CF Industries Options Analysis: $88 Put Contract Offers Significant Appeal
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 22 2026
0mins
Source: NASDAQ.COM
- Put Contract Appeal: The current bid for the $88.00 put contract is $1.85, and if an investor sells to open this contract, they commit to buying shares at $88.00, effectively lowering their cost basis to $86.15, which is about a 1% discount from the current price of $89.21, making it an attractive option.
- Yield Potential: Should the put contract expire worthless, it would yield a 2.10% return on cash commitment, translating to an annualized yield of 17.84%, highlighting the potential profitability of this strategy.
- Call Contract Returns: The $99.00 call contract has a current bid of $1.30; if an investor buys CF shares at $89.21 and sells this call, they could achieve a total return of 12.43% if the stock is called away at expiration, showcasing the profit potential of this approach.
- Risk Assessment: The $99.00 call contract has a 72% chance of expiring worthless, allowing investors to retain both their shares and the premium collected, which further mitigates investment risk and enhances investor confidence.
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Analyst Views on CF
Wall Street analysts forecast CF stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CF is 91.60 USD with a low forecast of 78.00 USD and a high forecast of 110.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
11 Analyst Rating
3 Buy
7 Hold
1 Sell
Hold
Current: 94.030
Low
78.00
Averages
91.60
High
110.00
Current: 94.030
Low
78.00
Averages
91.60
High
110.00
About CF
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. is a global manufacturer of hydrogen and nitrogen products. The Company is focused on decarbonizing its ammonia production network to enable low-carbon hydrogen and nitrogen products for energy, fertilizer, emissions abatement and other industrial activities. The Company's segments include Ammonia, Granular Urea, UAN, AN and Other. Ammonia segment produces anhydrous ammonia (ammonia), which is the base product that it manufactures (containing 82% nitrogen and 18% hydrogen). Granular Urea segment produces granular urea, which contains 46% nitrogen. UAN segment produces urea ammonium nitrate solution (UAN). AN segment produces ammonium nitrate (AN). Other segment primarily includes products, such as diesel exhaust fluid (DEF), urea liquor and nitric acid. Its manufacturing complexes in the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom, a storage, transportation and distribution network in North America, and logistics capabilities enable a global reach.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
CF Industries Declares Quarterly Dividend of $0.50
- Quarterly Dividend Declaration: CF Industries has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.50 per share, consistent with previous payouts, indicating stable cash flow and shareholder return strategy, which is likely to bolster investor confidence.
- Dividend Yield: The forward yield of 2.18% reflects the company's attractiveness in the current market environment, potentially drawing in more investors seeking stable income.
- Record Date for Shareholders: The dividend will be payable on February 27, with a record date of February 13 and an ex-dividend date also on February 13, ensuring shareholders receive timely returns and further solidifying the shareholder base.
- Future Outlook: CF Industries will present its business outlook at the upcoming Goldman Sachs Industrials and Materials Conference, highlighting its leadership position in the industry and future growth potential, which may attract more institutional investor interest.
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CF Industries Declares $0.50 Dividend Per Share
- Dividend Declaration: CF Industries' board has declared a $0.50 per share dividend, payable on February 27, 2026, which will provide shareholders with a stable cash return and enhance investor confidence.
- Earnings Release Schedule: The company confirmed it will report its fourth quarter and full year 2025 results after market close on February 18, 2026, which is expected to provide key performance metrics for assessing future growth potential.
- Conference Call Arrangement: CF Industries will host a conference call on February 19, 2026, at 11:00 a.m. ET to discuss financial results, allowing investors to dial in and engage with management, thereby enhancing investor relations.
- Sustainability Strategy: CF Industries is committed to decarbonizing its ammonia production network to develop low-carbon hydrogen and nitrogen products, showcasing the company's strategic importance in the clean energy transition aligned with global sustainability trends.
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