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NMR Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Nomura Holdings Inc (NMR) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
8.490
1 Day change
-1.39%
52 Week Range
9.580
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/17
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Nomura Holdings Inc (NMR) is not a strong buy for a beginner, long-term investor with $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. While there are some positive indicators such as bullish moving averages and an upgrade from JPMorgan, the pre-market price drop of -2.77%, declining financial metrics, and lack of significant trading signals suggest that this is not an optimal entry point. Holding off for now is recommended.

Technical Analysis

The stock shows bullish moving averages (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) and a positive MACD histogram (0.106), indicating an upward trend. However, the RSI at 74.61 is in the neutral zone, and the pre-market price is down -2.77%, suggesting caution.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
4
Buy
8

Positive Catalysts

  • JPMorgan upgraded the stock to Overweight with a slightly increased price target, citing undervaluation and strong core business.

  • Bullish moving averages and positive MACD histogram.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Pre-market price drop of -2.77%.

  • Declining financial performance in Q3 2026, with net income down -10.73% YoY and EPS down -9.09% YoY.

  • No recent news or significant trading trends from hedge funds, insiders, or Congress.

Financial Performance

In Q3 2026, revenue increased 1.39% YoY, but net income dropped -10.73% YoY, and EPS fell -9.09% YoY. Gross margin improved by 7.23% to 44.93%. Overall, financial performance shows mixed results with declining profitability.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

JPMorgan upgraded Nomura to Overweight from Neutral with a price target increase from 1,430 yen to 1,440 yen, citing undervaluation and strong core business fundamentals.

Wall Street analysts forecast NMR stock price to rise
Analyst Rating
0
Wall Street analysts forecast NMR stock price to rise
Buy
Hold
Sell
0
Current: 8.610
sliders
Low
0
Averages
0
High
0
0
Current: 8.610
sliders
Low
0
Averages
0
High
0
JPMorgan
Koki Sato
Neutral -> Overweight
upgrade
AI Analysis
2026-03-19
Reason
JPMorgan
Koki Sato
Price Target
AI Analysis
2026-03-19
upgrade
Neutral -> Overweight
Reason
JPMorgan analyst Koki Sato upgraded Nomura to Overweight from Neutral with a price target of 1,440 yen, up from 1,430 yen. The strength of the company's core business is not priced into the shares, the analyst tells investors in a research note. JPMorgan sees the "gap" between Nomura's theoretical and share value has widened.
Goldman Sachs
downgrade
2026-01-06
Reason
Goldman Sachs
Price Target
2026-01-06
downgrade
Reason
Goldman Sachs analysts removed Namura Shipbuilding from the firm's APAC Conviction List as part of its monthly update.
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