakened investor sentiment, leading to a more than 12% drop in Indian benchmark indices since January, prompting companies like PhonePe to halt their listing plans and reflecting a sharp decline in demand for new stocks.
- Foreign Capital Withdrawal Intensifies: Foreign institutional investors have sold over $8 billion worth of equities this month, draining liquidity and making it difficult for IPOs to secure attractive valuations, resulting in several tech and consumer startups postponing their listings and further exacerbating market uncertainty.
- Significant Slowdown in IPO Activity: Since the outbreak of the Iran war on February 28, IPO activity has noticeably slowed; despite India having topped global charts with 367 IPOs in 2025, 8 out of 11 IPOs listed this year are trading below their issue price, indicating a lack of investor confidence.
- Domestic Investors Dominating Pricing: With foreign capital exiting, domestic institutional investors are firmly in control of IPO pricing, demanding “competitive” valuations, which may impact the market performance and fundraising capabilities of future IPOs.
See More
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- Earnings Growth: For the nine months ending FY2023, Nomura Holdings reported a GAAP EPS of ¥94.67 and revenue of ¥1,590.53 billion, reflecting a 10.5% year-over-year increase, indicating strong performance in capital market services despite economic uncertainties.
- Lack of Earnings Forecast: Nomura Holdings refrained from providing earnings forecasts for the year ending March 31, 2026, due to uncertainties in global capital markets, which may affect investor confidence regarding the company's future profitability.
- Market Reaction: Despite the strong performance in the Japanese market making Nomura's stock appear cheaper, the uncertainty surrounding future earnings could lead to cautious investor sentiment, potentially impacting stock price volatility.
- Investor Engagement: At the Nomura Investment Forum 2025, the company showcased its strategic direction while supporting a crypto firm applying for a U.S. banking license, indicating an active positioning in emerging markets that could provide new growth opportunities.
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- Regulatory Environment Shift: Following President Trump's return to office, federal regulators have eased rules for fintechs and digital asset firms, encouraging innovation and lending, with Laser Digital's application reflecting this trend.
- Competitive Landscape: By applying for a U.S. banking license, Laser Digital joins a growing list of fintechs, including Affirm Holdings, which applied last week, indicating a strong market demand for banking licenses among digital asset firms.
- Business Expansion Plans: While Laser Digital will not accept direct deposits, it plans to offer spot crypto trading, which could provide new revenue streams and support future business growth.
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Market Impact: This initiative is expected to enhance the cryptocurrency market in Japan and attract more investors to digital assets.
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- Market Performance: The S&P 500 index barely rose 0.03% this week but fell 0.4% overall, indicating investors' insufficient capacity to digest geopolitical news, leaving market sentiment unsettled.
- Natural Gas Surge: Natural gas futures spiked 75% over five trading days due to Winter Storm Fern, reflecting the impact of extreme weather on energy demand and potentially raising profit expectations for related companies.
- Dollar Depreciation Trend: Over the past five days, the EUR/USD rose nearly 2%, while the dollar fell over 2.7% against the Swiss franc, indicating a shift in investor sentiment away from the dollar, which may affect future forex market dynamics.
- Fed Policy Expectations: The market widely anticipates that the Federal Reserve will maintain interest rates in the 3.5%-3.75% range at next week's meeting, with investors closely watching Trump's nomination for the new Fed chair, which could influence future monetary policy direction.
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